Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q224 revenues of $5.8 billion, up 23% QoQ and up 58% YoY. It also well above the high end of the guided range of $5.5 billion.</li>
<li>Net income turned positive &amp; amounted to $476 million. This compares to a loss of $1 billion in Q124</li>
<li>Forecasting current quarter revenues of $6.6 billion &amp; gross margin of 26.5% at their respective midpoints</li>
</ul>


Q224 revenues of $5.8 billion, up 23% QoQ and up 58% YoY. It also well above the high end of the guided range of $5.5 billion.
Net income turned positive &amp; amounted to $476 million. This compares to a loss of $1 billion in Q124
Forecasting current quarter revenues of $6.6 billion &amp; gross margin of 26.5% at their respective midpoints


Micron. Back In The Black & No Going Back

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>Competition in the High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) space is intensifying; Micron shares have rallied after it announced HBM3e mass production; SK Hynix has outperformed since its earnings release.</li>
<li>Nvidia's H200, its most advanced chip for generative AI, leans heavily on HBM3e memory for its increased performance vs. the previous H100 generation. Memory leaders are key for Nvidia's success.</li>
<li>Taiwan's Nanya Tech appears to be watching HBM competition between Micron, SK Hynix, and Samsung from the sidelines; can its shares get back into the game?</li>
</ul>


Competition in the High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) space is intensifying; Micron shares have rallied after it announced HBM3e mass production; SK Hynix has outperformed since its earnings release.
Nvidia's H200, its most advanced chip for generative AI, leans heavily on HBM3e memory for its increased performance vs. the previous H100 generation. Memory leaders are key for Nvidia's success.
Taiwan's Nanya Tech appears to be watching HBM competition between Micron, SK Hynix, and Samsung from the sidelines; can its shares get back into the game?


Memory Monitor: Competition Is Hotting Up for Key Memory Chips Nvidia Depends On

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>2023 DRAM + NAND revenues declined 36% YoY from $140.3 billion to $89.2 billion. This followed a 14% decline YoY in 2022.</li>
<li>Forecasting ~40% YoY growth in 2024, bringing overall memory revenues back to roughly 2022 levels</li>
<li>ASML's Memory-related WFE revenue in 2023 was an all time record high at $5.9 billion. Much of that was spent in China and its impact remains to be seen..</li>
</ul>


2023 DRAM + NAND revenues declined 36% YoY from $140.3 billion to $89.2 billion. This followed a 14% decline YoY in 2022.
Forecasting ~40% YoY growth in 2024, bringing overall memory revenues back to roughly 2022 levels
ASML's Memory-related WFE revenue in 2023 was an all time record high at $5.9 billion. Much of that was spent in China and its impact remains to be seen..


Semiconductor Memory 2023 In Review, 2024 Outlook

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Taiwan Market Surges in Post-CNY Catch-Up, TSMC a Top Gainer Locally</li>
<li>Key Events Ahead: Nvidia Results Next Week, Key Taiwan Names Reporting</li>
<li>Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: High Spreads to Persist After CNY Break </li>
</ul>


Taiwan Market Surges in Post-CNY Catch-Up, TSMC a Top Gainer Locally
Key Events Ahead: Nvidia Results Next Week, Key Taiwan Names Reporting
Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: High Spreads to Persist After CNY Break 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Playing Post-CNY Catch-Up; All Eyes on Upcoming Nvidia Results

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Latest Performance: Taiwan AI Names Keep Flying; ASE &amp; Mediatek Lose Steam After Reporting</li>
<li>Largest Display Driver Maker in the World's Guidance Implies Growth Reversal Coming in Feb &amp; March</li>
<li>TSMC and Samsung Will Keep Their Most Advanced Chipmaking at Home</li>
</ul>


Latest Performance: Taiwan AI Names Keep Flying; ASE &amp; Mediatek Lose Steam After Reporting
Largest Display Driver Maker in the World's Guidance Implies Growth Reversal Coming in Feb &amp; March
TSMC and Samsung Will Keep Their Most Advanced Chipmaking at Home


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Sales Ahead; Display Driver Growth Reversal; AI Names Keep Flying

Taiwan

Nanya Technology Corp. manufactures and markets dynamic random access memories (DRAMs).  The Company sells its products in Taiwan and exports worldwide.

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Nanya Technology (2408 TT)

Micron. Back In The Black & No Going Back

Q224 revenues $5.8 billion, +23% QoQ & +58% YoY. Net income turned positive & amounted to $476 million. Q324 revenues of $6.6 billion & gross...

William Keating

Memory Monitor: Competition Is Hotting Up for Key Memory Chips Nvidia Depends On

Memory competition is intensifying with Micron and Samsung's latest HBM3e production announcements. Nvidia's GPUs lean heavily on performance...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Semiconductor Memory 2023 In Review, 2024 Outlook

2023 memory revenues -36% YoY from $140.3 billion to $89.2 billion. This followed a 14% decline YoY in 2022. Forecasting >40% YoY growth in 2024,...

William Keating

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Playing Post-CNY Catch-Up; All Eyes on Upcoming Nvidia Results

Strong rebound after CNY with TSMC leading the gains. Nvidia results and key Taiwan companies reporting in the upcoming week. High spreads have...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Sales Ahead; Display Driver Growth Reversal; AI Names Keep Flying

Taiwan AI names soar, ASE and Mediatek stumble; world's largest display driver maker predicts growth decline; TSMC and Samsung prioritize domestic...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Micron. Back In The Black & No Going Back

Q224 revenues $5.8 billion, +23% QoQ & +58% YoY. Net income turned positive & amounted to $476 million. Q324 revenues of $6.6 billion & gross...

William Keating

Memory Monitor: Competition Is Hotting Up for Key Memory Chips Nvidia Depends On

​Memory competition is intensifying with Micron and Samsung's latest HBM3e production announcements. Nvidia's GPUs lean heavily on performance...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Semiconductor Memory 2023 In Review, 2024 Outlook

2023 memory revenues -36% YoY from $140.3 billion to $89.2 billion. This followed a 14% decline YoY in 2022. Forecasting >40% YoY growth in 2024,...

William Keating

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Playing Post-CNY Catch-Up; All Eyes on Upcoming Nvidia Results

Strong rebound after CNY with TSMC leading the gains. Nvidia results and key Taiwan companies reporting in the upcoming week. High spreads have...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Sales Ahead; Display Driver Growth Reversal; AI Names Keep Flying

​Taiwan AI names soar, ASE and Mediatek stumble; world's largest display driver maker predicts growth decline; TSMC and Samsung prioritize domestic...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Memory competition is intensifying with Micron and Samsung's latest HBM3e production announcements. Nvidia's GPUs lean heavily on performance...

Taiwan AI names soar, ASE and Mediatek stumble; world's largest display driver maker predicts growth decline; TSMC and Samsung prioritize domestic...