HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Legend Biotech received takeover interest and hired Centerview Partners to review the offer. Due to the satisfactory clinical results/promising commercialization outlook of Carvykti, Legend Bio is an attractive M&amp;A candidate.</li>
<li>Peak sales of Carvykti could exceed US$5 billion. After Carvykti is approved by the FDA/EC for 2L treatment of MM, future valuation leap of legend Bio is becoming more certain.</li>
<li>Legend Bio is clearly undervalued. We think reasonable market value range for Legend Bio is about US$12.5 – 15 billion, which means there is decent upward potential for share price.</li>
</ul>


Legend Biotech received takeover interest and hired Centerview Partners to review the offer. Due to the satisfactory clinical results/promising commercialization outlook of Carvykti, Legend Bio is an attractive M&amp;A candidate.
Peak sales of Carvykti could exceed US$5 billion. After Carvykti is approved by the FDA/EC for 2L treatment of MM, future valuation leap of legend Bio is becoming more certain.
Legend Bio is clearly undervalued. We think reasonable market value range for Legend Bio is about US$12.5 – 15 billion, which means there is decent upward potential for share price.


Legend Biotech (LEGN US) - A Takeover Offer?

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Legend Biotech Corporation is a biotech company specializing in CAR-T cell therapy for the treatment of multiple myeloma.</li><li>In Quarter 1 2024, two major approvals by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and European Commission for the company’s CARVYKTI therapy for second line relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma have solidified its position in the industry.</li><li>This historical quarterly update positions Legend Biotech's CARVYKTI on the path to transforming the treatment landscape for thousands of patients suffering from multiple myeloma.</li></ul>

Legend Biotech Corporation is a biotech company specializing in CAR-T cell therapy for the treatment of multiple myeloma.In Quarter 1 2024, two major approvals by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and European Commission for the company’s CARVYKTI therapy for second line relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma have solidified its position in the industry.This historical quarterly update positions Legend Biotech's CARVYKTI on the path to transforming the treatment landscape for thousands of patients suffering from multiple myeloma.

Legend Biotech Corporation: Implementation of Commercial Launch of CARVYKTI & Other Major Drivers

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>There are people who'll take profit in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I (3382 JP)</a> because of path dependency til year-end. It will drag out a while: buy the dips, trim on pops.</li>
<li>Just like in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lufax-holding-ltd-b751749a-8feb-4b4d-85a7-d99ac0308fe7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40067:1" rel="noopener">Lufax Holding (6623 HK)</a>'s special dividend, expect Ping An to boost its holding in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-healthcare-and-technology-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27008:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Healthcare and Technology (1833 HK)</a> via the stealthy scrip dividend option. </li>
<li>The landscape for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP)</a> has FULLY changed. The details now matter quite a bit. NEC has two basic choices. Neither are that palatable.  </li>
</ul>


There are people who'll take profit in Seven &amp; I (3382 JP) because of path dependency til year-end. It will drag out a while: buy the dips, trim on pops.
Just like in Lufax Holding (6623 HK)'s special dividend, expect Ping An to boost its holding in Ping An Healthcare and Technology (1833 HK) via the stealthy scrip dividend option. 
The landscape for Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP) has FULLY changed. The details now matter quite a bit. NEC has two basic choices. Neither are that palatable.  


Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I, PA Gooddoctor, Nec Networks, Genscript/Legend, ASM PT, Hanwha

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanwha-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10619:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Corporation (000880 KS)</a> is "expensive" on my monitor. But that doesn't paint the whole picture. And what's up with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genscript-biotech-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21041:1" rel="noopener">Genscript Biotech (1548 HK)</a>'s deconsolidation of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legend-biotech-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28963:1" rel="noopener">Legend Biotech (LEGN US)</a>?</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Hanwha and Genscript Biotech/Legend Biotech are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Hanwha Corporation (000880 KS) is "expensive" on my monitor. But that doesn't paint the whole picture. And what's up with Genscript Biotech (1548 HK)'s deconsolidation of Legend Biotech (LEGN US)?
Preceding my comments on Hanwha and Genscript Biotech/Legend Biotech are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Hanwha Corp; Genscript Biotech/Legend Biotech

Chongqing Taiji Industry (Group) A / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are several ways for pharmaceutical companies to commercialize drugs. We analyzed the advantages and disadvantages and ranked them accordingly. Among them, out-licensing early-stage pipelines is the worst choice.</li>
<li>After 5-6 years of commercialization, China Biotech have reached the critical point of verifying the feasibility of business models. However, some companies are falling behind. We listed them below.</li>
<li>After the failure of China TCM’s privatization, CNPGC can choose to launch another privatization after 12 months. There’re also other methods to address the horizontal competition issue with Taiji Group.</li>
</ul>


There are several ways for pharmaceutical companies to commercialize drugs. We analyzed the advantages and disadvantages and ranked them accordingly. Among them, out-licensing early-stage pipelines is the worst choice.
After 5-6 years of commercialization, China Biotech have reached the critical point of verifying the feasibility of business models. However, some companies are falling behind. We listed them below.
After the failure of China TCM’s privatization, CNPGC can choose to launch another privatization after 12 months. There’re also other methods to address the horizontal competition issue with Taiji Group.


China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.10)-Biotech Model Validation, CNPGC Need to Fulfill Commitment to Taiji

China

Legend Biotech Corporation operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The Company engages in discovery and development of novel cell therapies for oncology and other indications. Legend Biotech serves customers in the State of New Jersey.

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Legend Biotech Corp (LEGN US)

Legend Biotech (LEGN US) - A Takeover Offer?

Legend Bio is an attractive M&A target with promising Carvykti outlook. Peak sales could reach over $5 billion. Legend Bio is currently...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Legend Biotech Corporation: Implementation of Commercial Launch of CARVYKTI & Other Major Drivers

Legend Biotech Corporation is a biotech company specializing in CAR-T cell therapy for the treatment of multiple myeloma. In Quarter 1 2024, two...

Baptista Research

Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I, PA Gooddoctor, Nec Networks, Genscript/Legend, ASM PT, Hanwha

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Hanwha Corp; Genscript Biotech/Legend Biotech

Hanwha Corp appears attractive here. The pushback is that HC is thinly traded. And Genscript’s deconsolidation has minimal impact on financials...

David Blennerhassett

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.10)-Biotech Model Validation, CNPGC Need to Fulfill Commitment to Taiji

Out-licensing early-stage pipelines is the worst option. China Biotech at a critical point in verifying business models. CNPGC has other methods to...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Legend Biotech (LEGN US) - A Takeover Offer?

​Legend Bio is an attractive M&A target with promising Carvykti outlook. Peak sales could reach over $5 billion. Legend Bio is currently...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Legend Biotech Corporation: Implementation of Commercial Launch of CARVYKTI & Other Major Drivers

Legend Biotech Corporation is a biotech company specializing in CAR-T cell therapy for the treatment of multiple myeloma. In Quarter 1 2024, two...

Baptista Research

Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I, PA Gooddoctor, Nec Networks, Genscript/Legend, ASM PT, Hanwha

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Hanwha Corp; Genscript Biotech/Legend Biotech

Hanwha Corp appears attractive here. The pushback is that HC is thinly traded. And Genscript’s deconsolidation has minimal impact on financials...

David Blennerhassett

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.10)-Biotech Model Validation, CNPGC Need to Fulfill Commitment to Taiji

Out-licensing early-stage pipelines is the worst option. China Biotech at a critical point in verifying business models. CNPGC has other methods to...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Legend Bio is an attractive M&A target with promising Carvykti outlook. Peak sales could reach over $5 billion. Legend Bio is currently...