Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>1211 HK/LI US /XPEV US/NIO US: China and the EU have launched negotiations on electric vehicle tariffs (///////)</li>
<li>BEKE US: Existing Home Sales Increase 61% YoY in the 26th Week of 2024, Expected to Increase 19% YoY in June (+)</li>
<li>1810 HK/ NIO US/ XPEV US/ LI US/1211 HK/300207 SZ/300750 SZ:  Xiaomi's third model was said to be a low priced model, targeting low tier cities .(/////////////)</li>
</ul>


1211 HK/LI US /XPEV US/NIO US: China and the EU have launched negotiations on electric vehicle tariffs (///////)
BEKE US: Existing Home Sales Increase 61% YoY in the 26th Week of 2024, Expected to Increase 19% YoY in June (+)
1810 HK/ NIO US/ XPEV US/ LI US/1211 HK/300207 SZ/300750 SZ:  Xiaomi's third model was said to be a low priced model, targeting low tier cities .(/////////////)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211HK/LI/XPEV/NIO/BEKE/1810HK/300207SZ/300750SZ/LKNCY/9926HK/MNSO/600519CH

Andy Fu

<ul>
<li>Aging population, coupled with under-development of retirement pensions, is the major headwind against enhancing consumption; </li>
<li>The headroom of urbanization as a driver for enhanced consumption is not as big as depicted;</li>
<li>Residential housing has, over the years, become the social safety net for the Chinese. Therefore, the bust of the property market takes many years, if not decades, to heal. </li>
</ul>


Aging population, coupled with under-development of retirement pensions, is the major headwind against enhancing consumption; 
The headroom of urbanization as a driver for enhanced consumption is not as big as depicted;
Residential housing has, over the years, become the social safety net for the Chinese. Therefore, the bust of the property market takes many years, if not decades, to heal. 


How to Stimulate China's Consumption, Part II

<ul>
<li>Counting of consumption differs among different countries. Chinese definition of consumption (social retail sales) leave out many categories that are included in the definition of consumption of Japan and US;</li>
<li>If we trim the consumption of Japan and US by adopting China's definition, China actually <strong>over-consumes</strong>, both by GDP and by individual categories;</li>
<li>If we expand and align China, Japan and US to consist the same categories, the conclusion of China <strong>underconsumption</strong> becomes true. The categories belong to an older and wealthy society. </li>
</ul>


Counting of consumption differs among different countries. Chinese definition of consumption (social retail sales) leave out many categories that are included in the definition of consumption of Japan and US;
If we trim the consumption of Japan and US by adopting China's definition, China actually over-consumes, both by GDP and by individual categories;
If we expand and align China, Japan and US to consist the same categories, the conclusion of China underconsumption becomes true. The categories belong to an older and wealthy society. 


How to Stimulate China's Consumption? Part I

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

<ul>
<li>PDD/SHEIN/AMZN: U.S. CBP suspends customs brokers handling cross-border parcels for Temu and SHEIN (-/-/+)</li>
<li>BABA US/JD US/PDD US/3690 HK:The upcoming regulatory policies on internet platform fees should not be overly negatively interpreted(///////)</li>
<li>BABA US/JD US/3690 HK/1810 HK:Beijing Follows up with Subsidies for Replacing Old Appliances with New Ones, but National Subsidies Are Still Lacking(+/+/+/+)</li>
</ul>


PDD/SHEIN/AMZN: U.S. CBP suspends customs brokers handling cross-border parcels for Temu and SHEIN (-/-/+)
BABA US/JD US/PDD US/3690 HK:The upcoming regulatory policies on internet platform fees should not be overly negatively interpreted(///////)
BABA US/JD US/3690 HK/1810 HK:Beijing Follows up with Subsidies for Replacing Old Appliances with New Ones, but National Subsidies Are Still Lacking(+/+/+/+)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:PDD/SHEIN/AMZN/BABA US/JD US/3690 HK/1810 HK/700 HK/MNSO US

