Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32807:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US)</a> in December but there are a lot of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> is the biggest sell while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> is the biggest buy.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 6.6% resulting in a one-way trade of US$682m. Couple of stocks have greater than 0.2x ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US) in December but there are a lot of float and capping changes.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) is the biggest sell while NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) is the biggest buy.
Estimated one-way turnover is 6.6% resulting in a one-way trade of US$682m. Couple of stocks have greater than 0.2x ADV to trade.


MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: TSMC Is the Big Sell

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Is TSMC Leaving Samsung in the Dust with its New 3nm Process Technology?</li>
<li>Our Pick Himax a Top Loser... Apple Lens Supplier, Yageo Peer, and Taiwan AI Chip Designer Top Winners</li>
<li>Positive Sign for Apple Revenue -- Hon Hai November Revenue Higher Than Expected, Guides for Better December</li>
</ul>


Is TSMC Leaving Samsung in the Dust with its New 3nm Process Technology?
Our Pick Himax a Top Loser... Apple Lens Supplier, Yageo Peer, and Taiwan AI Chip Designer Top Winners
Positive Sign for Apple Revenue -- Hon Hai November Revenue Higher Than Expected, Guides for Better December


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Extending Lead Vs. Samsung with 3nm Tech; Hon Hai Result Positive for Apple

<ul>
<li>Taiwan AI Plays Top Losers Recently, Dell Results Coming Today U.S. Time to Provide Color for PCs and Servers</li>
<li>Taiwan Tech Post-Earnings Takeaways: Semis Margins Underestimated? Hardware 2024E Forecasts Ramped</li>
<li>Nanya, Yageo Top Gainers; We Rate the Stocks Outperform and Structural Long Respectively</li>
</ul>


Taiwan AI Plays Top Losers Recently, Dell Results Coming Today U.S. Time to Provide Color for PCs and Servers
Taiwan Tech Post-Earnings Takeaways: Semis Margins Underestimated? Hardware 2024E Forecasts Ramped
Nanya, Yageo Top Gainers; We Rate the Stocks Outperform and Structural Long Respectively


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Taiwan AI Top Losers; Dell to Provide PC/Server Color; Post-3Q Results Takeaways

<ul>
<li>Taiwan Tech companies beat analyst expectations by a high rate in the latest quarter</li>
<li>Semiconductors: Consensus could be underestimating a margin rebound for 2024E</li>
<li>Hardware aggregate forecast earnings growth increased significantly for 2024E as compared to just three months ago</li>
</ul>


Taiwan Tech companies beat analyst expectations by a high rate in the latest quarter
Semiconductors: Consensus could be underestimating a margin rebound for 2024E
Hardware aggregate forecast earnings growth increased significantly for 2024E as compared to just three months ago


Taiwan Tech Post-Earnings Takeaways: Semis Margins Underestimated? Hardware 2024E Forecasts Ramped

<ul>
<li>TSMC: 8.2% Premium -- Still Best to Wait for Better Levels</li>
<li>ASE: 6.4% Premium -- Wait for 5% as the Level to Go Long the Spread</li>
<li>ChipMOS: -0.5% Discount -- Stay Long the Spread if You Started at -2.0%</li>
</ul>


TSMC: 8.2% Premium -- Still Best to Wait for Better Levels
ASE: 6.4% Premium -- Wait for 5% as the Level to Go Long the Spread
ChipMOS: -0.5% Discount -- Stay Long the Spread if You Started at -2.0%


Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: Spreads Generally Trading in the Middle of Their Ranges

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: TSMC Is the Big Sell

There are no constituent changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 6.6% resulting in a one-way trade of US$682m. Couple of stocks have greater than...

Brian Freitas

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Extending Lead Vs. Samsung with 3nm Tech; Hon Hai Result Positive for Apple

TSMC appears to be beating Samsung repeatedly when it comes to winning clients to produce leading-edge 3-nm chips. TSMC has repeatedly been chosen...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Taiwan AI Top Losers; Dell to Provide PC/Server Color; Post-3Q Results Takeaways

Nanya and Yageo have been top gainers recently with Yageo achieving new 52-week highs; We rate the stocks as Outperform and Structural Long...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Post-Earnings Takeaways: Semis Margins Underestimated? Hardware 2024E Forecasts Ramped

We analyze aggregate 3Q23 results data and analyst estimate changes for our entire Taiwan Tech universe. Changes for Hardware vs. Semiconductor...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: Spreads Generally Trading in the Middle of Their Ranges

In this piece, we provide our long and short levels for each dual-listing spread. Spreads are generally near the middle of their historical ranges.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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