HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Hutchmed China Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

In March this year, the CEO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hutchison-china-meditech-ltd-7c2c4b58-ca71-4ac4-befb-345e8d0f10ca" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27342:1" rel="noopener">Hutchison China MediTech Ltd (HCM US)</a> said at its 2020 earnings conference that the Company has no plans for an IPO in Hong Kong. Just three months later, on June 18, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hutchmed-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:133:1" rel="noopener">Hutchmed China Ltd (13 HK)</a> formally passed the HKEX hearing for its IPO. After listing in the UK and the US, Hutchmed has made its way to Hong Kong after all. However, those leading listed domestic biopharmaceutical companies have already started their commercialization of products, and the construction of supporting capabilities such as sales team and production capacity is also under way. Therefore, in the context of fierce domestic innovative drug competition, it is not clear whether Hutchmed can perform well based on its pipeline and commercialization capabilities. This insights mainly analyzed both the strength and the concerns of the Company.

In March this year, the CEO of Hutchison China MediTech Ltd (HCM US) said at its 2020 earnings conference that the Company has no plans for an IPO in Hong Kong. Just three months later, on June 18, Hutchmed China Ltd (13 HK) formally passed the HKEX hearing for its IPO. After listing in the UK and the US, Hutchmed has made its way to Hong Kong after all. However, those leading listed domestic biopharmaceutical companies have already started their commercialization of products, and the construction of supporting capabilities such as sales team and production capacity is also under way. Therefore, in the context of fierce domestic innovative drug competition, it is not clear whether Hutchmed can perform well based on its pipeline and commercialization capabilities. This insights mainly analyzed both the strength and the concerns of the Company.

Pre-IPO Hutchmed China Ltd (13.HK) - The Strength and the Concerns

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>The 2021 medical insurance catalogue adjustment plan is soliciting opinions, and drugs approved for market launch during 2020.8.17 - 2021.6.30 will be eligible to participate in the negotiations.</li>
<li>Related departments issued new documents stating that from June to December this year, they will jointly carry out a special campaign to crack down on illegal medical beauty activities.</li>
<li>The General Office of the State Council issued a new document about the  development of public hospitals.</li>
</ul>Company news:News about the updated progress on drugs of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cspc-pharmaceutical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:229:1" rel="noopener">CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK)</a>.Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 2.8%, while CSI 300 decreased 2.34% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:
The 2021 medical insurance catalogue adjustment plan is soliciting opinions, and drugs approved for market launch during 2020.8.17 - 2021.6.30 will be eligible to participate in the negotiations.
Related departments issued new documents stating that from June to December this year, they will jointly carry out a special campaign to crack down on illegal medical beauty activities.
The General Office of the State Council issued a new document about the  development of public hospitals.
Company news:News about the updated progress on drugs of BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK), Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH), Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK), and CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK).Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 2.8%, while CSI 300 decreased 2.34% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences  / Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-junshi-bioscience-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27760:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK)</a> is looking to raise about US$280m in its primary placement. Proceeds raised will be used for R&amp;D, expansion of sales team, domestic and overseas investment, mergers and acquisitions, and business development.We have previously covered the IPO and lock-up expiry event in:<ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/junshi-bioscience-ipo-early-in-application-but-behind-in-key-indications-part-1" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Junshi Bioscience (君实医药) IPO: Early in Application but Behind in Key Indications (Part 1)</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/junshi-bioscience-ipo-thoughts-on-valuation-part-2" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Junshi Bioscience (君实医药) IPO: Thoughts on Valuation (Part 2)</a></li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/junshi-bioscience-lock-up-expiry-valuation-still-rich-with-few-r-d-updates" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:30630" rel="noopener">Junshi Bioscience Lock-Up Expiry: Valuation Still Rich with Few R&amp;D Updates</a> </li>
</ul>

Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK) is looking to raise about US$280m in its primary placement. Proceeds raised will be used for R&amp;D, expansion of sales team, domestic and overseas investment, mergers and acquisitions, and business development.We have previously covered the IPO and lock-up expiry event in:
Junshi Bioscience (君实医药) IPO: Early in Application but Behind in Key Indications (Part 1)
Junshi Bioscience (君实医药) IPO: Thoughts on Valuation (Part 2)

