External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>At Consumer Electronics Show (CES) 2024, leading tech giants including Nvidia, AMD, Intel, and Qualcomm unveiled their latest offerings, signaling a competitive race to launch AI-centric products for consumer use.</li><li>These new releases are set to enhance the capabilities of upcoming AI-integrated smartphones and PCs amid other applications, launching later this year.</li><li>We anticipate these innovations will spark consumer interest, encouraging purchases or upgrades, and contribute to healthy shipment growth, continuing the momentum from the seasonal restocking observed in the second half of 2023.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

At Consumer Electronics Show (CES) 2024, leading tech giants including Nvidia, AMD, Intel, and Qualcomm unveiled their latest offerings, signaling a competitive race to launch AI-centric products for consumer use.These new releases are set to enhance the capabilities of upcoming AI-integrated smartphones and PCs amid other applications, launching later this year.We anticipate these innovations will spark consumer interest, encouraging purchases or upgrades, and contribute to healthy shipment growth, continuing the momentum from the seasonal restocking observed in the second half of 2023.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Vanguard Intl Semiconductor / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vanguard-international-semi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16011:1" rel="noopener">Vanguard Intl Semiconductor (5347 TT)</a> is likely to see that there could be a decline of around 10% QoQ in 1Q24F.</li>
<li>In terms of revenue contribution, Taiwan, US, China, Europe, and Japan account for approximately 40%, 20%, 15%, 15%, and 10% respectively.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)</a> may give up technology development at 40nm and above and transfer them to Vanguard.</li>
</ul>



Vanguard Intl Semiconductor (5347 TT) is likely to see that there could be a decline of around 10% QoQ in 1Q24F.
In terms of revenue contribution, Taiwan, US, China, Europe, and Japan account for approximately 40%, 20%, 15%, 15%, and 10% respectively.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT) may give up technology development at 40nm and above and transfer them to Vanguard.


Vanguard (5347.TT): 1Q24F Revenue Might Decline ~10% QoQ.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>On January 4th, Microsoft announced a design change for PCs whereby a new physical key will be added to PC keyboards; the Microsoft Copilot key.</li>
<li>Microsoft Copilot will become a must-have for companies in our view. Initial Copilot capabilities can dramatically improve worker productivity and this should help drive AI PC upgrades for the industry.</li>
<li>CES 2024 Jan 9th - 12th will showcase AI PC models sporting Intel's Core Ultra processors and Microsoft's new Copilot key. We also update our Dell vs. Taiwan PCs trade.</li>
</ul>


On January 4th, Microsoft announced a design change for PCs whereby a new physical key will be added to PC keyboards; the Microsoft Copilot key.
Microsoft Copilot will become a must-have for companies in our view. Initial Copilot capabilities can dramatically improve worker productivity and this should help drive AI PC upgrades for the industry.
CES 2024 Jan 9th - 12th will showcase AI PC models sporting Intel's Core Ultra processors and Microsoft's new Copilot key. We also update our Dell vs. Taiwan PCs trade.


'Clippy' Having the Last Laugh? Microsoft's Design Change to Drive AI PC Adoption; Dell Trade Update

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We assume that Intel's current business model is unable to fully meet the manufacturing needs in that case.</li>
<li>As for the Intel Foundry Business, we believe that there is potential upside for growth.</li>
<li>If Intel was doing great in Wafer Manufacturing Business, then why does it have to consider splitting up?</li>
</ul>


We assume that Intel's current business model is unable to fully meet the manufacturing needs in that case.
As for the Intel Foundry Business, we believe that there is potential upside for growth.
If Intel was doing great in Wafer Manufacturing Business, then why does it have to consider splitting up?


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): If Intel Was Split Up, What Impact Will It Have on the Foundry Industry?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)</a>'s revenue outlook for 1Q24F is expected to show a decline of around negative high single digits QoQ.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a> aims to receive x86 CPU technology from TSMC 3nm in 1H24F.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mediatek-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:772:1" rel="noopener">Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)</a> plans to utilize 3nm technology for manufacturing smartphone SoCs in 2H24F, which will narrow the gap with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qualcomm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:969:1" rel="noopener">Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US)</a>.  </li>
</ul>



Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)'s revenue outlook for 1Q24F is expected to show a decline of around negative high single digits QoQ.

