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Prasenjit K. Basu

Prasenjit K. Basu
Chief Economist & Political Strategist
CrossASEAN Research

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Multi-Asset Macroeconomics Cross Asset Strategy
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bullishMacroeconomics
03 Jul 2024 02:15

US: Receding Inflation Has Put 3 Rate Cuts Back in Play for 2024

Core PCE rose 0.99%MoM annualised in May'24, as genuine QT occurred in Apr-May'24. The 25th July release of 2%QoQ and 2.5%YoY rises in core PCE...

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29 Jun 2024 04:26

Biden's Catastrophic Debate Likely to Lead to 1968-Repeat; Can It End Differently?

Biden's cognitively-challenged debate performance increases the probability of a Trump landslide, with 10% import tariffs disrupting the world...

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bullishMacroeconomics
19 Jun 2024 17:21

US FOMC Projections Too Pessimistic; Two Rate Cuts Likely in 2024 as Inflation Abates

US M2 contraction (Dec'22-Mar'23) helped offset previous excesses. ​Core PCE inflation to stay below 2.6%YoY in H2CY24 (belying FOMC's latest...

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bullishMacroeconomics
06 Jun 2024 04:07

NDA (Not BJP) Wins 3rd Consecutive Term; Economic Reform Will Still Gain

​NDA led by PM Modi wins 3rd consecutive majority, but BJP falls short. Modi dependent on TDP and JD(U) MPs for support. Economic reform likely to...

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bullishMacroeconomics
03 Jun 2024 17:25

India: Real GDP to Accelerate to 8.5% Growth This FY from Last Year's 8.2%

RGDP grew 8.2% in FY24, led by 9% growth in GFCF. PCE, up just 4% in FY24, is set to rebound strongly in FY25, helped by La-Nina-driven strong...

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