Junshi Bioscience Lock-Up Expiry: Valuation Still Rich with Few R&amp;D Updates 


Junshi Bio (君实医药) Placement - Expected Deal but Large Deal Size

Equity Bottom-Up

At present, although the competition of PD-1/PD-L1 is becoming more and more fierce in China, it has to be admitted that, compared with the global market share of about 55%, domestic monoclonal antibodies only occupy 6% of the biopharmaceutical market share, so there is still a broad space and growth potential. Meanwhile, with PD-1/PD-L1 products of the domestic top four companies (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-junshi-bioscience-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27760:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK)</a>) being included in medical insurance catalogue, the pricing of PD-1/PD-L1 products of these four companies would be the ceiling for all subsequent homogeneous enterprises. The only companies that are capable of joining the competition are those with the best products and strong commercialization capability. Actually, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akeso-biopharma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28830:1" rel="noopener">Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK)</a> could be the very one to challenge the top four. Besides, as a competitive and strong biotech company, Akeso is also moving in the direction of a Big Pharma.

At present, although the competition of PD-1/PD-L1 is becoming more and more fierce in China, it has to be admitted that, compared with the global market share of about 55%, domestic monoclonal antibodies only occupy 6% of the biopharmaceutical market share, so there is still a broad space and growth potential. Meanwhile, with PD-1/PD-L1 products of the domestic top four companies (Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH), BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK), Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) and Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK)) being included in medical insurance catalogue, the pricing of PD-1/PD-L1 products of these four companies would be the ceiling for all subsequent homogeneous enterprises. The only companies that are capable of joining the competition are those with the best products and strong commercialization capability. Actually, Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK) could be the very one to challenge the top four. Besides, as a competitive and strong biotech company, Akeso is also moving in the direction of a Big Pharma.

Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926.HK) - Could Be the Very One to Challenge the “Top Four”

Recently, according to the official website, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/everest-medicines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29224:1" rel="noopener">Everest Medicines (1952 HK)</a> announced that its sacituzumab govitecan-hziy (SG, Trodelvy) was granted Priority Review by the Center for Drug Evaluation (CDE) of the China National Medical Products Administration (NMPA). This marks another progress following the Company's announcement that the NMPA accepted its Biologics License Application (BLA) for SG for the treatment of adult patients with unresectable locally advanced or metastatic triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) who have received two or more prior systemic therapies, at least one of them for metastatic disease. The BLA submission of Trodelvy, the core product candidate of Everest Medicines, was substantially earlier than the Company's previous guidance and our expectations, so it is expected that Trodelvy would contribute sales revenue much earlier, and the Company’s commercialization prospect has reshaped.

Recently, according to the official website, Everest Medicines (1952 HK) announced that its sacituzumab govitecan-hziy (SG, Trodelvy) was granted Priority Review by the Center for Drug Evaluation (CDE) of the China National Medical Products Administration (NMPA). This marks another progress following the Company's announcement that the NMPA accepted its Biologics License Application (BLA) for SG for the treatment of adult patients with unresectable locally advanced or metastatic triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) who have received two or more prior systemic therapies, at least one of them for metastatic disease. The BLA submission of Trodelvy, the core product candidate of Everest Medicines, was substantially earlier than the Company's previous guidance and our expectations, so it is expected that Trodelvy would contribute sales revenue much earlier, and the Company’s commercialization prospect has reshaped.

Everest Medicines (1952.HK) - The Commercialization Prospect Has Reshaped

China

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences Co., Ltd. operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The Company develops and sells small molecule drugs, antibody drug conjugates, and other products. Shanghai Junshi Biosciences markets its products worldwide.

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Shanghai Junshi Biosciences (1877 HK)

Pre-IPO Hutchmed China Ltd (13.HK) - The Strength and the Concerns

The article analyzed Hutchmed in terms of its business analysis, financial performance, pipeline, comparison with other biotech companies, and also...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.18)

The article analyzed the 2021 medical insurance catalogue adjustment plan, new document to crack down on illegal medical beauty activities, new...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Junshi Bio (君实医药) Placement - Expected Deal but Large Deal Size

Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK) is looking to raise about US$280m in its primary placement. Proceeds raised will be mainly used for R&D.

Zhen Zhou, Toh

Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926.HK) - Could Be the Very One to Challenge the “Top Four”

This article mainly analyzed Akeso in terms of its core product candidates AK-105, AK-104, AK-112, AK-101, the potential, the business outlook, and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Everest Medicines (1952.HK) - The Commercialization Prospect Has Reshaped

After the BLA submission of Trodelvy, the commercialization prospect of Everest Medicines has reshaped. This article mainly analyzed the business...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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