STI: Acquisition Pays off Immediately, Still Further Upside
We maintain our BUY recommendation on STI based on a target of Bt9.95 (previously Bt9.20), implying an upside of 22% from the current share price. We derive our target price from a DCF-based valuation using a WACC of 6.5% and a terminal growth rate of 3%. We apply a 15% small-cap discount.
Investment thesis:
- Recent acquisition gives access to government infrastructure projects
- Major shareholder as a key strategic partner for deal flow
- Backlog ensures strong near-term growth and revenue stability
Interim: Like the previous quarters, 4Q20 growth was largely due to the consolidation of AEC. Revenue was up by 123% YoY. Overall, the results confirm our expectations that the AEC acquisition is value accretive and provides high upside potential.
Risks: Reliance on limited industries, delay in project completion, shortage of experienced personnel, and adverse regulatory changes.
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