bullish

TOPIX Inclusion: Bull-Dog Sauce (2804) Is SUPER GREEN

606 Views07 Jan 2021 20:34
SUMMARY

A long time ago in a land far, far away, there was a small company which made sauce, which was the subject of a Tender Offer by an activist who had developed something of a reputation for being hostile. To defend itself, the company asked its shareholders to allow it to execute a poison pill and indeed it executed the poison pill which said that all investors other than the activist would get the opportunity to buy three new shares for every one share owned, for 1 yen each, while the activist was given a market price-based cash equivalent for three quarters of the new position.

The activist, Steel Partners, took it to court trying to get an injunction on the issuance of the warrants. The District Court allowed the issuance to go forward, Steel appealed, and the Tokyo High Court (the middle one in this case) decided Steel Partners was an "abusive acquirer." In August of 2007, the Supreme Court agreed with the lower courts and decided that the issuance could proceed.

It is generally thought amongst Tokyo legal experts that the case was a triumph for shareholder supremacy because shareholders had voted to create such a warrant system to dilute acquirers which an independent committee had determined to be detrimental or abusive. The conclusion by the company's board to go ahead with the issuance was at the behest of a process pre-agreed by shareholders.

The precedents which were seen to have been set in this case were that...

  • a company could defend itself against a hostile bidder (or perhaps shareholder) if that shareholder's actions were deemed to be detrimental to the corporate value of the company or to other shareholders.
  • But that such a defense had to be fair. In this case, Bulldog provided compensation for the share warrants issued to other shareholders.

In hindsight, the result was far better for Steel Partners than for the other shareholders.

On a split-adjusted basis, 13+ years later, the shares have not recouped one-quarter of their price prior to when Steel Partners raised their bid. The fall in share price in the chart below was because of the massive new issuance. The shares should have fallen in price by three quarters to account for the new issuance. Instead, they fell by three quarters then fell by half again to account for the fact there was no more takeover premium.

At ¥1590 at today's close, that is ¥6360 pre-dilution.

So now, some 13 years later, we have a smidgen of good news.

The Good News

Today, after the close, the company announced (Japanese only) that it had been accepted to move its shares from TSE2 to the TSE's First Section on 14 January. That means it will be included in TOPIX some 6 weeks later.

For those who follow the Quiddity TOPIX Inclusion Framework, this inclusion is GREEN.

It is, indeed...

And as always after that kind of introduction, there is more below the fold.

Begin exploring Smartkarma's AI-augmented investing intelligence platform with a complimentary Preview Pass to:
  • Unlock research summaries
  • Follow top, independent analysts
  • Receive personalised alerts
  • Access Analytics, Events and more

Join 55,000+ investors, including top global asset managers overseeing $13+ trillion.

Upgrade later to our paid plans for full-access.

or
Already have an account? Sign In Now
Discussions
(Paid Plans Only)
chart-bar
Logo
Top 5%
Travis Lundy
Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events
Quiddity Advisors
Japan & Hong KongEquitiesEvent-DrivenQuantitative Analysis
Price Chart(Sign Up to Access)
analytics-chart
x