Yield Curve Watch: Bull, bear, steeper, flatter? Here is what the data suggests
Welcome to our Yield Curve Watch series. Over the next few days, we will assess all asset classes in relation to the yield curve dynamics and...
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Out of the Box #14: 4 Reasons Why Curve Steepening Is Now on the Cards
In our “out of the box” series, we aim at being ahead of the current consensus narrative and think of the next theme that could drive price action...
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5 Things We Watch: Downgrades, Cyclicals, Oil, JGBs and GDP/GDI
A credit downgrade of the US sovereign debt amidst a steepening of global curves triggered by the Bank of Japan finally making mini-steps towards...
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Expect the ISM Manufacturing to Rise to 48, Signaling 14% Downside for Equities
The regional US Manufacturing PMIs point to an increase of the ISM Manufacturing Index to 48.1 from 46. Yet, this is insufficient to erase the...
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Pause Watch: 25 bps and then a pause!?
A Fed pause historically means that the recession clock starts ticking and rings in the recession when the Fed starts cutting. The outlook for...
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