Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist, True Insights

Jeroen Blokland

All-round Multi-Asset investor. Former head of a EUR 5 billion multi-asset fund range. Speaker. Charts & Frameworks. Founder of True Insights, a provider of independent investment research, trade ideas & well-diversified portfolios.
https://true-insights.net/

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist

ISM at 46: Recession Within Six Months, or This Time Is Different?

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<ul>
<li>Our Fear &amp; Frenzy Sentiment Index has moved into Frenzy territory aggressively, suggesting a pullback in equity markets is upon us.</li>
<li>Based on the historical relationship between the ISM Manufacturing and the S&amp;P 500 Index, the latest drop to 46 suggests an index level of 3,400.</li>
<li>This week, we highlight the chart showing the change in the number of bankruptcies and the spread on US high-yield bonds. Where did spreads go?</li>
</ul>


Our Fear &amp; Frenzy Sentiment Index has moved into Frenzy territory aggressively, suggesting a pullback in equity markets is upon us.
Based on the historical relationship between the ISM Manufacturing and the S&amp;P 500 Index, the latest drop to 46 suggests an index level of 3,400.
This week, we highlight the chart showing the change in the number of bankruptcies and the spread on US high-yield bonds. Where did spreads go?


The Weekly Market Monitor (27) – Will the Bull Survive?