Recession Watch-II: US Manufacturing & Asian Imports Half a Year from Recession
ISM manufacturing new orders at a 10-year low (47.2 in August 2019) suggest that the US manufacturing sector will be in recession by February 2020,...
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El Paso: Trump's Waterloo
Consequential changes in sentiment in key states underscore the presidential prospects for the Democratic Party primary leader, former Vice...
403 Views
Democratic Primary: After Running Debate Gauntlets, Biden Emerges On Track
Ramifications of the 2020 US presidential election, 15 months away, will be global. Diverse outcomes are possible given the breadth of the...
438 Views
With GDP Growth Averaging 2.1% over the Latest 3 Quarters, a Rate Cut Is Imminent
US real GDP grew 2.9% in 2018, spurred partly by the stimulus from the large tax cut agreed in December 2017. But in the latest 3 quarters (4Q 2018...
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NFP and ISM Confirm that the US Has Joined the Global Slowdown; Recession Risks Recede
US non-farm payrolls saw a net increase of just 75,000 in May 2019, far below the consensus of 180,000. Downward revisions to March and April...
642 Views