Fintech & EM-focused Analyst, KT Capital Group

Alec Tseung

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Equity Bottom-Up

PICC Property & Casualty H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China's motor insurance has been showing signs of growth after years of decline due to deregulations and reforms in the sector.</li>
<li>Motor insurance tailwind will benefit large players the most. Bullish on PICC P&amp;C since it's the largest player in motor insurance and to likely benefit the most from the tailwind.</li>
<li>Bearish on CPIC since its P&amp;C business is much smaller than PICC P&amp;C and Ping An P&amp;C, while its L&amp;H growth continues to be under pressure.  </li>
</ul>


China's motor insurance has been showing signs of growth after years of decline due to deregulations and reforms in the sector.
Motor insurance tailwind will benefit large players the most. Bullish on PICC P&amp;C since it's the largest player in motor insurance and to likely benefit the most from the tailwind.
Bearish on CPIC since its P&amp;C business is much smaller than PICC P&amp;C and Ping An P&amp;C, while its L&amp;H growth continues to be under pressure.  


Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Expectation management of any stimulus package gives the potential to overdeliver</li>
<li>Recent economic data is surprising to the upside in China</li>
<li>Divergent investor viewpoints and Trump's win likely mean offshore markets will be more volatile than onshore</li>
</ul>


Expectation management of any stimulus package gives the potential to overdeliver
Recent economic data is surprising to the upside in China
Divergent investor viewpoints and Trump's win likely mean offshore markets will be more volatile than onshore


Much Ado About Nothing -Or Why the China Stimulus Package Doesn’t Matter as Much as Investors Think

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>A cyclical bull market in Chinese stocks provide a good opportunity in the sector</li>
<li>Similar upside potential as the brokers but with less volatility</li>
<li>Insurance products still have a low level of penetration in China</li>
</ul>


A cyclical bull market in Chinese stocks provide a good opportunity in the sector
Similar upside potential as the brokers but with less volatility
Insurance products still have a low level of penetration in China


Insurance Sector as a Leveraged Play on the Chinese Revival

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the December rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> ended on 30 September.</li>
<li>We do not forecast any constituent changes for the index. Capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 2.15% and a round-trip trade of HK$6.1bn (US$785m).</li>
<li>If any stocks have outsized moves on expectations of being added to or deleted from the index, there could be opportunities to enter trades.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the December rebalance of the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) ended on 30 September.
We do not forecast any constituent changes for the index. Capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 2.15% and a round-trip trade of HK$6.1bn (US$785m).
If any stocks have outsized moves on expectations of being added to or deleted from the index, there could be opportunities to enter trades.


HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: $800m Round-Trip Trade

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>CN listed insurers released better-than-expected July premiums with life prints showing continued strong momentum on top of a high base in 7M23.</li><li>Six Hshare listed life peers in aggregate grew by +8.8%/+3.1% YoY to RMB 118bn/ RMB1,291bn in July and 7M24, +0.4pct/+0.5pct from last month.</li><li>Top life names contributed resilient increases as China Life/ Ping An Life/ NCI/ PICC Life each rose by +8.3%/+17.2%/+11.3% /+21.8% YoY in July.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

CN listed insurers released better-than-expected July premiums with life prints showing continued strong momentum on top of a high base in 7M23.Six Hshare listed life peers in aggregate grew by +8.8%/+3.1% YoY to RMB 118bn/ RMB1,291bn in July and 7M24, +0.4pct/+0.5pct from last month.Top life names contributed resilient increases as China Life/ Ping An Life/ NCI/ PICC Life each rose by +8.3%/+17.2%/+11.3% /+21.8% YoY in July.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Insurance - 7M24 Monthly: Life Momentum Kept Strong

China

ZhongAn Online P & C Insurance Co., Ltd. operates as an insurance company. The Company develops and sells health, airline, and automotive insurance, and other products. ZhongAn Online P & C Insurance also offers online consumer finance services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

ZhongAn Online P&C Insurance C (6060 HK)

China Insurance: PICC P&C Vs. CPIC

Bullish on PICC P&C outlook as it's expected to benefit the most from China's motor insurance recovery. Bearish on CPIC's because its P&C is much...

Alec Tseung

Much Ado About Nothing -Or Why the China Stimulus Package Doesn’t Matter as Much as Investors Think

Expectation management has been key as China's economic data surprises on the upside, but divergent investor views and Trump's win may lead to...

Rikki Malik

Insurance Sector as a Leveraged Play on the Chinese Revival

Chinese stocks in a cyclical bull market offer a promising opportunity especially in the insurance sector due to a reversal of trends and a low...

Rikki Malik

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: $800m Round-Trip Trade

We do not forecast any constituent changes for the HSTECH index in December. Capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 2.15% and a round...

Brian Freitas

China Insurance - 7M24 Monthly: Life Momentum Kept Strong

CN listed insurers released better-than-expected July premiums with life prints showing continued strong momentum on top of a high base in 7M23.

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Insurance: PICC P&C Vs. CPIC

Bullish on PICC P&C outlook as it's expected to benefit the most from China's motor insurance recovery. Bearish on CPIC's because its P&C is much...

Alec Tseung

Much Ado About Nothing -Or Why the China Stimulus Package Doesn’t Matter as Much as Investors Think

​Expectation management has been key as China's economic data surprises on the upside, but divergent investor views and Trump's win may lead to...

Rikki Malik

Insurance Sector as a Leveraged Play on the Chinese Revival

​Chinese stocks in a cyclical bull market offer a promising opportunity especially in the insurance sector due to a reversal of trends and a low...

Rikki Malik

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: $800m Round-Trip Trade

We do not forecast any constituent changes for the HSTECH index in December. Capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 2.15% and a round...

Brian Freitas

China Insurance - 7M24 Monthly: Life Momentum Kept Strong

CN listed insurers released better-than-expected July premiums with life prints showing continued strong momentum on top of a high base in 7M23.

CMB International

Expectation management has been key as China's economic data surprises on the upside, but divergent investor views and Trump's win may lead to...

Chinese stocks in a cyclical bull market offer a promising opportunity especially in the insurance sector due to a reversal of trends and a low...