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Prasenjit K. Basu

Prasenjit K. Basu
Chief Economist & Political Strategist
CrossASEAN Research

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bullishMacroeconomics
13 Mar 2025 20:18

India: Inflation Likely Averaging 3.2%YoY in Apr-Dec'25 Will Allow 100bp of Rate Cuts

​Feb'25 CPI inflation at 3.6%YoY due to lower food prices, expected to stay below 3.5%YoY for next 6 months. Policy rate to decline by 100bp in Apr...

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bullishMacroeconomics
12 Mar 2025 21:32

US: Trump Disinflation Evident in Feb'25, Likely to Continue as DOGE Cuts Flow In

​US CPI inflation lower than expected, core inflation at 46-month low. Crude oil prices contained, DOGE impact on spending/job cuts to offset...

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04 Mar 2025 17:33

Germany: Merz Call for 'independence from America' Could Be Ill-Timed Self-Goal

​Chancellor-elect Merz is mounting an improbable bid to achieve 'independence from America', as the requisite boost to defence/infra spending...

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bullishMacroeconomics
12 Feb 2025 20:35

India: Our View About Inflation Vindicated in Jan'25, Paving Path to Faster Rate Cuts

Jan'25 inflation in line with our forecast but already lower than ​RBI forecast for Jan-Mar'25 quarter. We expect up to 100bp of further rate cuts...

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bullishMacroeconomics
10 Feb 2025 18:09

India: RBI to Cut 75bp More, and BJP Delhi Win to Spur 8% RGDP Growth Post Tax Cuts

​RBI's 25bp cut likely to be followed by 75bp more by Aug'25 as inflation recedes. Delhi election to boost urban governance, and income tax cuts...

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