Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>ClouDr was the largest digital chronic condition management solution provider in China. The company’ application for a HKEx IPO has been approved and plans to raise proceeds of around US$500m.</li>
<li>The company is well positioned to benefit from growing demand for digital healthcare marketing and services in China driven by increased health awareness, technological advancements and prevalence of chronic conditions.</li>
<li>In this insight, we examine the company’s business model, segments and financials.</li>
</ul>


ClouDr was the largest digital chronic condition management solution provider in China. The company’ application for a HKEx IPO has been approved and plans to raise proceeds of around US$500m.
The company is well positioned to benefit from growing demand for digital healthcare marketing and services in China driven by increased health awareness, technological advancements and prevalence of chronic conditions.
In this insight, we examine the company’s business model, segments and financials.


ClouDr IPO: Strong Business Model with Multiple Revenue Channels

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituents at 8%. This will lead to large flows.</li>
<li>The largest inflows will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">SMIC (981 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orient-overseas-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:801:1" rel="noopener">Orient Overseas (316 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng Group (881 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lenovo-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13359:1" rel="noopener">Lenovo (992 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>The largest outflows will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific (522 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou (1024 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14895:1" rel="noopener">AIA (1299 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-construction-bank-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45:1" rel="noopener">China Construction Bank (939 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituents at 8%. This will lead to large flows.
The largest inflows will be on JD.com Inc. (9618 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Baidu (9888 HK), SMIC (981 HK), Orient Overseas (316 HK), Zhongsheng Group (881 HK), Lenovo (992 HK).
The largest outflows will be on Meituan (3690 HK), Alibaba (9988 HK), ASM Pacific (522 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK), AIA (1299 HK), China Construction Bank (939 HK), HKEX (388 HK).


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: June Rebalance Flows Post Capping

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.</li>
<li>Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-bank-co-ltd-3388a037-4214-4997-b45d-520518cfdb57" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10987:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK)</a> has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.
Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.

China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK) has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.


Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Life Insurance  of India / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Government of India (GoI) is looking to raise around US$2.7bn via selling a 3.5% stake in Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>This is less than half of its initial plans in terms of fundraising target and comes at less than half of its initial valuation target.</li>
<li>We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our earlier notes. In this note, we compare it to its international peers and talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>


Government of India (GoI) is looking to raise around US$2.7bn via selling a 3.5% stake in Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) in its upcoming India IPO.
This is less than half of its initial plans in terms of fundraising target and comes at less than half of its initial valuation target.
We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our earlier notes. In this note, we compare it to its international peers and talk about valuations.


Life Insurance Corporation of India IPO - Regional Peer Comparison

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The revenue YoY growth, net profit YoY growth and net profit margin reached a new low in 2021. The performance of Medlive cannot meet the market's expectations of high growth.</li>
<li>The medical knowledge solutions is the cornerstone business and vital to the attractiveness of platform for users. However, this business is not strong enough to make the outlook certain.</li>
<li>In the fierce competition, more efforts are needed on how to convert physician resources into business value continuously. Due to unreliable logic, we are conservative about Medlive at current stage.</li>
</ul>


The revenue YoY growth, net profit YoY growth and net profit margin reached a new low in 2021. The performance of Medlive cannot meet the market's expectations of high growth.
The medical knowledge solutions is the cornerstone business and vital to the attractiveness of platform for users. However, this business is not strong enough to make the outlook certain.
In the fierce competition, more efforts are needed on how to convert physician resources into business value continuously. Due to unreliable logic, we are conservative about Medlive at current stage.


Medlive Technology (2192.HK) - The Logic Has Shaken

China

Laobaixing Pharmacy Chain JSC wholesales and distributes medical products. The Company provides Chinese herbal medicines, antibiotic preparations, biochemical drugs, and other products. Laobaixing Pharmacy Chain also provides medical equipment.

Shenzhen Agricultural Products Co., Ltd. operates chain supermarkets and wholesale markets for agricultural products.  The Company also provides agricultural products processing and other related services.

Shenzhen Agricultural Products Co, Ltd. (000061 CH)

Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. operates pharmaceutical stores. The Company retails Chinese medicines, western medicines, and other products. Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group also provides medical equipment.

Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group (002727 CH)

Shanghai Bailian Group Co.,Ltd. operates as a supermarket. The Company retails vegetables, fruits, meats, seafood, delicatessen products, sweets, snacks, and other related products. Shanghai Bailian Group also operates department store business.

