Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul style="list-style-type: disc;"><li><p>WTR-CMI last week. In an up-week for the market, our WTR-CMI index of 30 chemical and material technology companies appreciated 4.8%, surpassing both the S&amp;P 500 and Russell 2000 returns of 2.3% and 3.7%, respectively.</p></li><li><p>FUL’s 13.2% appreciation led our index, as the company delivered strong margins in 2QFY23 (May- 23) and provided solid EBITDA guidance for the year.</p></li><li><p>The stock was also helped by FUL’s announcement of two bolt- on acquisitions, Adhezion Biomedical, a privately held medical adhesives company, and XCHEM International, a UAE specialty adhesives manufacturer with a strong position in MENA. </p></li></ul>

WTR-CMI last week. In an up-week for the market, our WTR-CMI index of 30 chemical and material technology companies appreciated 4.8%, surpassing both the S&amp;P 500 and Russell 2000 returns of 2.3% and 3.7%, respectively.FUL’s 13.2% appreciation led our index, as the company delivered strong margins in 2QFY23 (May- 23) and provided solid EBITDA guidance for the year.The stock was also helped by FUL’s announcement of two bolt- on acquisitions, Adhezion Biomedical, a privately held medical adhesives company, and XCHEM International, a UAE specialty adhesives manufacturer with a strong position in MENA. 

Mat-Chem Notes For the Week Ended June 30, 2023

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist, True Insights

Jeroen Blokland

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist

Build Well-Diversified Multi-Asset Portfolios

True Insights

Our research helps investors build well-diversified multi-asset portfolios and profit from market developments. In addition, our unique and proven Macro – Sentiment – Valuation (MSV) investment framework ensures a consistent flow of new investment opportunities. Together with our market views, these opportunities will be reflected in our live ETF-based Global Multi-Asset Portfolios.

Cross Asset Strategy

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<li>Our Fear &amp; Frenzy Sentiment Index has moved into Frenzy territory aggressively, suggesting a pullback in equity markets is upon us.</li>
<li>Based on the historical relationship between the ISM Manufacturing and the S&amp;P 500 Index, the latest drop to 46 suggests an index level of 3,400.</li>
<li>This week, we highlight the chart showing the change in the number of bankruptcies and the spread on US high-yield bonds. Where did spreads go?</li>
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Our Fear &amp; Frenzy Sentiment Index has moved into Frenzy territory aggressively, suggesting a pullback in equity markets is upon us.
Based on the historical relationship between the ISM Manufacturing and the S&amp;P 500 Index, the latest drop to 46 suggests an index level of 3,400.
This week, we highlight the chart showing the change in the number of bankruptcies and the spread on US high-yield bonds. Where did spreads go?


The Weekly Market Monitor (27) – Will the Bull Survive?

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

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<li>Happy Wednesday, and welcome back to our weekly ‘5 Things We Watch’ where we take you through some of the topics and events that we are looking out for currently. </li>
<li>The equity rally continues, Xi is in the middle of structural issues, house lending is falling off a cliff in EZ and inflation is waning fast.</li>
<li>Read more about the 5 things that we watch currently in this week’s edition of ‘5 Things We Watch’.</li>
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Happy Wednesday, and welcome back to our weekly ‘5 Things We Watch’ where we take you through some of the topics and events that we are looking out for currently. 
The equity rally continues, Xi is in the middle of structural issues, house lending is falling off a cliff in EZ and inflation is waning fast.
Read more about the 5 things that we watch currently in this week’s edition of ‘5 Things We Watch’.










5 Things We Watch - The Equity Rally, the Chinese Consumption Problem, Consumers Vs Corporates

Senior Equity Derivatives Trader

Simon Harris

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets</li>
<li>Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days</li>
<li>We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces</li>
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Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets
Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days
We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces


EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades-Chasing Stocks Higher

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

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<li>Cycle: Near term pullback a buy for a push into late June/early July (cycle has shifted right). Equities remain well supported. Increased volatility expected in July.</li>
<li>Met the SPX 4,370 buy level with firmer support at 4,350. Rally bias for a minor new high in the coming week+.</li>
<li>Measuring rally momentum for signs of a bigger stall cycle in July.</li>
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Cycle: Near term pullback a buy for a push into late June/early July (cycle has shifted right). Equities remain well supported. Increased volatility expected in July.
Met the SPX 4,370 buy level with firmer support at 4,350. Rally bias for a minor new high in the coming week+.
Measuring rally momentum for signs of a bigger stall cycle in July.


United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

Mat-Chem Notes For the Week Ended June 30, 2023

FUL’s 13.2% appreciation led our index, as the company delivered strong margins in 2QFY23 (May- 23) and provided solid EBITDA guidance for the year.

Water Tower Research

The Weekly Market Monitor (27) – Will the Bull Survive?

If markets stop being driven by sentiment and focus on the broader macro environment, downside in equities and other risky assets becomes abundant.

Jeroen Blokland

5 Things We Watch - The Equity Rally, the Chinese Consumption Problem, Consumers Vs Corporates

Happy Wednesday, and welcome back to our weekly ‘5 Things We Watch’ where we take you through some of the topics and events that we are looking...

Steno Research

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades-Chasing Stocks Higher

A weekly look at spot, vol and skew changes across 8 global Indices. We analyse the changes and try to identify the best trades based on the vol...

Simon Harris

Meeting SPX and NDX Buy Levels

Cycle: Near term pullback a buy for a push into late June/early July (cycle has shifted right). Equities remain well supported. Increased...

Thomas Schroeder