<ul>
<li>700 HK: Tencent's "Dungeon &amp; Fighter Mobile" is officially scheduled to be released on May 21st.(+)</li>
<li>3690 HK/TCOM US: Meituan and Ctrip revenue growth may lower than industry average, indicating intensified competition.(-/-)</li>
<li>BIDU US: Baidu ADS sets revenue and profit indicators for Robotaxi（/）</li>
</ul>


700 HK: Tencent's "Dungeon &amp; Fighter Mobile" is officially scheduled to be released on May 21st.(+)
3690 HK/TCOM US: Meituan and Ctrip revenue growth may lower than industry average, indicating intensified competition.(-/-)
BIDU US: Baidu ADS sets revenue and profit indicators for Robotaxi（/）


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:700 HK/3690 HK/TCOM US/BIDU US/MNSO US/PDD US/BABA US/NTES US

China

Hainan Island Construction Co Ltd.  is a property development company. The Company also operates regional malls and hotels.

Guangzhou Friendship Group Co., Ltd operates supermarkets and department stores in Guangzhou, China.  The Company sells a variety of consumer products, including apparel, food and beverages, electronics, jewelry, cosmetics, and electric appliances.  Guangzhou Friendship also leases real estate properties.

Guangzhou Friendship Group Co, Ltd. (000987 CH)

Wangfujing Group Co., Ltd. owns and operates department stores in Beijing, Guangzhou, Chengdu, Wuhan, and other cities in China.  The Company also develops residential real estate.

Golden Eagle Retail Group Limited operates department stores in China. The Company's stores target mid-range and high-end market segments in China, and contain various functions and amenities such as dining, entertainment, beauty and personal care, cinemas, and preschool education in addition to their core function as an international department store.

Tianjin Quanye Bazaar (Group) Co., Ltd. owns and operates department stores and supermarkets, as well as sells general merchandise on a wholesale basis. Tianjin Quanye also provides storage and cargo delivery services, and invests in real estate and interior decoration businesses.

Xian International Medical Investment Co Ltd is principally engaged in the medical services industry.

Xian International Medical Invest (000516 CH)

Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store Co. Ltd. operates department stores in Nanjing, Jiangsu.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also develops real estate and manufactures pharmaceuticals.

Nanjing Xinjiekou Department S (600682 CH)

Beijing Urban-Rural Trade Centre Co. Ltd. operates department stores and supermarkets. The Company also provides food and entertainment services, as well as develops real estate.

Beijing Urban Rural Trade Centre Co. (600861 CH)

Chengdu Hongqi Chain Company Limited operates convenience stores chain. The Company's main products are food, alcoholic drinks and tobacco, and other daily necessities.

Chongqing Department Store Co., Ltd. operates retail stores in Chongqing.  The Company also operates a wholesale business.

Chongqing Department Store Co. (600729 CH)

Harvey Norman Holdings Limited is a holding company for companies and trusts in a third party franchise agreement. The franchises operate stores under the name "Harvey Norman Discounts," selling home wares and electrical goods. The Company also provides advisory and advertising to the franchises. In addition, the Company provides consumer finance and has property investments.

RYOHIN KEIKAKU CO., LTD. is a retailer and wholesaler of Mujirushi Ryohin brand products, which were originally a generic private-brand product.  The Company's product line includes knitwear, food, and household items

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates a chain of retail stores that offers brand name products at discounted and closeout prices. The Company provides products, including housewares, food, books and stationery, bed and bath, floor coverings, toys, and hardware.

Ollie'S Bargain Outlet Holdings (OLLI US)

Dillard's, Inc. operates retail department stores located primarily in the southwestern, southeastern, and midwestern United States. The Company offers name-brand and private-label merchandise, including fashion apparel and home furnishings.

