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The Impact of Token Unlock Events on Cryptocurrency Prices: An Empirical Analysis
SUMMARY
- Large unlocks (over 1% of circulating supply) significantly impact prices, mainly concentrated in the week before and after the unlock. A 1% token unlock triggers, on average, a 0.3% price drop over the week preceding the unlock and another 0.3% drop over the week following the unlock.
- The strongest price effects occur two days before the unlock and on the third and fourth days after the unlock. Interestingly, the actual unlock day and the day after show little price impact.
- The similar magnitude of price drops before and after the unlock suggests that market anticipation is just as influential as the actual selling pressure.
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- The Impact of Token Unlock Events on Cryptocurrency Prices: An Empirical Analysis08 Jan 2025
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