European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during March. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 47.3% (vs. 47.1%); GBL, 38.15 (vs. 37.7%); Heineken Holding, 16.7% (vs. 16.5%); </li>
<li>Industrivärden C, 1.4% (vs. 4.4%); Investor B, 6.1% (vs. 5.6%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 45.4% (vs. 43.7%). Rio DLC spread tightened to 24.9% (vs. 25.6%), and on 26 March reached 27.7%.</li>
<li>What seems interesting: listed assets vs. Industrivärden C and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).</li>
</ul>


The Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during March. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 47.3% (vs. 47.1%); GBL, 38.15 (vs. 37.7%); Heineken Holding, 16.7% (vs. 16.5%); 
Industrivärden C, 1.4% (vs. 4.4%); Investor B, 6.1% (vs. 5.6%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 45.4% (vs. 43.7%). Rio DLC spread tightened to 24.9% (vs. 25.6%), and on 26 March reached 27.7%.
What seems interesting: listed assets vs. Industrivärden C and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: March'24 Report

<ul>
<li>The discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have mainly widened during December. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 49.1% (vs. 47.1%); GBL, 36.6% (vs. 34.9%); Heineken Holding, 16.7% (vs. 14.5%);</li>
<li>Industrivärden C, 5.4% (vs.4.9%); Investor B, 13.5% (vs. 14.6%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 37.1% (vs. 39.9%).  The spread of Rio DLC widened to 24.2% (vs.17.2%).</li>
<li>What seems interesting: in holding trades, Porsche SE/vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC: long RIO LN/short RIO AU.</li>
</ul>


The discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have mainly widened during December. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 49.1% (vs. 47.1%); GBL, 36.6% (vs. 34.9%); Heineken Holding, 16.7% (vs. 14.5%);
Industrivärden C, 5.4% (vs.4.9%); Investor B, 13.5% (vs. 14.6%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 37.1% (vs. 39.9%).  The spread of Rio DLC widened to 24.2% (vs.17.2%).
What seems interesting: in holding trades, Porsche SE/vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC: long RIO LN/short RIO AU.


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: December’23 Report

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>While there may be still be some overhang once the rights shares start trading, this is a good entry point</li>
<li>Applications for 6.4 Billion excess rights shares received from 11 applications</li>
<li>Rights shares will start trading on Tuesday 16th of July</li>
</ul>


While there may be still be some overhang once the rights shares start trading, this is a good entry point
Applications for 6.4 Billion excess rights shares received from 11 applications
Rights shares will start trading on Tuesday 16th of July


MMG Limited (1208.HK) Rights Issue - 98.18% Taken Up

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Top miners like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/teck-resources-ltd-36dbdad5-1430-4d7a-8578-31bc50086f72" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33343:1" rel="noopener">Teck Resources (TECK US)</a> are signaling their long-term bullish copper intent through their recent corporate actions. </li>
<li>Copper may experience short periods of oversupply, but its long-term outlook makes it one of the best commodities we cover in terms of return potential. </li>
<li>Our best plays in the copper space are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/southern-copper-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16279:1" rel="noopener">Southern Copper (SCCO US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/teck-resources-ltd-36dbdad5-1430-4d7a-8578-31bc50086f72" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33343:1" rel="noopener">Teck Resources (TECK US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/freeport-mcmoran-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12491:1" rel="noopener">Freeport Mcmoran (FCX US)</a>
</li>
</ul>


Top miners like BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU) and Teck Resources (TECK US) are signaling their long-term bullish copper intent through their recent corporate actions. 
Copper may experience short periods of oversupply, but its long-term outlook makes it one of the best commodities we cover in terms of return potential. 
Our best plays in the copper space are Southern Copper (SCCO US), Teck Resources (TECK US) and Freeport Mcmoran (FCX US)



Copper Primer: What We Like About Copper And What to Play

<ul>
<li>We like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vale-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23731:1" rel="noopener">Vale (VALE US)</a> for its exposure to high-grade iron ore (95% of EBITDA) and capital return discipline, with a current dividend yield of 8% and 3.5x EV-EBITDA. </li>
<li>The cash flows from the iron ore business could be used to invest in base metals, such as copper, nickel, etc., to enhance the portfolio. </li>
<li>The key risk remains the overhang from the Mariana Dam disaster being settled for  ~25.7 billion USD (vs. the current market cap of 50 billion USD). </li>
</ul>


We like Vale (VALE US) for its exposure to high-grade iron ore (95% of EBITDA) and capital return discipline, with a current dividend yield of 8% and 3.5x EV-EBITDA. 
The cash flows from the iron ore business could be used to invest in base metals, such as copper, nickel, etc., to enhance the portfolio. 
The key risk remains the overhang from the Mariana Dam disaster being settled for  ~25.7 billion USD (vs. the current market cap of 50 billion USD). 


VALE US: Exposure to High-Grade Iron Ore With >8% Dividend Yield

Australia

Rio Tinto Limited is an international mining company.  The Company has interests in mining for aluminum, borax, coal, copper, gold, iron ore, lead, silver, tin, uranium, zinc, titanium dioxide feedstock, diamonds, talc and zircon. Dually-listed company with RIO LN.

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Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU)

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: March'24 Report

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos widened in March, with notable changes in C.F.Alba, GBL, Heineken Holding, Investor B, and Porsche Automobile...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: December’23 Report

Discounts to NAV for covered holdcos have mainloy widened during December. What seems interesting: Porsche Automobile Holding and Rio DLC.

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

MMG Limited (1208.HK) Rights Issue - 98.18% Taken Up

Good entry point for investors as excess rights shares receive strong demand, trading to begin on July 16th, and copper has had its correction

Rikki Malik

Copper Primer: What We Like About Copper And What to Play

We initiate with a primer on the copper sector. We elaborate on our fundamental rationale for being bullish on the metal and discuss different ways...

Sameer Taneja

VALE US: Exposure to High-Grade Iron Ore With >8% Dividend Yield

We initiate coverage on VALE US, one of the world's biggest iron ore producers, with high-grade iron ore and low-cost production. The stock trades...

Sameer Taneja

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Selected European HoldCos and DLC: March'24 Report

​Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos widened in March, with notable changes in C.F.Alba, GBL, Heineken Holding, Investor B, and Porsche Automobile...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: December’23 Report

​Discounts to NAV for covered holdcos have mainloy widened during December. What seems interesting: Porsche Automobile Holding and Rio DLC.

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

MMG Limited (1208.HK) Rights Issue - 98.18% Taken Up

​Good entry point for investors as excess rights shares receive strong demand, trading to begin on July 16th, and copper has had its correction

Rikki Malik

Copper Primer: What We Like About Copper And What to Play

We initiate with a primer on the copper sector. We elaborate on our fundamental rationale for being bullish on the metal and discuss different ways...

Sameer Taneja

VALE US: Exposure to High-Grade Iron Ore With >8% Dividend Yield

We initiate coverage on VALE US, one of the world's biggest iron ore producers, with high-grade iron ore and low-cost production. The stock trades...

Sameer Taneja

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos widened in March, with notable changes in C.F.Alba, GBL, Heineken Holding, Investor B, and Porsche Automobile...

Discounts to NAV for covered holdcos have mainloy widened during December. What seems interesting: Porsche Automobile Holding and Rio DLC.

Good entry point for investors as excess rights shares receive strong demand, trading to begin on July 16th, and copper has had its correction