Macy's, Inc. operates department stores in the United States.  The Company also operates direct mail catalog and electronic commerce subsidiaries. Macy's retail stores sell a wide range of merchandise, including men's, women's and children's apparel and accessories, cosmetics, home furnishings and other consumer goods.

Nordstrom, Inc. is a fashion retailer of apparel, shoes, and accessories for men, women, and children.  The Company operates through multiple retail channels, discount stores, boutiques, catalogs, and on the Internet. Nordstrom, Inc. also offers, through a subsidiary, private label card credit and debit cards.

B&M European Value Retail S.A. operates as a general merchandise discount retailer. The Company sells products ranging electronics to home goods.

Canadian Tire Corporation Limited is a family of businesses that includes a retail segment, a financial services division and CT REIT. The Company's retail business provides Canadians with products for life in Canada across its living, playing, fixing, automotive and seasonal categories. Canadian Tire Corporation's  retail products include casual, industrial and active wear.

PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk operates as an e-commerce platform. The Company offers mobility, food delivery, logistics, e-commerce, and financial technology solutions. GoTo Gojek Tokopedia serves customers in Indonesia.

Central Retail Corp Ltd operates general merchandise stores. The Company offers electronics, sports, stationery, home improvement, and office products. Central Retail serves customers in Thailand.

MINISO Group Holding is a value retailer with a focus on offering products that are aesthetically pleasing, good-quality, and affordable.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Miniso (MNSO US)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211HK/LI/XPEV/NIO/BEKE/1810HK/300207SZ/300750SZ/LKNCY/9926HK/MNSO/600519CH

China and the EU are in talks to negotiate electric vehicle tariffs, while Xiaomi plans to release a low-priced model targeting low tier cities....

Blue Lotus Research Institute

How to Stimulate China's Consumption, Part II

The underdevelopment of China's pension system leads to reliance on the residential property market as social safety net. The headroom of...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

How to Stimulate China's Consumption? Part I

The myth of China underconsumption depends on how you count it. China under-consumes in certain consumption categories associated with an older and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:PDD/SHEIN/AMZN/BABA US/JD US/3690 HK/1810 HK/700 HK/MNSO US

US CBP suspends customs brokers for Temu and SHEIN; upcoming regulatory policies on internet platform fees should not be overly negative; Beijing...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:700 HK/3690 HK/TCOM US/BIDU US/MNSO US/PDD US/BABA US/NTES US

USTR initiates section 301 investigations on China Maritime and logistics,.Meituan Promotes Marketing Tool "Divine Membership" <blood strike> has...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211HK/LI/XPEV/NIO/BEKE/1810HK/300207SZ/300750SZ/LKNCY/9926HK/MNSO/600519CH

​China and the EU are in talks to negotiate electric vehicle tariffs, while Xiaomi plans to release a low-priced model targeting low tier cities....

Blue Lotus Research Institute

How to Stimulate China's Consumption, Part II

The underdevelopment of China's pension system leads to reliance on the residential property market as social safety net. The headroom of...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

How to Stimulate China's Consumption? Part I

The myth of China underconsumption depends on how you count it. China under-consumes in certain consumption categories associated with an older and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:PDD/SHEIN/AMZN/BABA US/JD US/3690 HK/1810 HK/700 HK/MNSO US

​US CBP suspends customs brokers for Temu and SHEIN; upcoming regulatory policies on internet platform fees should not be overly negative; Beijing...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:700 HK/3690 HK/TCOM US/BIDU US/MNSO US/PDD US/BABA US/NTES US

USTR initiates section 301 investigations on China Maritime and logistics,.Meituan Promotes Marketing Tool "Divine Membership" <blood strike> has...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China and the EU are in talks to negotiate electric vehicle tariffs, while Xiaomi plans to release a low-priced model targeting low tier cities....

US CBP suspends customs brokers for Temu and SHEIN; upcoming regulatory policies on internet platform fees should not be overly negative; Beijing...