Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares / Event-Driven

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

<ul>
<li>The opposition’s pushing a Commercial Act amendment, and to gain ruling party support, they might strategically ease up on the dividend tax issue—classic quid pro quo.</li>
<li>The Samsung family’s collateral risk eased with a 10 trillion won buyback, but local markets are still cautious. Local traders now eye another 10 trillion won shareholder return.</li>
<li>The timing of the special dividend and tax deadlines may cause mismatches, but we should watch for earlier price moves in Samsung Electronics preferred shares.</li>
</ul>


The opposition’s pushing a Commercial Act amendment, and to gain ruling party support, they might strategically ease up on the dividend tax issue—classic quid pro quo.
The Samsung family’s collateral risk eased with a 10 trillion won buyback, but local markets are still cautious. Local traders now eye another 10 trillion won shareholder return.
The timing of the special dividend and tax deadlines may cause mismatches, but we should watch for earlier price moves in Samsung Electronics preferred shares.


Dividend Tax Cut Decision Scheduled for 25th, Next Monday: Watch Sammy Prefs

<ul>
<li>The stock’s still below 1x PBR. But with Samsung’s tech gaps and slowdowns, going all-in on an outright long here off the back of this buyback feels way too early</li>
<li>The key is whether pref discounts tighten like 2015, but with a more balanced buyback this time and narrowing pref discounts, making a pref rally harder to predict short-term.</li>
<li>The goal’s the same as 2015—boosting the family’s control. If the remaining buyback leans pref-heavy, it could further tighten pref discounts, creating a potential opportunity to play the compression.</li>
</ul>


The stock’s still below 1x PBR. But with Samsung’s tech gaps and slowdowns, going all-in on an outright long here off the back of this buyback feels way too early
The key is whether pref discounts tighten like 2015, but with a more balanced buyback this time and narrowing pref discounts, making a pref rally harder to predict short-term.
The goal’s the same as 2015—boosting the family’s control. If the remaining buyback leans pref-heavy, it could further tighten pref discounts, creating a potential opportunity to play the compression.


Sammy's Massive Buyback: Play the Pref Compression, Not Outright Long

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Oct 11th which has an aggregated holding worth USD532.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD61mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Sk Hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics, Samsung Elec (PREF).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Oct 11th which has an aggregated holding worth USD532.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD61mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Sk Hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics, Samsung Elec (PREF).


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 11th): Sk Hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss numerous gap trade opportunities involving Korean preferred and common shares in 4Q 2024.</li>
<li>Among the 27 major pair trades (prefs vs. common shares), 16 of the pref stocks outperformed their common shares counterparts so far this year. </li>
<li>The 27 Korean preferred stocks' average prices increased by 8.3% from end of 2023 to 2 October 2024 (excluding dividends), outperforming their common counterparts which were up on average 5.4%.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss numerous gap trade opportunities involving Korean preferred and common shares in 4Q 2024.
Among the 27 major pair trades (prefs vs. common shares), 16 of the pref stocks outperformed their common shares counterparts so far this year. 
The 27 Korean preferred stocks' average prices increased by 8.3% from end of 2023 to 2 October 2024 (excluding dividends), outperforming their common counterparts which were up on average 5.4%.


Gap Trade Opportunities in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 4Q 2024

<ul>
<li>Samsung's preferred shares lagged significantly behind the common shares yesterday, showing the largest daily sigma move we've seen in a while.</li>
<li>Samsung’s delayed value-up announcement, despite regulatory pressure, has fueled speculation about a potential Biologics stake purchase from C&amp;T.</li>
<li>It's time to pause the trade on Samsung’s preferred discount narrowing that I highlighted in early August. The main inflection point will be when Samsung makes its value-up announcement.</li>
</ul>


Samsung's preferred shares lagged significantly behind the common shares yesterday, showing the largest daily sigma move we've seen in a while.
Samsung’s delayed value-up announcement, despite regulatory pressure, has fueled speculation about a potential Biologics stake purchase from C&amp;T.
It's time to pause the trade on Samsung’s preferred discount narrowing that I highlighted in early August. The main inflection point will be when Samsung makes its value-up announcement.


Exploring Why Samsung Electronics' Pref Discount Narrowing Took a Sharp Turn Yesterday

Korea Pref Shares
Insights on Korean Pref Shares

Dividend Tax Cut Decision Scheduled for 25th, Next Monday: Watch Sammy Prefs

Next Monday, the 25th, the National Assembly will decide on separate dividend taxation—definitely keep an eye on Samsung Electronics preferred stock.

Sanghyun Park

Sammy's Massive Buyback: Play the Pref Compression, Not Outright Long

This post breaks down Samsung Electronics’ massive buyback: Instead of going all in on a straight long, keep an eye on the pref compression play....

Sanghyun Park

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 11th): Sk Hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Sk Hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, Korzinc, Samsung...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Exploring Why Samsung Electronics' Pref Discount Narrowing Took a Sharp Turn Yesterday

This post explores what might have caused the sudden shift in the narrowing of Samsung Electronics' preferred share discount yesterday.

Sanghyun Park

Dividend Tax Cut Decision Scheduled for 25th, Next Monday: Watch Sammy Prefs

Next Monday, the 25th, the National Assembly will decide on separate dividend taxation—definitely keep an eye on Samsung Electronics preferred stock.

Sanghyun Park

Sammy's Massive Buyback: Play the Pref Compression, Not Outright Long

This post breaks down Samsung Electronics’ massive buyback: Instead of going all in on a straight long, keep an eye on the pref compression play....

Sanghyun Park

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 11th): Sk Hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Sk Hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, Korzinc, Samsung...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Gap Trade Opportunities in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 4Q 2024

The 27 Korean preferred stocks' average prices increased by 8.3% from end of 2023 to 2 October 2024 (excluding dividends), outperforming their...

Douglas Kim

Exploring Why Samsung Electronics' Pref Discount Narrowing Took a Sharp Turn Yesterday

This post explores what might have caused the sudden shift in the narrowing of Samsung Electronics' preferred share discount yesterday.

Sanghyun Park