Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Chinese Internet data center services provider <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a></strong> has recently received a non-binding proposal letter from the Hina Group and Shanghai's Industrial Bank Co. </li>
<li>The indicative Offer price is US$8.00/ADS, or ~US$1.3333 per ordinary share.</li>
<li>The Offer Price is <em>utterly underwhelming</em>. A successful outcome will more than likely find its way to the Cayman Court.</li>
</ul>


Chinese Internet data center services provider 21Vianet Group (VNET US) has recently received a non-binding proposal letter from the Hina Group and Shanghai's Industrial Bank Co. 
The indicative Offer price is US$8.00/ADS, or ~US$1.3333 per ordinary share.
The Offer Price is utterly underwhelming. A successful outcome will more than likely find its way to the Cayman Court.


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>VNET, formerly known as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>, is a leading carrier and cloud-neutral data centre services provider in China. </li>
<li>It has received a non-binding privatisation proposal from <a href="https://www.hinagroup.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">The Hina Group</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industrial-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19515:1" rel="noopener">Industrial Bank Co Ltd A (601166 CH)</a> at $8.00 per ADS, a 48.1% premium to the undisturbed price. </li>
<li>The Board has not made any decisions on the offer. Despite the juicy premium, the offer is unattractive in the context of historical multiples and share prices.    </li>
</ul>


VNET, formerly known as 21Vianet Group (VNET US), is a leading carrier and cloud-neutral data centre services provider in China. 
It has received a non-binding privatisation proposal from The Hina Group and Industrial Bank Co Ltd A (601166 CH) at $8.00 per ADS, a 48.1% premium to the undisturbed price. 
The Board has not made any decisions on the offer. Despite the juicy premium, the offer is unattractive in the context of historical multiples and share prices.    


VNET’s Languishing Shares Draws an Opportunistic $8.00 Bid

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On October 18, JD denies there is a run on JD Finance.</li>
<li>Many male users claimed they boycott JD for the invitation of Miss Yang, a talk show celebrity.</li>
<li>We believe the event will negatively impact JD and benefit Alibaba.</li>
</ul>


On October 18, JD denies there is a run on JD Finance.
Many male users claimed they boycott JD for the invitation of Miss Yang, a talk show celebrity.
We believe the event will negatively impact JD and benefit Alibaba.


JD.com (JD US): Boycotted by Male Users, Denies Run on JD Finance

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Granular data at Hang Seng Bank suggests a greater deterioration in both HK and China than is readily visible in headline numbers</li>
<li>The bank's China pre-tax profit is down 70% YoY in 1H24 and its total stage 3 loans are up 84% YoY in 1H24</li>
<li>The bank's credit-impaired loans for Hong Kong CRE rose from HKD1,081m to HKD13,485m, from 2H23 to 1H24</li>
</ul>


Granular data at Hang Seng Bank suggests a greater deterioration in both HK and China than is readily visible in headline numbers
The bank's China pre-tax profit is down 70% YoY in 1H24 and its total stage 3 loans are up 84% YoY in 1H24
The bank's credit-impaired loans for Hong Kong CRE rose from HKD1,081m to HKD13,485m, from 2H23 to 1H24


Hang Seng Bank - China Profit -70% YoY, Stage 3 Loans +84% YoY, HK CRE Impaired Loan +12.5x (Times)

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 4.8bn of A-shares on high gross low net volume in the two days. NORTHBOUND bought Kweichow Moutai, banks, Haier Smarthome, etc.</li>
<li>HUGE week in H vs A (since the 30 April close). This may be colouring foreigner activity in As quite a bit. </li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 4.8bn of A-shares on high gross low net volume in the two days. NORTHBOUND bought Kweichow Moutai, banks, Haier Smarthome, etc.
HUGE week in H vs A (since the 30 April close). This may be colouring foreigner activity in As quite a bit. 


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 10 May 2024): So-So Volumes, As Did Not Play Catchup

China

Industrial Bank Co.,Ltd. provides banking services. The Company offers deposits, loans, fund management, foreign currency management, and other services. Industrial Bank provides its services to individuals, enterprises, and other clients.

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Industrial Bank Co Ltd A (601166 CH)

Hina/IBC's Non-Binding Proposal For VNET

Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings (412 HK) is investing US$299mn (@US$0.497/share) in VNET to take a 42.12% stake on a fully diluted basis, and 35.7% of...

David Blennerhassett

VNET’s Languishing Shares Draws an Opportunistic $8.00 Bid

The Hina Group and Industrial Bank Co have offered $8.00 per ADS, a 48.1% premium to the undisturbed price. However, the offer is unattractive in...

Arun George

JD.com (JD US): Boycotted by Male Users, Denies Run on JD Finance

JD denies there is a run on JD Finance. Many male users claimed they boycott JD for the invitation of Miss Yang, a talk show celebrity.

Ming Lu

Hang Seng Bank - China Profit -70% YoY, Stage 3 Loans +84% YoY, HK CRE Impaired Loan +12.5x (Times)

Granular data for Hang Seng Bank provides a good window of underlying credit metrics in both Hong Kong and China, which may not be well visible in...

Daniel Tabbush

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 10 May 2024): So-So Volumes, As Did Not Play Catchup

NORTHBOUND tried to rally flows to catch up to the HK move over the holiday and could not. After Monday, 3 of 4 days were outflows. Local investors...

Travis Lundy

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