COFCO Joycome Foods Limited engages in animal meat production. The Company produces, processes, distributes, and sells fresh pork, pork products, and animal feeds. COFCO Joycome Foods also operates and manages slaughterhouse throughout China.

Beijing Hualian Hypermarket Co., Ltd. operates supermarkets and department stores.  The Company sells groceries, knitting products, medical instruments, hardware, chemical materials, food, beverages, construction materials, arts and crafts, jewelry, furniture, computers, air-conditioning equipment, metal materials, and other merchandise.

Beijing Hualian Hypermarket Co, Ltd. (600361 CH)

Sanjiang Shopping Club Company Limited operates community budget supermarket franchises. The Company provides customers with retail services.

New Huadu Supercenter Co., Ltd. engages in chain operations in marketplaces, sup ermarkets, department stores.

Better Life Commercial Chain Share Co., Ltd. operates a chain of supermarkets, general merchandise stores and household electrical appliances stores.

Better Life Comm Chain Share Co (002251 CH)

Yonghui Superstores Company Limited operates supermarket franchises . The Company mainly operates hypermarkets, marketplace and supermarkets.

Sun Art Retail Group Ltd. operates hypermarkets.  The Company retails food and offers amenities such as restaurants, automated teller machines, pharmacies and dry cleaners.

Chefs' Warehouse Inc. is a premier distributor of specialty food products in the United States. The Company is focused on serving the specific needs of chefs who own and/or operate restaurants, fine dining establishments, country clubs, hotels, caterers, culinary schools and specialty food stores.

GS Retail Co., Ltd. operates a chain of retail stores. The Company provides beauty and skincare products, candles, gifts, perfumes, ornaments, bathroom accessories, and other products. GS Retail serves its customers in the Republic of South Korea.

The Andersons, Inc. merchandises grain, operates grain elevator facilities, distributes wholesale agricultural fertilizer, and distributes agricultural inputs to dealers and farmers.  The Company also manufactures lawn fertilizer and corncob-based products, and purchases, sells, repairs, and leases railcars. In addition, The Andersons operates retail stores and a distribution center.

Sheng Siong Group Ltd is a retailer in Singapore.  The Company operates a groceries chain across Singapore. Sheng Siong's stores provide fresh and chilled produce, seafood, meat and vegetables, processed, packaged and preserved food products as well as general merchandise such as toiletries and essential household items.

AIN HOLDINGS INC. operates and franchises pharmacies in Japan.  The Company primarily sells medicines, external-use medicine, cosmetics, and food products. AIN Pharmaciez also conducts clinical tests for medical institutions.

Dongsuh Companies Inc. imports, manufactures, processes, markets and distributes general food products such as vegetable cooking oils. The Company also produces packaging materials and ceramic products including food and oil containers. Dongsuh has a cooperative relationship with Kraft Foods Inc.

Ingles Markets, Incorporated operates a supermarket chain in the southeastern United States.  The Company also owns and operates neighborhood shopping centers.

CREATE SD HOLDINGS Co Ltd operates a chain of drug stores based in Kanagawa. The Company sells medical supplies, cosmetics, foodstuff, baby products and daily goods. CREATE SD HOLDINGS also sells prescription medicine.

Puregold Price Club, Inc. operates wholesale and retail stores, including supermarkets.

Ping An Healthcare and Technology Company Limited provides health care software solutions. The Company offers mobile platform for online consultation, hospital referral and appointment, health management, and wellness interaction services, as well as connects consumers and patients with health care resources. Ping An Healthcare and Technology serves customers in China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Ping An Healthcare and Technol (1833 HK)

ClouDr IPO: Strong Business Model with Multiple Revenue Channels

ClouDr was the largest digital chronic condition management solution provider in China. The company’ application for a HKEx IPO has been approved...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: June Rebalance Flows Post Capping

The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH indices will use todays close prices for capping. The one-way trade across all stocks across the three...

Brian Freitas

Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

Short notional in Korea and Taiwan has been increasing as the market has been moving lower. Shorts on China Merchant Bank have been covered in...

Brian Freitas

Life Insurance Corporation of India IPO - Regional Peer Comparison

Government of India is looking to raise around US$2.7bn via selling a 3.5% stake in Life Insurance Corporation of India in its upcoming India IPO....

Sumeet Singh

Medlive Technology (2192.HK) - The Logic Has Shaken

The medical knowledge solutions is the key cornerstone business but it's still weak. Together with fierce competition and healthcare “rational...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)