Intel Corp (INTC US) aims to receive x86 CPU technology from TSMC 3nm in 1H24F.

Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) plans to utilize 3nm technology for manufacturing smartphone SoCs in 2H24F, which will narrow the gap with Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US).  


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The 1Q24F Revenue Outlook and the Progress for Intel, MediaTek and Samsung.

United States

QUALCOMM, Inc . manufactures digital wireless communications equipment.  The Company licenses its code division multiple access (CDMA) and orthogonal frequency division multiplexing access intellectual property to other companies, and produces CDMA-based integrated circuits; and produces equipment and software used to track workers and assets; and software for wireless content enablement.

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Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US)

Semiconductor – CES 2024 Wrap Up

At Consumer Electronics Show (CES) 2024, leading tech giants including Nvidia, AMD, Intel, and Qualcomm unveiled their latest offerings, signaling...

CMB International

Vanguard (5347.TT): 1Q24F Revenue Might Decline ~10% QoQ.

TSMC may see a 10% decline in 1Q24F, with Taiwan, US, China, Europe, and Japan being major revenue contributors. TSMC might also transfer 40nm and...

Patrick Liao

'Clippy' Having the Last Laugh? Microsoft's Design Change to Drive AI PC Adoption; Dell Trade Update

We believe Microsoft's new Copilot key will drive awareness and usage of AI capabilities, driving AI PC upgrades. CES 2024 this week will showcase...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): If Intel Was Split Up, What Impact Will It Have on the Foundry Industry?

Intel's current business model may not meet manufacturing needs, but there is potential for growth in the Intel Foundry Business, raising...

Patrick Liao

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The 1Q24F Revenue Outlook and the Progress for Intel, MediaTek and Samsung.

TSMC shows a likely decline in 1Q24F. Intel aims to receive technology from TSMC for 3nm demand. Mediatek plans to narrow the gap with QCOM by...

Patrick Liao

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Semiconductor – CES 2024 Wrap Up

At Consumer Electronics Show (CES) 2024, leading tech giants including Nvidia, AMD, Intel, and Qualcomm unveiled their latest offerings, signaling...

CMB International

Vanguard (5347.TT): 1Q24F Revenue Might Decline ~10% QoQ.

​TSMC may see a 10% decline in 1Q24F, with Taiwan, US, China, Europe, and Japan being major revenue contributors. TSMC might also transfer 40nm and...

Patrick Liao

'Clippy' Having the Last Laugh? Microsoft's Design Change to Drive AI PC Adoption; Dell Trade Update

We believe ​Microsoft's new Copilot key will drive awareness and usage of AI capabilities, driving AI PC upgrades. CES 2024 this week will showcase...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): If Intel Was Split Up, What Impact Will It Have on the Foundry Industry?

​Intel's current business model may not meet manufacturing needs, but there is potential for growth in the Intel Foundry Business, raising...

Patrick Liao

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The 1Q24F Revenue Outlook and the Progress for Intel, MediaTek and Samsung.

​TSMC shows a likely decline in 1Q24F. Intel aims to receive technology from TSMC for 3nm demand. Mediatek plans to narrow the gap with QCOM by...

Patrick Liao

TSMC may see a 10% decline in 1Q24F, with Taiwan, US, China, Europe, and Japan being major revenue contributors. TSMC might also transfer 40nm and...

We believe Microsoft's new Copilot key will drive awareness and usage of AI capabilities, driving AI PC upgrades. CES 2024 this week will showcase...

Intel's current business model may not meet manufacturing needs, but there is potential for growth in the Intel Foundry Business, raising...

TSMC shows a likely decline in 1Q24F. Intel aims to receive technology from TSMC for 3nm demand. Mediatek plans to narrow the gap with QCOM by...