Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Meituan reported C1Q24 revenue 6.0%/6.2% higher our estimate/consensus, and adjusted net income 19%/29% higher than our estimate/consensus. The stock fell on lower takeout order and in-store revenue guidance for C2Q24;</li>
<li>The stock has two uncertainties:(1)Strategic moves by Douyin and Eleme,(2)success of overseas expansion. There are no easy answers to these two questions but we believe the corner has been turned</li>
<li>We maintain the stock as BUY rating and raise TP to HK$156/share to factor in the improvement in profitability.</li>
</ul>


Meituan reported C1Q24 revenue 6.0%/6.2% higher our estimate/consensus, and adjusted net income 19%/29% higher than our estimate/consensus. The stock fell on lower takeout order and in-store revenue guidance for C2Q24;
The stock has two uncertainties:(1)Strategic moves by Douyin and Eleme,(2)success of overseas expansion. There are no easy answers to these two questions but we believe the corner has been turned
We maintain the stock as BUY rating and raise TP to HK$156/share to factor in the improvement in profitability.


[Meituan (3690 HK, BUY, TP HK$156) TP Change]: Counting on Execution to Navigate the Uncertainties

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Meituan reported (6 Jun) its 1Q24 results: revenue was RMB73.3bn, up 25% YoY, 4/6% higher than our estimate/Bloomberg consensus estimate.</li><li>Adjusted net profit during 1Q24 reached RMB7.5bn, better than our estimate/consensus at RMB5.5bn/5.8bn, due to both better-than-expected operating profit (OP) generated from core local commerce (CLC) business, aided by better-thanexpected order volume growth of on-demand delivery business, and narrowerthan-expected loss generated from new business, in particular the narrowerthan-expected loss generated from Meituan Select.</li><li>We are more positive on Meituan’s 2024E net profit growth prospects, given its likely better unit economics (UE) outlook for on-demand delivery business with the optimization of subsidies and increase in monetization from advertising business, as well as potentially greater loss reduction from Meituan Select. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Meituan reported (6 Jun) its 1Q24 results: revenue was RMB73.3bn, up 25% YoY, 4/6% higher than our estimate/Bloomberg consensus estimate.Adjusted net profit during 1Q24 reached RMB7.5bn, better than our estimate/consensus at RMB5.5bn/5.8bn, due to both better-than-expected operating profit (OP) generated from core local commerce (CLC) business, aided by better-thanexpected order volume growth of on-demand delivery business, and narrowerthan-expected loss generated from new business, in particular the narrowerthan-expected loss generated from Meituan Select.We are more positive on Meituan’s 2024E net profit growth prospects, given its likely better unit economics (UE) outlook for on-demand delivery business with the optimization of subsidies and increase in monetization from advertising business, as well as potentially greater loss reduction from Meituan Select. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Meituan (3690 HK) - 1Q Results Pointed to a Better Full-Year Earnings Growth Outlook

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Total revenue increased by 25% YoY and all business lines grew strongly.</li>
<li>In 1Q24, the operating losses from new initiatives decreased by 45% YoY, but new initiatives revenue still grow.</li>
<li>We conclude that the price target can be double of the market price.</li>
</ul>


Total revenue increased by 25% YoY and all business lines grew strongly.
In 1Q24, the operating losses from new initiatives decreased by 45% YoY, but new initiatives revenue still grow.
We conclude that the price target can be double of the market price.


MT/ Meituan (3690 HK): 1Q24, Total Revenue Up by 25% and Initiatives Loss Down by 45%

Andy Fu

<ul>
<li>During the upcoming Dragon Boat Festival, both flight and railway traffic seems sluggish, indicating a cooled-down enthusiasm for long-distance trips due to budget constraints.</li>
<li>Data points to booming short-distance travel with self-driving as the major means, helped by lower price;</li>
<li>Benefiting from hotel booking and catering, Meituan is the biggest beneficiary of such consumption downgrade.</li>
</ul>


During the upcoming Dragon Boat Festival, both flight and railway traffic seems sluggish, indicating a cooled-down enthusiasm for long-distance trips due to budget constraints.
Data points to booming short-distance travel with self-driving as the major means, helped by lower price;
Benefiting from hotel booking and catering, Meituan is the biggest beneficiary of such consumption downgrade.


