IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>On the ECM front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianqi-lithium-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27789:1" rel="noopener">Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK)</a> launched an up to US$1.7bn H-listing, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB)</a> covered its US$1bn SET listing, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28812:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (LI US)</a> US$2bn ATM offering.</li>
<li>On the Event-Driven front, there were developments at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tassal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16234:1" rel="noopener">Tassal (TGR AU)</a>, DTAC/True, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ardent-leisure-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29059:1" rel="noopener">Ardent Leisure Group Ltd (ALG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-unity-office-fund" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24077:1" rel="noopener">Australian Unity Office Fund (AOF AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
On the ECM front, Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK) launched an up to US$1.7bn H-listing, Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB) covered its US$1bn SET listing, Li Auto (LI US) US$2bn ATM offering.
On the Event-Driven front, there were developments at Link Administration (LNK AU), Tassal (TGR AU), DTAC/True, Ardent Leisure Group Ltd (ALG AU), Australian Unity Office Fund (AOF AU).


Weekly Deals Digest (03 Jul) - Tianqi Lithium, Thai Life, Li Auto, Link Admin, Tassal, DTAC/True

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a> selling its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a> shares was expected. The beginning of an open-ended share repurchase programme of Prosus and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> shares was a welcome surprise.</li>
<li>Dye &amp; Durham has reduced its Offer price for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a> to $4.30/share, down from $5.50/share. It still may get board support.</li>
<li>A 40-45% discount is about the narrowest <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-kyoto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5248:1" rel="noopener">Bank of Kyoto (8369 JP)</a> should get to. For that, there is probably 15-20% upside. But like all holdco trades, trade the range.</li>
</ul>



Prosus (PRX NA) selling its JD.com (9618 HK) shares was expected. The beginning of an open-ended share repurchase programme of Prosus and Naspers (NPN SJ) shares was a welcome surprise.
Dye &amp; Durham has reduced its Offer price for Link Administration (LNK AU) to $4.30/share, down from $5.50/share. It still may get board support.
A 40-45% discount is about the narrowest Bank of Kyoto (8369 JP) should get to. For that, there is probably 15-20% upside. But like all holdco trades, trade the range.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Prosus/Naspers, Link Admin, Bank of Kyoto, Tassel, Toshiba

<ul>
<li>For the month of June, 12 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$8bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in June was ~32%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 33%, 31%, and 31.5% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of June, 12 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$8bn.
The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in June was ~32%.
This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 33%, 31%, and 31.5% respectively.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/axiata-group-berhad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:944:1" rel="noopener">Axiata Group (AXIATA MK)</a> recently completed the acquisition of a 66.03% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net (LINK IJ)</a>.  </li>
<li>Axiata is now obligated to undertake a mandatory tender (MTO) offer to acquire the remaining 33.97% equity interest in Link Net. There are no conditions attached to the MTO.</li>
<li>The MTO is expected to be completed in the third quarter of 2022. The spread has narrowed, yet there is still some left.</li>
</ul>



Axiata Group (AXIATA MK) recently completed the acquisition of a 66.03% stake in Link Net (LINK IJ).  
Axiata is now obligated to undertake a mandatory tender (MTO) offer to acquire the remaining 33.97% equity interest in Link Net. There are no conditions attached to the MTO.
The MTO is expected to be completed in the third quarter of 2022. The spread has narrowed, yet there is still some left.


<ul>
<li>Dye &amp; Durham/DND has proposed to lower its offer from A$5.50 to A$4.30 per share. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a> Board will provide shareholders with an update next week.</li>
<li>DND's justification for a lower offer based on the potential undertaking to the ACCC and the current state of the financial markets smacks of opportunism.    </li>
<li>The proposed lower bid offers no premium to our valuation range or the undisturbed price. The Board should reject the lower offer and instead reignite interest from past suitors. </li>
</ul>


Dye &amp; Durham/DND has proposed to lower its offer from A$5.50 to A$4.30 per share. The Link Administration (LNK AU) Board will provide shareholders with an update next week.
DND's justification for a lower offer based on the potential undertaking to the ACCC and the current state of the financial markets smacks of opportunism.    
The proposed lower bid offers no premium to our valuation range or the undisturbed price. The Board should reject the lower offer and instead reignite interest from past suitors. 


Link’s Lower Offer of A$4.30 from DND Fails to Excite

Australia

Link Administration Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides fund administration, corporate markets, information, and digital and data services. Link Administration Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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Link Administration (LNK AU)

Weekly Deals Digest (03 Jul) - Tianqi Lithium, Thai Life, Li Auto, Link Admin, Tassal, DTAC/True

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Link Admin, Tassal, DTAC/True, Australian Unity Office, Ardent Leisure) and ECM (Tianqi...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Prosus/Naspers, Link Admin, Bank of Kyoto, Tassel, Toshiba

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A: June 2022 Roundup

For the month of June, 12 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$12bn. The...

David Blennerhassett

Link Net: Home Straight For Axiata's MTO

Currently, trading at a gross/annualised spread of 2.5%/12.8%, assuming mid-September payment. Though not as exciting as it was at the time of my...

David Blennerhassett

Link’s Lower Offer of A$4.30 from DND Fails to Excite

DND's lower offer of A$4.30 smacks of opportunism. The Board should reject the lower offer and instead go it alone and reignite interest from past...

Arun George

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