IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Aquila Acquisition Corporation / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aquila-acquisition-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35435:1" rel="noopener">Aquila Acquisition Corporation (7836 HK)</a> agreed to a De-SPAC transaction with ZG Group (formerly Zhaogang.com), the world’s largest digital platform for third-party steel transactions.</li>
<li>ZG has a questionable business model, struggling to generate profits or underlying FCF. This dynamic suggests that ZG has not established a sustainable competitive advantage. </li>
<li>The negotiated value of ZG in the De-SPAC transaction is HK$10,004 million (US$1,277 million). Our valuation analysis suggests that this negotiated value is unrealistic.</li>
</ul>



Aquila Acquisition Corporation (7836 HK) agreed to a De-SPAC transaction with ZG Group (formerly Zhaogang.com), the world’s largest digital platform for third-party steel transactions.
ZG has a questionable business model, struggling to generate profits or underlying FCF. This dynamic suggests that ZG has not established a sustainable competitive advantage. 
The negotiated value of ZG in the De-SPAC transaction is HK$10,004 million (US$1,277 million). Our valuation analysis suggests that this negotiated value is unrealistic.


Aquila Acquisition Corp (7836 HK): ZG Group’s Punchy Valuation

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Chinese economy looks weak according to the data from the statistics bureau.</li>
<li>However, many big Chinese internet companies began to recover in Q2 as we mentioned in August.</li>
<li>Here we list five recovering companies that investors may not pay attention to.</li>
</ul>


The Chinese economy looks weak according to the data from the statistics bureau.
However, many big Chinese internet companies began to recover in Q2 as we mentioned in August.
Here we list five recovering companies that investors may not pay attention to.


China Internet Weekly (4Sep2023): Quarterly Results See Growing – BIDU, VIPS, ZTO, Giant, BEKE

Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

<ul>
<li>Over the last decade, VIPShop proved it is the undisputed leader in China’s online discount retail business with the longest streak of profitability and impressive ROE among China internet names.</li>
<li>Investors are misplaced to look to the stock for growth. Rather, it is cash cow in mature business with deep moat and run by disciplined management who cares about shareholders.</li>
<li>Trading at 4.5x our FY23 earnings excluding net cash, it valuation is attractive even compared to depressed sector comps. Expect 20% CAGR of return by 2025 driven by intrinsic value.</li>
</ul>


Over the last decade, VIPShop proved it is the undisputed leader in China’s online discount retail business with the longest streak of profitability and impressive ROE among China internet names.
Investors are misplaced to look to the stock for growth. Rather, it is cash cow in mature business with deep moat and run by disciplined management who cares about shareholders.
Trading at 4.5x our FY23 earnings excluding net cash, it valuation is attractive even compared to depressed sector comps. Expect 20% CAGR of return by 2025 driven by intrinsic value.


VIPShop (VIPS US): Attractive Value Play Underappreciated by Investors Looking for Growth

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BABA/VIPS/JD/PDD/3690.HK: Catering was the top growing consumption category in July (-/-/-/+)</li>
<li>1810.HK/2454.TT: Xiaomi launches new products at annual Lei Jun conference (+)</li>
<li>Property sector update: New home sales in July remain weak, and expect the landing of supportive policies（/）</li>
</ul>


BABA/VIPS/JD/PDD/3690.HK: Catering was the top growing consumption category in July (-/-/-/+)
1810.HK/2454.TT: Xiaomi launches new products at annual Lei Jun conference (+)
Property sector update: New home sales in July remain weak, and expect the landing of supportive policies（/）


China TMT Update-BABA/VIPS/JD/PDD/3690.HK/1810.HK/2454.TT/BEKE-Catering Was the Top Growing Category

<ul>
<li>BABA/VIPS/JD/PDD/3690.HK: Online retail sales growth steady in June NBS data (+)</li>
<li>700HK/SE:Tencent's FPS game "Arena Breakout" international version was launched on July 14th (+/-)</li>
<li>XPEV : Xpeng denies planning of PHEV pipelines  ( / )</li>
</ul>


BABA/VIPS/JD/PDD/3690.HK: Online retail sales growth steady in June NBS data (+)
700HK/SE:Tencent's FPS game "Arena Breakout" international version was launched on July 14th (+/-)
XPEV : Xpeng denies planning of PHEV pipelines  ( / )


China TMT Update-BABA/VIPS/JD/PDD/3690.HK/700HK/SE/XPEV-Online Retail Sales Growth；"Arena Breakout"；

China

Vipshop Holdings Ltd. retails branded products at discount over the Internet. The Company retails through flash sales, in which limited quantities of an item are sold at deep discount for a specified period of time.

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Vipshop Holdings (VIPS US)

Aquila Acquisition Corp (7836 HK): ZG Group’s Punchy Valuation

ZG has a questionable business model, struggling to generate profits or underlying FCF. Our valuation analysis suggests that ZG's negotiated value...

Arun George

China Internet Weekly (4Sep2023): Quarterly Results See Growing – BIDU, VIPS, ZTO, Giant, BEKE

The macroeconomy looks weak. However, big Chinese internet giants began to recover. Here we list five small companies that the market may neglect.

Ming Lu

VIPShop (VIPS US): Attractive Value Play Underappreciated by Investors Looking for Growth

As a cash cow with deep moat run by disciplined management who cares shareholders, VIPShop is an attractive value play trading at 4.5x our FY23...

Eric Chen

China TMT Update-BABA/VIPS/JD/PDD/3690.HK/1810.HK/2454.TT/BEKE-Catering Was the Top Growing Category

Catering was the top growing consumption category in July;Xiaomi launches new products at annual Lei Jun conference; New home sales in July remain...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China TMT Update-BABA/VIPS/JD/PDD/3690.HK/700HK/SE/XPEV-Online Retail Sales Growth；"Arena Breakout"；

BABA/VIPS/JD/PDD/3690.HK: Online retail sales growth steady in June NBS data (+)/700HK/SE:Tencent's FPS game "Arena Breakout" international version...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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