IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a> disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from Mr Thomas Lau at HK$0.913 per share, a 21.7% premium to the last close price of HK$0.75. </li>
<li>The offer is unattractive compared to precedent transactions, peer multiples, and historical trading ranges. It has not been declared final. </li>
<li>While no shareholder holds a blocking stake, the high AGM minority participation rates and emerging retail opposition suggest a high chance of a deal break. Therefore, a bump is probable.</li>
</ul>



Lifestyle China (2136 HK) disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from Mr Thomas Lau at HK$0.913 per share, a 21.7% premium to the last close price of HK$0.75. 
The offer is unattractive compared to precedent transactions, peer multiples, and historical trading ranges. It has not been declared final. 
While no shareholder holds a blocking stake, the high AGM minority participation rates and emerging retail opposition suggest a high chance of a deal break. Therefore, a bump is probable.


Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Thomas Lau’s Low-Balled Scheme Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a> is on a trading halt pending the release of an announcement under the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers. </li>
<li>Mr Thomas Lau (Chairman and CEO) is likely following up on the privatisation of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:112:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle International Holdings (1212 HK)</a> with the privatisation of Lifestyle China.  </li>
<li>We use three methods to triangulate the likely offer price, suggesting a range of HK$1.00-1.45 per share, with an average of HK$1.23 (a 63.3% premium to the last close).</li>
</ul>



Lifestyle China (2136 HK) is on a trading halt pending the release of an announcement under the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers. 
Mr Thomas Lau (Chairman and CEO) is likely following up on the privatisation of Lifestyle International Holdings (1212 HK) with the privatisation of Lifestyle China.  
We use three methods to triangulate the likely offer price, suggesting a range of HK$1.00-1.45 per share, with an average of HK$1.23 (a 63.3% premium to the last close).


Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Chairman/CEO to Launch Privatisation Offer?

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Respectively in 2013 and 2016, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:112:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle International Holdings (1212 HK)</a> spun-off and separately listed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sansheng-holdings-group-co-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7112:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle Properties Development (2183 HK)</a> and PRC-department store play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a>.
</li>
<li>Lifestyle Props' listing was <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2023/1220/2023122000555.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">cancelled in 2023</a>; and Thomas Lau privatized <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:112:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle International</a> late-2023: see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/compose/insight/168794/Lifestyle%20(1212%20HK):%20Timing%20Is%20Everything%20As%20Shareholders%20Go%20To%20Vote%20on%2021%20Nov.%20Read%20more:%20https:/skr.ma/MvREo" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Lifestyle (1212 HK): Timing Is Everything As Shareholders Go To Vote on 21 Nov</a>. 
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China</a> is now suspended pursuant to then Takeovers Code. Thomas Lau holds 74.9%. No prizes for guessing what comes next. </li>
</ul>


Respectively in 2013 and 2016, Lifestyle International Holdings (1212 HK) spun-off and separately listed Lifestyle Properties Development (2183 HK) and PRC-department store play Lifestyle China (2136 HK).

Lifestyle Props' listing was cancelled in 2023; and Thomas Lau privatized Lifestyle International late-2023: see Lifestyle (1212 HK): Timing Is Everything As Shareholders Go To Vote on 21 Nov. 


Lifestyle China is now suspended pursuant to then Takeovers Code. Thomas Lau holds 74.9%. No prizes for guessing what comes next. 


Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Thomas Lau Scheme Expected

Huafa Property Services Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Ahead of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huafa-property-services-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5841:1" rel="noopener">Huafa Property Services Group (982 HK)</a>'s Scheme Meeting tomorrow, the 28th August, 42.57% of shares outstanding moved out of CCASS on the 8th July.</li>
<li>One argument for Huafa trading wide-ish to terms is due to "suspicious" CCASS moves between the Offer announcement and the vote. </li>
<li>Some investors even cite the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/golden-throat-holdings-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22664:1" rel="noopener">Golden Throat Holdings (6896 HK)</a> debacle. This is not a Golden Throat situation. Not even close. It is decidedly less interesting and benign.</li>
</ul>


Ahead of Huafa Property Services Group (982 HK)'s Scheme Meeting tomorrow, the 28th August, 42.57% of shares outstanding moved out of CCASS on the 8th July.
One argument for Huafa trading wide-ish to terms is due to "suspicious" CCASS moves between the Offer announcement and the vote. 
Some investors even cite the Golden Throat Holdings (6896 HK) debacle. This is not a Golden Throat situation. Not even close. It is decidedly less interesting and benign.


Huafa Prop (982 HK)'s CCASS Movements: Nothing To See Here

<ul>
<li>I tally 40 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Two new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sociedad-quimica-y-minera-de-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24555:1" rel="noopener">Sociedad Quimica y Minera (SQM/B CI)</a> tilt for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azure-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16538:1" rel="noopener">Azure Minerals (AZS AU)</a>; and another MBO for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/energy-one-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19865:1" rel="noopener">Energy One Ltd (EOL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">EOFflow (294090 KS)</a> , and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-healthcare-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23641:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS)</a> 
</li>
</ul>


I tally 40 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Two new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: Sociedad Quimica y Minera (SQM/B CI) tilt for Azure Minerals (AZS AU); and another MBO for Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US).
Key updates took place for: Energy One Ltd (EOL AU), EOFflow (294090 KS) , and Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS) 



(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Azure, EOFlow, Hollysys, Essential Metals, Celltrion Health

China

Golden Eagle Retail Group Limited operates department stores in China. The Company's stores target mid-range and high-end market segments in China, and contain various functions and amenities such as dining, entertainment, beauty and personal care, cinemas, and preschool education in addition to their core function as an international department store.

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Golden Eagle Retail (3308 HK)

Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Thomas Lau’s Low-Balled Scheme Offer

While no shareholder holds a blocking stake, the high AGM minority participation rates and emerging retail opposition suggest a high chance of a...

Arun George

Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Chairman/CEO to Launch Privatisation Offer?

We use three methods to triangulate the likely offer price, suggesting a range of HK$1.00-1.45 per share, with an average of HK$1.23 (a 63.3%...

Arun George

Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Thomas Lau Scheme Expected

Lifestyle China is now suspended pursuant to then Takeovers Code. Thomas Lau holds 74.9%. No prizes for guessing what comes next. I'm betting on a...

David Blennerhassett

Huafa Prop (982 HK)'s CCASS Movements: Nothing To See Here

One argument for Huafa trading wide to terms is due to "suspicious" CCASS movements. Some investors even cite the Golden Throat debacle. Not even...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Azure, EOFlow, Hollysys, Essential Metals, Celltrion Health

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

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