External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

PICC Property & Casualty H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>PICC P&amp;C reported weaker-than-expected first-quarter results given the 1Q24 CoR slightly increased to 97.9% (vs: FY23: 97.8%) and auto/non-auto premium growth dropped to +1.9%/+5.0% YoY (1Q23: +6.5%/+12.8% YoY).</li><li>Dragged by increased claims for low-temperature and freezing rain in 1-2M24, transportation recovery and premium slowdown, the insurer’s underwriting profit (UWP) slid by 49.1% YoY to RMB2.4bn, adversely impacting net profit by -38.3% YoY to RMB 5.9bn.</li><li>Investment result concerned market as net investment yield (not annualized) was 0.8%, lower than that of some life peers. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PICC P&amp;C reported weaker-than-expected first-quarter results given the 1Q24 CoR slightly increased to 97.9% (vs: FY23: 97.8%) and auto/non-auto premium growth dropped to +1.9%/+5.0% YoY (1Q23: +6.5%/+12.8% YoY).Dragged by increased claims for low-temperature and freezing rain in 1-2M24, transportation recovery and premium slowdown, the insurer’s underwriting profit (UWP) slid by 49.1% YoY to RMB2.4bn, adversely impacting net profit by -38.3% YoY to RMB 5.9bn.Investment result concerned market as net investment yield (not annualized) was 0.8%, lower than that of some life peers. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PICC P&C (2328 HK) - 1Q24 Catastrophe-Induced Claims Fully Released

<ul><li>PICC P&amp;C reported solid underwriting combined ratio (CoR) at 97.8%, 0.3pct lower than our estimate (98.1%), primarily driven by better-than-expected nonauto CoR at 99.1%, 0.7pct lower than our forecast (99.8%).</li><li>Within the nonauto segment, both individual and corporate businesses implied optimized CoR by -4.3pct and -3.4pct, respectively.</li><li>We regard this a result of proactive mgt. of the P&amp;C forerunner to refocus on businesses of high underwriting profits to compensate for the RMB 13.3bn net loss from natural catastrophes in 3Q23. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PICC P&amp;C reported solid underwriting combined ratio (CoR) at 97.8%, 0.3pct lower than our estimate (98.1%), primarily driven by better-than-expected nonauto CoR at 99.1%, 0.7pct lower than our forecast (99.8%).Within the nonauto segment, both individual and corporate businesses implied optimized CoR by -4.3pct and -3.4pct, respectively.We regard this a result of proactive mgt. of the P&amp;C forerunner to refocus on businesses of high underwriting profits to compensate for the RMB 13.3bn net loss from natural catastrophes in 3Q23. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PICC P&C (2328 HK) - Non-Auto CoR Better than Expected

<ul><li>We expect PICC P&amp;C, the P&amp;C forerunner, to meet both auto and non-auto combined ratio (CoR) guidance of 97%/100%, to land at 96.9%/99.8%, based on our forecast.</li><li>With a benign competitive landscape under tightened regulatory scrutiny and the industry self-discipline convention led by 8 top P&amp;C insurers in Nov 2023, we expect the insurer’s auto expense ratio to drop in 2H23, primarily in 4Q23, to 27.5%, flat vs FY22, whereas the loss ratio to rise to 69.4% (vs 68.1% in FY22), affected by increasing natural catastrophic (NAT CAT) claims in 3Q23.</li><li>In 2024E, we estimate the underwriting profit to rise ~12% YoY, driven by 7% total premium growth and a slight CoR improvement to 98.0% (-0.1pct from FY23E’s 98.1%), thanks to an optimized non-auto structure with risk clearance in some loss-making lines, i.e. liability and commercial property. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect PICC P&amp;C, the P&amp;C forerunner, to meet both auto and non-auto combined ratio (CoR) guidance of 97%/100%, to land at 96.9%/99.8%, based on our forecast.With a benign competitive landscape under tightened regulatory scrutiny and the industry self-discipline convention led by 8 top P&amp;C insurers in Nov 2023, we expect the insurer’s auto expense ratio to drop in 2H23, primarily in 4Q23, to 27.5%, flat vs FY22, whereas the loss ratio to rise to 69.4% (vs 68.1% in FY22), affected by increasing natural catastrophic (NAT CAT) claims in 3Q23.In 2024E, we estimate the underwriting profit to rise ~12% YoY, driven by 7% total premium growth and a slight CoR improvement to 98.0% (-0.1pct from FY23E’s 98.1%), thanks to an optimized non-auto structure with risk clearance in some loss-making lines, i.e. liability and commercial property. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PICC P&C (2328 HK) - Expect FY23E CoR Guidance Met

