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Prasenjit K. Basu

Prasenjit K. Basu
Chief Economist & Political Strategist
CrossASEAN Research

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Multi-Asset Macroeconomics Cross Asset Strategy
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bullishMacroeconomics
07 Nov 2024 04:06

US: Trump Sweep of WH, Senate, House Clears the Way for Growth and Lower Brent

​Trump's re-election strengthens mandate with Republican control of Senate/House. Proposed tax cuts, deregulation to boost economy/equities and...

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bullishMacroeconomics
05 Nov 2024 23:45

US: Election Is a Dead Heat, but There'll Be Very Different Winners from Each Outcome

RCP predicts a big Trump win, TheEconomist a narrow Harris one. Turnout key for Trump; his win would lower oil prices & hit China, benefitting the...

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bearishMacroeconomics
28 Oct 2024 04:53

Japan: LDP-Komeito Lose Their Abe-Era Majority; Political Uncertainty Ahead

LDP-Komeito have 215 seats, 18 short of a majority. CDPJ and centre-left have 185 seats. JIP holds balance of power with 38. Political uncertainty...

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bullishMacroeconomics
22 Oct 2024 03:17

US: Presidential Race Remains a Dead Heat but Perceived Inflation Likely a Tiebreaker

​History shows that high inflation over a presidential term is fatal to incumbents (1952, 1976, 1980, 1992). Prices 25% above Jan'21 will harm...

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bearishMacroeconomics
21 Oct 2024 18:05

India: Clear Policy Error Despite Food-Driven Spurt in Sep'24 Inflation

Veg prices can't be controlled by monetary policy, so RBI should've cut rates in Aug & Oct'24, with core & headline inflation below target. Policy...

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