Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Silicon Motion Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Recent results from Micron and SK Hynix did not only signal a recovery for DRAM but also for NAND flash memory. Micron expects improving NAND pricing through CY2025E.</li>
<li>Latest data shows a surge in NAND pricing -- 512GB NAND pricing is now up 116% from its 2023 lows.</li>
<li>Silicon Motion shares are down 5% over the last year. They have been weighed down by their terminated acquisition by MaxLinear, but now could offer a laggard play.</li>
</ul>


Recent results from Micron and SK Hynix did not only signal a recovery for DRAM but also for NAND flash memory. Micron expects improving NAND pricing through CY2025E.
Latest data shows a surge in NAND pricing -- 512GB NAND pricing is now up 116% from its 2023 lows.
Silicon Motion shares are down 5% over the last year. They have been weighed down by their terminated acquisition by MaxLinear, but now could offer a laggard play.


Silicon Motion: Next Wave of the Memory Recovery; High-End NAND Prices More Than Doubled From Lows

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>Q1FY24 revenues of $4.7 billion, up 18% QoQ and up 16% YoY, and $100 million above guided high end, as already flagged on November 28</li>
<li>Q2FY24 guidance of $5.3 billion, a ~13% increase QoQ. This will once again be loss-making quarter to the tune of an EPS loss of 28 cents.</li>
<li>Things are looking up for Micron, but 2024 will still be a "recovery" year.</li>
</ul>


Q1FY24 revenues of $4.7 billion, up 18% QoQ and up 16% YoY, and $100 million above guided high end, as already flagged on November 28
Q2FY24 guidance of $5.3 billion, a ~13% increase QoQ. This will once again be loss-making quarter to the tune of an EPS loss of 28 cents.
Things are looking up for Micron, but 2024 will still be a "recovery" year.


Micron. Earnings Puts & Takes. Take Your Pick

<ul>
<li>Relative Value Trade in Micron Has Worked Since Our Last Piece; Results Blow Away Expectations</li>
<li>Memory Pricing Improvement Continues, Management Expects Pricing Increases Through Calendar Year 2024 and 2025</li>
<li>We Remain Structurally Long Memory; Now See Relative Value in SK Hynix</li>
</ul>


Relative Value Trade in Micron Has Worked Since Our Last Piece; Results Blow Away Expectations
Memory Pricing Improvement Continues, Management Expects Pricing Increases Through Calendar Year 2024 and 2025
We Remain Structurally Long Memory; Now See Relative Value in SK Hynix


Micron Analysis, Industry Takeaways: Memory Market TAM New Highs into 2025; SK Hynix Trade

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 15th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Gigabyte Tech, Novatek, Faraday Tech, Quanta Computer, Giant Manufactur, Nanya Tech.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 15th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.4bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Gigabyte Tech, Novatek, Faraday Tech, Quanta Computer, Giant Manufactur, Nanya Tech.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 15th): Gigabyte Tech, Novatek, Faraday Tech, Quanta Computer

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Overall, it was a strong week for Taiwan Tech. TSMC and Mediatek showed strong performances, as well as key names we like such as Yageo and Himax.</li>
<li>AI-Related Taiwan plays showed relative weakness. This weakness interestingly happened during a week when <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) </a>performed well.</li>
<li>According to insight provider Patrick Liao, MediaTek WiFi 7 chip competition is likely to become fierce in 2024.</li>
</ul>


Overall, it was a strong week for Taiwan Tech. TSMC and Mediatek showed strong performances, as well as key names we like such as Yageo and Himax.
AI-Related Taiwan plays showed relative weakness. This weakness interestingly happened during a week when NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) performed well.
According to insight provider Patrick Liao, MediaTek WiFi 7 chip competition is likely to become fierce in 2024.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: AI Plays Weak Despite Strong Taiwan Tech Market Performance

Taiwan

Nanya Technology Corp. manufactures and markets dynamic random access memories (DRAMs).  The Company sells its products in Taiwan and exports worldwide.

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Nanya Technology (2408 TT)

Silicon Motion: Next Wave of the Memory Recovery; High-End NAND Prices More Than Doubled From Lows

Silicon Motion shares are down 5% over the last year. They have been weighed down by their terminated acquisition by MaxLinear, but now could offer...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Micron. Earnings Puts & Takes. Take Your Pick

Q1FY24 revenue $4.7 billion, +18% QoQ, +16% YoY. Q2FY24 guidance of $5.3 billion, + 13% QoQ. Things are looking up for Micron, but 2024 will still...

William Keating

Micron Analysis, Industry Takeaways: Memory Market TAM New Highs into 2025; SK Hynix Trade

We expect memory volume growth and rising memory chip prices to continue through both calendar years 2024 & 2025. Our Micron relative trade has...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 15th): Gigabyte Tech, Novatek, Faraday Tech, Quanta Computer

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Gigabyte Tech, Novatek, Faraday Tech, Quanta...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Tech Weekly: AI Plays Weak Despite Strong Taiwan Tech Market Performance

AI-Related Taiwan plays showed relative weakness. This weakness interestingly happened during a week when NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) performed well.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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