Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Citing the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission's concerns and challenging markets,  Dye &amp; Durham (D&amp;D) reduced its Offer price for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a> to $4.30/share, down from $5.50/share.</li>
<li>Link has now announced it "does not believe it is able to recommend" the revised Offer.</li>
<li>That tentative rejection, and the fact it remains in discussion with D&amp;D, suggest a board-backed price is probably somewhere between the original bid price and the reduced Offer terms. </li>
</ul>


Citing the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission's concerns and challenging markets,  Dye &amp; Durham (D&amp;D) reduced its Offer price for Link Administration (LNK AU) to $4.30/share, down from $5.50/share.
Link has now announced it "does not believe it is able to recommend" the revised Offer.
That tentative rejection, and the fact it remains in discussion with D&amp;D, suggest a board-backed price is probably somewhere between the original bid price and the reduced Offer terms. 


Link Admin Rejects Dye & Durham’s Revised Offer

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>The highest spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sezzle-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30969:1" rel="noopener">Sezzle Inc (SZL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alliance-aviation-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20401:1" rel="noopener">Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ramsay-health-care-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:673:1" rel="noopener">Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU)</a>, Australian Unity Office Fund.</li>
<li>The lowest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hwa-hong-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6648:1" rel="noopener">Hwa Hong Corp (HWAH SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irongate-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30897:1" rel="noopener">Irongate Group (IAP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giordano-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13899:1" rel="noopener">Giordano International (709 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uniti-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29042:1" rel="noopener">Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/excelpoint-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1774:1" rel="noopener">Excelpoint Technology (EXLP SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
The highest spreads are Sezzle Inc (SZL AU), Link Administration (LNK AU), 21Vianet Group (VNET US), Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU), Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU), Australian Unity Office Fund.
The lowest gross spreads are Hwa Hong Corp (HWAH SP), Irongate Group (IAP AU), Giordano International (709 HK), Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU), Excelpoint Technology (EXLP SP).


Merger Arb Mondays (04 Jul) - Link Admin, Ramsay, DTAC/True, Australian Unity Office Fund, Yashili

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>On the ECM front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianqi-lithium-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27789:1" rel="noopener">Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK)</a> launched an up to US$1.7bn H-listing, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB)</a> covered its US$1bn SET listing, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28812:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (LI US)</a> US$2bn ATM offering.</li>
<li>On the Event-Driven front, there were developments at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tassal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16234:1" rel="noopener">Tassal (TGR AU)</a>, DTAC/True, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ardent-leisure-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29059:1" rel="noopener">Ardent Leisure Group Ltd (ALG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-unity-office-fund" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24077:1" rel="noopener">Australian Unity Office Fund (AOF AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
On the ECM front, Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK) launched an up to US$1.7bn H-listing, Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB) covered its US$1bn SET listing, Li Auto (LI US) US$2bn ATM offering.
On the Event-Driven front, there were developments at Link Administration (LNK AU), Tassal (TGR AU), DTAC/True, Ardent Leisure Group Ltd (ALG AU), Australian Unity Office Fund (AOF AU).


Weekly Deals Digest (03 Jul) - Tianqi Lithium, Thai Life, Li Auto, Link Admin, Tassal, DTAC/True

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a> selling its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a> shares was expected. The beginning of an open-ended share repurchase programme of Prosus and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> shares was a welcome surprise.</li>
<li>Dye &amp; Durham has reduced its Offer price for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a> to $4.30/share, down from $5.50/share. It still may get board support.</li>
<li>A 40-45% discount is about the narrowest <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-kyoto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5248:1" rel="noopener">Bank of Kyoto (8369 JP)</a> should get to. For that, there is probably 15-20% upside. But like all holdco trades, trade the range.</li>
</ul>



Prosus (PRX NA) selling its JD.com (9618 HK) shares was expected. The beginning of an open-ended share repurchase programme of Prosus and Naspers (NPN SJ) shares was a welcome surprise.
Dye &amp; Durham has reduced its Offer price for Link Administration (LNK AU) to $4.30/share, down from $5.50/share. It still may get board support.
A 40-45% discount is about the narrowest Bank of Kyoto (8369 JP) should get to. For that, there is probably 15-20% upside. But like all holdco trades, trade the range.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Prosus/Naspers, Link Admin, Bank of Kyoto, Tassel, Toshiba

<ul>
<li>For the month of June, 12 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$8bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in June was ~32%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 33%, 31%, and 31.5% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of June, 12 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$8bn.
The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in June was ~32%.
This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 33%, 31%, and 31.5% respectively.


Australia

Link Administration Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides fund administration, corporate markets, information, and digital and data services. Link Administration Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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Link Administration (LNK AU)

Link Admin Rejects Dye & Durham’s Revised Offer

If you are in - stay in. Or get involved around here. The mid-price of the IE's fair value range is A$5.39. The ASX 200 is down 11% since the...

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (04 Jul) - Link Admin, Ramsay, DTAC/True, Australian Unity Office Fund, Yashili

This week, the highest gross spreads are Sezzle (51.7%), Link Admin (44.7%), VNET (33.1%), Alliance Aviation (29.4%), Ramsay (19.9%), AOF (14.7%),...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (03 Jul) - Tianqi Lithium, Thai Life, Li Auto, Link Admin, Tassal, DTAC/True

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Link Admin, Tassal, DTAC/True, Australian Unity Office, Ardent Leisure) and ECM (Tianqi...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Prosus/Naspers, Link Admin, Bank of Kyoto, Tassel, Toshiba

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A: June 2022 Roundup

For the month of June, 12 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$12bn. The...

David Blennerhassett

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