Meituan Is the Biggest Beneficiary of China's Domestic Travel Recovery

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer for HK$18.6bn on strong two-way volumes. The top three net buys of the week were SOE banks. Some may be Central Huijin.</li>
<li>Some of this may be driven by the dividend w/h tax cancellation on H divs and by significant H-share discounts, but high-div CNOOC was the biggest net sell.</li>
<li>No end to the inflows, and HK valuations are not at a place where they would hamper continued flows. Alibaba making HK a Primary will spur more inflows over time.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer for HK$18.6bn on strong two-way volumes. The top three net buys of the week were SOE banks. Some may be Central Huijin.
Some of this may be driven by the dividend w/h tax cancellation on H divs and by significant H-share discounts, but high-div CNOOC was the biggest net sell.
No end to the inflows, and HK valuations are not at a place where they would hamper continued flows. Alibaba making HK a Primary will spur more inflows over time.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 24 May 2024); Strong Bank Buying and Tech Selling Continues

China

Meituan operates as a web based shopping platform for locally found consumer products and retail services. The Company offers deals of the day by selling vouchers on local services and entertainment, dining, delivery, and other services. Meituan provides its services throughout China.

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Meituan (3690 HK)

[Meituan (3690 HK, BUY, TP HK$156) TP Change]: Counting on Execution to Navigate the Uncertainties

Meituan beats revenue and net income estimates in Q1 but stock falls on lower guidance for Q2. Uncertainties remain with competition and overseas...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Meituan (3690 HK) - 1Q Results Pointed to a Better Full-Year Earnings Growth Outlook

Meituan reported (6 Jun) its 1Q24 results: revenue was RMB73.3bn, up 25% YoY, 4/6% higher than our estimate/Bloomberg consensus estimate.

CMB International

MT/ Meituan (3690 HK): 1Q24, Total Revenue Up by 25% and Initiatives Loss Down by 45%

Total revenue increased by 25% YoY and all business lines grew strongly. In 1Q24, the operating losses from new initiatives decreased by 45% YoY....

Ming Lu

Meituan Is the Biggest Beneficiary of China's Domestic Travel Recovery

Consumer enthusiasm for long-distance trips during the Dragon Boat Festival has cooled. Short-distance tours are popular, benefiting low-cost...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 24 May 2024); Strong Bank Buying and Tech Selling Continues

SOUTHBOUND flows continue to be strong. This week saw nearly HK$8bn bought on Banks and banks were top inflows. Some of this may be National Team...

Travis Lundy

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

[Meituan (3690 HK, BUY, TP HK$156) TP Change]: Counting on Execution to Navigate the Uncertainties

​Meituan beats revenue and net income estimates in Q1 but stock falls on lower guidance for Q2. Uncertainties remain with competition and overseas...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Meituan (3690 HK) - 1Q Results Pointed to a Better Full-Year Earnings Growth Outlook

Meituan reported (6 Jun) its 1Q24 results: revenue was RMB73.3bn, up 25% YoY, 4/6% higher than our estimate/Bloomberg consensus estimate.

CMB International

MT/ Meituan (3690 HK): 1Q24, Total Revenue Up by 25% and Initiatives Loss Down by 45%

Total revenue increased by 25% YoY and all business lines grew strongly. In 1Q24, the operating losses from new initiatives decreased by 45% YoY....

Ming Lu

Meituan Is the Biggest Beneficiary of China's Domestic Travel Recovery

​Consumer enthusiasm for long-distance trips during the Dragon Boat Festival has cooled. Short-distance tours are popular, benefiting low-cost...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 24 May 2024); Strong Bank Buying and Tech Selling Continues

SOUTHBOUND flows continue to be strong. This week saw nearly HK$8bn bought on Banks and banks were top inflows. Some of this may be National Team...

Travis Lundy

Meituan beats revenue and net income estimates in Q1 but stock falls on lower guidance for Q2. Uncertainties remain with competition and overseas...

Consumer enthusiasm for long-distance trips during the Dragon Boat Festival has cooled. Short-distance tours are popular, benefiting low-cost...