Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 38 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Two new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/golden-eagle-retail-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:470:1" rel="noopener">Golden Eagle Retail (3308 HK)</a>'s Scheme; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/challenger-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16490:1" rel="noopener">Challenger Technologies (CHLG SP)</a>'s voluntary unconditional cash offer</li>
<li>Key updates took place for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inner-mongolia-yitai-coal-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16254:1" rel="noopener">Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal B (900948 CH)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-pacific-investments-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1054:1" rel="noopener">Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 38 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Two new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: Golden Eagle Retail (3308 HK)'s Scheme; and Challenger Technologies (CHLG SP)'s voluntary unconditional cash offer
Key updates took place for Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK), Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal B (900948 CH), and Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Golden Eagle, Challenger Tech, Yashili, Yitai Coal, MPI

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>In mid-January this year, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsui-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20799:1" rel="noopener">Mitsui &amp; Co Ltd (8031 JP)</a> announced it would buy out minorities in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/relia-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16219:1" rel="noopener">Relia Inc (4708 JP)</a> (longtime known as Moshi Moshi), a BPO/RPA/AI services company.</li>
<li>I said the deal was too cheap, with 44% upside to the midpoint of Target Advisor's DCF fair value range. Investors needed to exercise their cowbell to get more.</li>
<li>Since then, TOPIX has returned ~15%, A peer basket 16%, H2 was possibly kitchen-sinked, but no Mar-2024 forecasts were provided. The Tender starts tomorrow. Noise is still warranted. </li>
</ul>


In mid-January this year, Mitsui &amp; Co Ltd (8031 JP) announced it would buy out minorities in Relia Inc (4708 JP) (longtime known as Moshi Moshi), a BPO/RPA/AI services company.
I said the deal was too cheap, with 44% upside to the midpoint of Target Advisor's DCF fair value range. Investors needed to exercise their cowbell to get more.
Since then, TOPIX has returned ~15%, A peer basket 16%, H2 was possibly kitchen-sinked, but no Mar-2024 forecasts were provided. The Tender starts tomorrow. Noise is still warranted. 


Relia (4708 JP) Tender Offer Launches - STILL at the Wrong Price for the Wrong Reasons

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yuexiu-property-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18097:1" rel="noopener">Yuexiu Property (123 HK)</a> rights issue and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adicon-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33786:1" rel="noopener">ADICON Holdings Limited (ADI HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-construction-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35117:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mankind-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36389:1" rel="noopener">Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackmores-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:928:1" rel="noopener">Blackmores Ltd (BKL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-malt-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29116:1" rel="noopener">United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU)</a>,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aag-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:501:1" rel="noopener">Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-pacific-investments-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1054:1" rel="noopener">Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM)</a>, Lian Beng.</li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Yuexiu Property (123 HK) rights issue and ADICON Holdings Limited (ADI HK), Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK), Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - Blackmores Ltd (BKL AU), United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU),  Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK), HKBN Ltd (1310 HK), Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM), Lian Beng.


Weekly Deals Digest (30 Apr) - AAG, HKBN, Blackmores, Lian Beng, Horizon Construction, Mankind

Metro Pacific Investments Co / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-pacific-investments-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1054:1" rel="noopener">Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM)</a> disclosed a voluntary delisting tender offer from a consortium at PHP4.63 per share, an 8.7% premium to the undisturbed price (26 April). </li>
<li>The offer is conditional on shareholder approval and meeting the threshold for voluntary delisting (95% of outstanding shares) or obtaining an exemptive relief from the PSE.</li>
<li>The shareholder approval and delisting threshold require around 73% and 86% acceptance rate, which is a risk as the offer is far from a knockout bid. </li>
</ul>



Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM) disclosed a voluntary delisting tender offer from a consortium at PHP4.63 per share, an 8.7% premium to the undisturbed price (26 April). 
The offer is conditional on shareholder approval and meeting the threshold for voluntary delisting (95% of outstanding shares) or obtaining an exemptive relief from the PSE.
The shareholder approval and delisting threshold require around 73% and 86% acceptance rate, which is a risk as the offer is far from a knockout bid. 


Metro Pacific Investments (MPI PM): PHP4.63 Delisting Tender Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-pacific-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:173:1" rel="noopener">First Pacific Co (142 HK)</a>, together with three other entities, are proposing to delist <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-pacific-investments-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1054:1" rel="noopener">Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM)</a> at PHP 4.63/share, a 22% premium to the 12-month VWAP.</li>
<li>The four bidders hold a combined stake in MPIC of 63.4%. The Offer is conditional on First Pac shareholder approval, a tendering threshold, and an MPIC shareholder vote.</li>
<li>Elsewhere, First Pac continues to trade cheap to its NAV. Nothing new there.</li>
</ul>



First Pacific Co (142 HK), together with three other entities, are proposing to delist Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM) at PHP 4.63/share, a 22% premium to the 12-month VWAP.
The four bidders hold a combined stake in MPIC of 63.4%. The Offer is conditional on First Pac shareholder approval, a tendering threshold, and an MPIC shareholder vote.
Elsewhere, First Pac continues to trade cheap to its NAV. Nothing new there.


Metro Pac (MPI PM): Delisting Offer from First Pac & Co

Japan

MITSUI & CO., LTD. is a general trading company.  The Company has operating groups including Iron and Steel, Non-Ferrous Metals, Machinery, Chemicals, Foods, Energy, Textiles, and General Merchandise.  Mitsui also operates real estate and overseas development projects.

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Mitsui & Co Ltd (8031 JP)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Golden Eagle, Challenger Tech, Yashili, Yitai Coal, MPI

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Relia (4708 JP) Tender Offer Launches - STILL at the Wrong Price for the Wrong Reasons

Mitsui & Co saw its tender offer for Relia (4708) delayed by two months by anti-competition issues, but got approvals and launched. It was too...

Travis Lundy

Weekly Deals Digest (30 Apr) - AAG, HKBN, Blackmores, Lian Beng, Horizon Construction, Mankind

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Blackmores, United Malt, AAG, HKBN, Metro Pacific Investments, Lian Beng) and ECM...

Arun George

Metro Pacific Investments (MPI PM): PHP4.63 Delisting Tender Offer

The shareholder approval and delisting threshold require around 73% and 86% acceptance rate, which is a risk as the offer is far from a knockout bid.

Arun George

Metro Pac (MPI PM): Delisting Offer from First Pac & Co

Trading at a gross/annualised spread of 8%/29% assuming payment mid-Aug (net of sales tax of 64bps). Get involved. First Pac has perennially been...

David Blennerhassett

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