Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Over 15 years analysing Japanese and Asian stocks from a long/short perspective

I focus on cyclically driven sectors such as Gaming, Factory Automation and Autos

An eclectic background as a long-short analyst, upper management at a financial data startup through its listing, and as the founder of a team analysing big/alternative data, all of which supports independent and differentiated views... we hope

An appreciation for Mathematics drives the development of a "Micro-Quantamental" process which can provide a data-driven, historically-informed and semi-automated foundation upon which to layer more qualitative and judgemental analysis, thus improving investment decision-making speed and accuracy

Japan/Asia Long-Short

2022 High Conviction – Solar and Auto Production Play Dowa Holdings Drives Towards the Sunrise

Conviction Call Dowa – On Track for a Blowout and Growth Next Year

Conviction Call Dowa – Add Into This Correction

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Dowa missed at the PTP line by 4.5% and guided for just ¥55bn in ordinary profit for FY23 vs. consensus at ¥68bn. </li>
<li>That drove the stock down 13% today making it give up all the gains it had made since early December. </li>
<li>While the reaction might be understandable on the misses if this were trading expensively, it is 0.74x book.</li>
</ul>


Dowa missed at the PTP line by 4.5% and guided for just ¥55bn in ordinary profit for FY23 vs. consensus at ¥68bn. 
That drove the stock down 13% today making it give up all the gains it had made since early December. 
While the reaction might be understandable on the misses if this were trading expensively, it is 0.74x book.


Dowa – Dear Market, You’re Kinda Going The Wrong Way