Biden-Harris Is a Formidable Ticket, but It Has Vulnerabilities from a Leftward Tilt
As we (and the consensus) had expected for months, Sen. Kamala Harris was finally named as former Vice President Joe Biden's running mate for the...
317 Views
Labour Market Slack Remains but FOMC Will Need to Tighten by Mid-2021
We agree with the FOMC projection of a short and sharp recession, but not with its sanguine view about inflation; we expect the next rate hike...
362 Views
Trump Vs Biden Set 7 Months in Advance: Recession Aids Biden; Dirt Will Fly His Way
With exactly six months to go for the presidential election outcome to be known, Trump vs Biden will likely pit Biden's pitch for economic...
256 Views
Recession Will Worsen This Quarter & Last into 3Q 2020 Despite Huge Fiscal Stimulus
Given the shambolic, disjointed US response to Covid-19, the US economy is likely to contract 20%QoQ in 2Q 2020 (far worse than 1Q 2020's 4.8%...
262 Views
Sanders-Buttigieg Are Co-Front-Runners, but Bloomberg Is Racing to the Nomination
Mike Bloomberg, a self-made billionaire in the technology & financial sector and 3-term mayor of New York, is quietly surging in the polls,...
283 Views