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>The new excitement of the MS&amp;AD story is the company's commitment to sell down all of its cross-shareholdings and to use proceeds to fund growth and dividends. </li>
<li>ROE is already far higher now than in recent years, and this can continue with rising dividends. </li>
<li>Monthly insurance sales figures give a good window on the core business, with growth rates in May YoY and YTD accelerating.</li>
</ul>


The new excitement of the MS&amp;AD story is the company's commitment to sell down all of its cross-shareholdings and to use proceeds to fund growth and dividends. 
ROE is already far higher now than in recent years, and this can continue with rising dividends. 
Monthly insurance sales figures give a good window on the core business, with growth rates in May YoY and YTD accelerating.


MS&AD Insurance - Sell Stocks to Zero; Drive Growth, Dividends. HFD on Policy Sales, Accelerating

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst, KT Capital Group

Alec Tseung

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

<ul>
<li>The insurance sector should definitely warrant more investor attention going forward as some insurance names in the region have had a very strong year in 2022.</li>
<li>Two key markets we view positively in 2023 are China's P&amp;C and Korea's L&amp;H insurance markets, given their favorable industry catalysts and tailwinds. </li>
<li>Among all the insurance stocks in these two markets, we believe PICC P&amp;C and Samsung Life will continue to have an exciting year ahead.</li>
</ul>


The insurance sector should definitely warrant more investor attention going forward as some insurance names in the region have had a very strong year in 2022.
Two key markets we view positively in 2023 are China's P&amp;C and Korea's L&amp;H insurance markets, given their favorable industry catalysts and tailwinds. 
Among all the insurance stocks in these two markets, we believe PICC P&amp;C and Samsung Life will continue to have an exciting year ahead.


APAC Insurers Series (#1): A Hidden Gem in This Bear Market?

China

PICC Property and Casualty Company Limited provides insurance services. The Company provides property loss insurances, liability insurances, credit insurances, accidental injury insurances, short term health insurances, guarantee insurances, and other insurance products. PICC Property and Casualty also operates investment businesses.

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PICC Property & Casualty H (2328 HK)

PICC P&C (2328 HK) - 1Q24 Catastrophe-Induced Claims Fully Released

PICC P&C reported weaker-than-expected first-quarter results given the 1Q24 CoR slightly increased to 97.9% (vs: FY23: 97.8%) and auto/non-auto...

CMB International

PICC P&C (2328 HK) - Non-Auto CoR Better than Expected

PICC P&C reported solid underwriting combined ratio (CoR) at 97.8%, 0.3pct lower than our estimate (98.1%), primarily driven by better-than...

CMB International

PICC P&C (2328 HK) - Expect FY23E CoR Guidance Met

We expect PICC P&C, the P&C forerunner, to meet both auto and non-auto combined ratio (CoR) guidance of 97%/100%, to land at 96.9%/99.8%, based on...

CMB International

MS&AD Insurance - Sell Stocks to Zero; Drive Growth, Dividends. HFD on Policy Sales, Accelerating

MS&AD commits to sell down its cross-shareholding to zero, proceeds to fund growth, dividends. Core insurance sales improving, with April and May...

Daniel Tabbush

APAC Insurers Series (#1): A Hidden Gem in This Bear Market?

China P&C and Korea L&H are two insurance markets in Asia that we view positively in 2023, thanks to the continued catalysts. PICC P&C and Samsung...

Alec Tseung

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