Fed's Hawkish Hike: Curve-Flattening Recession Risks Remain Despite the Slight Cut in the IOER
As the Fed's balance sheet shrinks, base money is declining and broad money supply (M2) has been rising at an anaemic 3.5-4.5% YoY pace for the...
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Post Summit Hurdles, Pivot Levels and Path to S&P 2,960
Risk correlations and post summit pivotsWe wanted to refresh near term risk points as we attempt to coordinate a USD/JPY top, bond price low, USD...
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US Dollar: Monthly Currency Summary
The Dollar Index has just finished a 5-wave rally off the late-March low, and this correction could carry as far as 92.20-92.70. Another rally...
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Asian FX Pressures Mount Above DXY 92 - Euro Big Breakdown
We have been warning of a USD domino breakout cycle that started with the TRY breakout and then BRL triangle breakout that would bleed into Asian...
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Week Ahead in Global Macro: FOMC, NFP, UST Refunding, EZ GDP/CPI, Apple/Tesla, Tariff Waiver Expires
Our guide to this week’s global macro risk events and trading opportunities. This week in trade ideas: Strategic short EUR vs both JPY and USD...
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