External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>Major currencies are narrowly mixed for the most part in quiet trade ahead of today’s US data releases.</li><li>The exception is the JPY which is reflecting a relatively decent (0.5%) gain on the USD following comments last night from BoJ Governor Takata.</li><li>He commented that the central bank’s price target was “finally coming into sight”, suggesting the BoJ may be closer to a rate hike. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Major currencies are narrowly mixed for the most part in quiet trade ahead of today’s US data releases.The exception is the JPY which is reflecting a relatively decent (0.5%) gain on the USD following comments last night from BoJ Governor Takata.He commented that the central bank’s price target was “finally coming into sight”, suggesting the BoJ may be closer to a rate hike. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Mixed Ahead of PCE data, JPY Firmer

<ul><li>Non-commercial (speculative) sentiment favouring the USD moderated slightly in the past week’s data.</li><li>Speculative, aggregate net USD longs edged a little lower in the most recent week’s data to USD832mn, down just under USD600mn from the prior week’s report.</li><li>Additional data showed Real Money (institutional traders) paring aggregate USD shorts by around USD5bn in the week while Leveraged Accounts (hedge funds) cut limited aggregate exposure to the USD long side down from USD2.8bn in the prior week to an all but flat USD400mn. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Non-commercial (speculative) sentiment favouring the USD moderated slightly in the past week’s data.Speculative, aggregate net USD longs edged a little lower in the most recent week’s data to USD832mn, down just under USD600mn from the prior week’s report.Additional data showed Real Money (institutional traders) paring aggregate USD shorts by around USD5bn in the week while Leveraged Accounts (hedge funds) cut limited aggregate exposure to the USD long side down from USD2.8bn in the prior week to an all but flat USD400mn. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Bullish USD Sentiment Moderates

<ul><li>A mild bid for the USD generally yesterday developed a little more in overnight trade, largely reflecting weaker risk appetite as stocks in Asia and Europe (mostly) weakened.</li><li>US equity futures are in the red at writing while crude prices have slipped around 1% on the session as well.</li><li>Bonds are firmer, driving yields 1-2bps lower across the major markets. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

A mild bid for the USD generally yesterday developed a little more in overnight trade, largely reflecting weaker risk appetite as stocks in Asia and Europe (mostly) weakened.US equity futures are in the red at writing while crude prices have slipped around 1% on the session as well.Bonds are firmer, driving yields 1-2bps lower across the major markets. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Hello everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning watch! We have been all about the possibility of a cyclical rebound with the US economy showing great signs at the moment, and China is also potentially looking to beat the fairly bearish expectations (and why barely anyone has been net long cyclicals in all asset spaces).</li><li>This leaves markets with a great divergence, as Europe is yet to show the same signs of momentum, and inflation expectations (between USD and EUR) are also starting to diverge, but positioning has not followed accordingly.</li><li>Let’s rerun our current trades to kick things off: Equities: Long Materials and Long Korea (as a China proxy).</li></ul>

Hello everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning watch! We have been all about the possibility of a cyclical rebound with the US economy showing great signs at the moment, and China is also potentially looking to beat the fairly bearish expectations (and why barely anyone has been net long cyclicals in all asset spaces).This leaves markets with a great divergence, as Europe is yet to show the same signs of momentum, and inflation expectations (between USD and EUR) are also starting to diverge, but positioning has not followed accordingly.Let’s rerun our current trades to kick things off: Equities: Long Materials and Long Korea (as a China proxy).

Positioning Watch – Commodities Are Finally Moving

<ul><li>The USD is losing ground as North American markets return from the long weekend.</li><li>Trading was quiet Monday, with investors eyeing earnings reports (from tech behemoths) and event risk (Fed speakers, FOMC minutes) due later this week.</li><li>But the USD started to lose ground in early European trade and while movement is relatively limited, losses do looks do look noteworthy and suggest pressure may be building on the USD again. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The USD is losing ground as North American markets return from the long weekend.Trading was quiet Monday, with investors eyeing earnings reports (from tech behemoths) and event risk (Fed speakers, FOMC minutes) due later this week.But the USD started to lose ground in early European trade and while movement is relatively limited, losses do looks do look noteworthy and suggest pressure may be building on the USD again. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Japan

The Japanese yen is the official currency of Japan. 

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JPY (USDJPY CURNCY)

FX Daily - USD Mixed Ahead of PCE data, JPY Firmer

He commented that the central bank’s price target was “finally coming into sight”, suggesting the BoJ may be closer to a rate hike.

Scotiabank

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Bullish USD Sentiment Moderates

Waning speculative USD sentiment reflects trends in other indicators suggesting that the improvement in the broad USD tone since the start of the...

Scotiabank

FX Daily - USD Firmer on Soft Risk Mood

A mild bid for the USD generally yesterday developed a little more in overnight trade, largely reflecting weaker risk appetite as stocks in Asia...

Scotiabank

Positioning Watch – Commodities Are Finally Moving

Hello everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning watch!We have been all about the possibility of a cyclical rebound with the US economy...

Steno Research

FX Daily - USD Softer as Yields Retreat

Trading was quiet Monday, with investors eyeing earnings reports (from tech behemoths) and event risk (Fed speakers, FOMC minutes) due later this...

Scotiabank

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