Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Today PCAOB announced that they had secured complete access to inspect and investigate Chinese Firms for the first time in history.</li>
<li>This was on back of the Aug 2022 agreement between PCAOB, CSRC and MOF, which was followed up with a Hong Kong visit by PCAOB officials over Sep-Nov 2022.</li>
<li>We wrote about this on 14th Dec 2022 and expected the results to be out on Friday (16th Dec), they have come out a day earlier than we expected.</li>
</ul>


Today PCAOB announced that they had secured complete access to inspect and investigate Chinese Firms for the first time in history.
This was on back of the Aug 2022 agreement between PCAOB, CSRC and MOF, which was followed up with a Hong Kong visit by PCAOB officials over Sep-Nov 2022.
We wrote about this on 14th Dec 2022 and expected the results to be out on Friday (16th Dec), they have come out a day earlier than we expected.


China ADRs Delisting - Christmas Came a Day Earlier than We Expected - No Delisting Risk for Now

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>ATRenew (RERE US) is one of the stocks in China that is starting to look very attractive after a sharp decline in its share price since its IPO.</li>
<li>ATRenew has achieved noticeable improvements in operations and profitability in the recent quarter.</li>
<li>Our base case valuation analysis suggests an implied market cap of US$720 million, representing an implied price of US$3.15 per share, representing an upside of 43% from current price.</li>
</ul>


ATRenew (RERE US) is one of the stocks in China that is starting to look very attractive after a sharp decline in its share price since its IPO.
ATRenew has achieved noticeable improvements in operations and profitability in the recent quarter.
Our base case valuation analysis suggests an implied market cap of US$720 million, representing an implied price of US$3.15 per share, representing an upside of 43% from current price.


ATRenew: A Turnaround Story With Material Increase in Profit Margins + Remaining Share Buyback

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>In mid-August at mid-day, a Reuters <a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/exclusive-tencent-plans-divest-24-bln-meituan-stake-sources-2022-08-16/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">article</a> suggested <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> would seek to divest its $24bn stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> this year. The stock fell 9% that afternoon.</li>
<li>The general underlying suggestion was that regulators wanted them to sell. Other articles suggested later both aspects were "untrue" </li>
<li>With Q3 earnings, Tencent today <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2022/1116/2022111600357.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a Jan23 distribution (Mar23 settlement) of 958,121,562 Meituan shares (1 for every 10 Tencent shares held). There are significant flow and index implications.</li>
</ul>


In mid-August at mid-day, a Reuters article suggested Tencent (700 HK) would seek to divest its $24bn stake in Meituan (3690 HK) this year. The stock fell 9% that afternoon.
The general underlying suggestion was that regulators wanted them to sell. Other articles suggested later both aspects were "untrue" 
With Q3 earnings, Tencent today announced a Jan23 distribution (Mar23 settlement) of 958,121,562 Meituan shares (1 for every 10 Tencent shares held). There are significant flow and index implications.


Tencent Distribution of Meituan Shares Official - Impact and Index Implications

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

<ul>
<li>Following a contraction in Chinese apparel sales since 3Q21, and similar negative GMV and product revenue growth for Vipshop, we have witnessed a recovery to growth since June.</li>
<li>Current sell-side forecasts are, however, still for a -10.8%y/y contraction in product revenue for Vipshop in 3Q22f, followed by a -4.4% contraction in 4Q22f which seems overly pessimistic.</li>
<li>Given the conservative nature of near-term top-line growth expectation, and management guidance, the probability for positive earnings surprise seems high.</li>
</ul>


Following a contraction in Chinese apparel sales since 3Q21, and similar negative GMV and product revenue growth for Vipshop, we have witnessed a recovery to growth since June.
Current sell-side forecasts are, however, still for a -10.8%y/y contraction in product revenue for Vipshop in 3Q22f, followed by a -4.4% contraction in 4Q22f which seems overly pessimistic.
Given the conservative nature of near-term top-line growth expectation, and management guidance, the probability for positive earnings surprise seems high.


Vipshop: Rebound in Chinese Apparel Sales Should Trump Conservative Management Guidance

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In line with previously reported trends in Chinese retail sales growth, the large Chinese eCommerce operators reported a decline (or contraction) in GMV growth in 2Q2022.</li>
<li>Following a contraction between March and May this year, China’s retail sales growth has returned to growth since June, which continued in July and accelerated in August.</li>
<li>Alibaba’s next reported quarter’s annualised growth will be on an extremely depressed base.</li>
</ul>


In line with previously reported trends in Chinese retail sales growth, the large Chinese eCommerce operators reported a decline (or contraction) in GMV growth in 2Q2022.
Following a contraction between March and May this year, China’s retail sales growth has returned to growth since June, which continued in July and accelerated in August.
Alibaba’s next reported quarter’s annualised growth will be on an extremely depressed base.


Alibaba: Accelerating Retail Sales, and a Depressed Comp Base, Bode Well for Near-Term Earnings

China

Vipshop Holdings Ltd. retails branded products at discount over the Internet. The Company retails through flash sales, in which limited quantities of an item are sold at deep discount for a specified period of time.

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Vipshop Holdings (VIPS US)

China ADRs Delisting - Christmas Came a Day Earlier than We Expected - No Delisting Risk for Now

Today PCAOB announced that they had secured complete access to inspect and investigate Chinese Firms for the first time in history. This removes...

Sumeet Singh

Tencent Distribution of Meituan Shares Official - Impact and Index Implications

Tencent will distribute 90% of its holdings in Meituan in an in-specie distribution, which goes ex- on 5 January and gets settled 24 March 2023....

Travis Lundy

Vipshop: Rebound in Chinese Apparel Sales Should Trump Conservative Management Guidance

In this insight, we analyse recent retail and apparel sales data, top-line growth trends, earnings revisions, and valuation levels for Vipshop.

Wium Malan, CFA

Alibaba: Accelerating Retail Sales, and a Depressed Comp Base, Bode Well for Near-Term Earnings

In this insight, we analyse recent retail sales data, industry top-line and user growth trends, earnings revisions, and valuation levels for...

Wium Malan, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China ADRs Delisting - Christmas Came a Day Earlier than We Expected - No Delisting Risk for Now

Today PCAOB announced that they had secured complete access to inspect and investigate Chinese Firms for the first time in history. This removes...

Sumeet Singh

ATRenew: A Turnaround Story With Material Increase in Profit Margins + Remaining Share Buyback

Our base case valuation analysis of ATRenew suggests an implied market cap of US$720 million, representing an implied price of US$3.15 per share,...

Douglas Kim

Tencent Distribution of Meituan Shares Official - Impact and Index Implications

Tencent will distribute 90% of its holdings in Meituan in an in-specie distribution, which goes ex- on 5 January and gets settled 24 March 2023....

Travis Lundy

Vipshop: Rebound in Chinese Apparel Sales Should Trump Conservative Management Guidance

In this insight, we analyse recent retail and apparel sales data, top-line growth trends, earnings revisions, and valuation levels for Vipshop.

Wium Malan, CFA

Alibaba: Accelerating Retail Sales, and a Depressed Comp Base, Bode Well for Near-Term Earnings

In this insight, we analyse recent retail sales data, industry top-line and user growth trends, earnings revisions, and valuation levels for...

Wium Malan, CFA