Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>In this China banks screen, we focus on the credit quality headwinds going forward, as well as the returns trends that can absorb potentially worsening cost of risk charges</li>
<li>China bank shares continue to be poor performers; yet we see selective contrarian buy opportunities, for those banks with deeply discounted valuations and strong balance sheets including credit quality metrics</li>
<li>We stick with Industrial Bank and CCB as buys, adding Ping An Bank to the buys both of which have attractive valuations; Minsheng remains our fundamental sell</li>
</ul>


In this China banks screen, we focus on the credit quality headwinds going forward, as well as the returns trends that can absorb potentially worsening cost of risk charges
China bank shares continue to be poor performers; yet we see selective contrarian buy opportunities, for those banks with deeply discounted valuations and strong balance sheets including credit quality metrics
We stick with Industrial Bank and CCB as buys, adding Ping An Bank to the buys both of which have attractive valuations; Minsheng remains our fundamental sell


China Banks; Deep Value Despite the Rising Credit Quality Risks

Financial sector veteran, KT Capital Group

Fern Wang

Financial sector veteran

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>PBOC and NAFR included Bank of Nanjing in its latest D-SIBs list, increasing the total D-SIBs to 20</li>
<li>13 benchmarks were used to assess the D-SIBs using 1H23 data</li>
<li>All D-SIBs fulfilled their additional capital requirements as of 1H23, but the buffer is wearing thin for some especially in view of the difficult economic environment </li>
</ul>


PBOC and NAFR included Bank of Nanjing in its latest D-SIBs list, increasing the total D-SIBs to 20
13 benchmarks were used to assess the D-SIBs using 1H23 data
All D-SIBs fulfilled their additional capital requirements as of 1H23, but the buffer is wearing thin for some especially in view of the difficult economic environment 


China's New List Of D-SIBs' Capital Buffer Is Wearing Thin For Some

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 23rd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$43.7 million, led by industrials, information technology, communication services sectors, and offset by materials, financials.</li>
<li>We estimate the inflows to be USD 43 mil last week and highlight flows for China Cssc, Dahua.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 23rd.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$43.7 million, led by industrials, information technology, communication services sectors, and offset by materials, financials.
We estimate the inflows to be USD 43 mil last week and highlight flows for China Cssc, Dahua.


Northbound Flows (Jun 23rd): China Cssc, Dahua

Industrial Bank Co Ltd A / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this China banks screener; we focus on the potential for increased credit quality headwinds going forward, given the weak GDP growth outlook</li>
<li>China bank shares have been poor performers and still we see selective buy opportunities, with better credit quality metrics</li>
<li>We favour Industrial Bank and CCB both of which have attractive valuations; Minsheng, on the other hand, remains exposed to a worsening of the credit quality cycle</li>
</ul>


In this China banks screener; we focus on the potential for increased credit quality headwinds going forward, given the weak GDP growth outlook
China bank shares have been poor performers and still we see selective buy opportunities, with better credit quality metrics
We favour Industrial Bank and CCB both of which have attractive valuations; Minsheng, on the other hand, remains exposed to a worsening of the credit quality cycle


China Banks Screen; Focus on the Credit Quality Risks

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 9th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$265.3 million, led by financials, consumer discretionary, industrials sectors, and offset by information technology, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai Securities, Zhejiang Dahua Technology, Anhui Conch Cement, East Money Information, Asr Microelectronics, Wuliangye.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 9th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$265.3 million, led by financials, consumer discretionary, industrials sectors, and offset by information technology, materials.
We highlight flows for Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai Securities, Zhejiang Dahua Technology, Anhui Conch Cement, East Money Information, Asr Microelectronics, Wuliangye.


Northbound Flows (Jun 9th): Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai Securities, Dahua

China

Industrial Bank Co.,Ltd. provides banking services. The Company offers deposits, loans, fund management, foreign currency management, and other services. Industrial Bank provides its services to individuals, enterprises, and other clients.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Industrial Bank Co Ltd A (601166 CH)

China Banks; Deep Value Despite the Rising Credit Quality Risks

China banks face credit quality hurdles, yet there are opportunities with discounted valuations and strong balance sheets; Industrial Bank, CCB...

Victor Galliano

China's New List Of D-SIBs' Capital Buffer Is Wearing Thin For Some

China's total D-SIBs increased to 20 with addition of BONJ. All banks on the list complied with the additional capital requirements as end of 1H23...

Fern Wang

Northbound Flows (Jun 23rd): China Cssc, Dahua

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Cssc Holding, Zhejiang Dahua.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Banks Screen; Focus on the Credit Quality Risks

There is potential for worsening China banks credit quality going forward, but low valuations and our balance sheet reviews lead us to recommend...

Victor Galliano

Northbound Flows (Jun 9th): Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai Securities, Dahua

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Banks; Deep Value Despite the Rising Credit Quality Risks

​China banks face credit quality hurdles, yet there are opportunities with discounted valuations and strong balance sheets; Industrial Bank, CCB...

Victor Galliano

China's New List Of D-SIBs' Capital Buffer Is Wearing Thin For Some

China's total D-SIBs increased to 20 with addition of BONJ. All banks on the list complied with the additional capital requirements as end of 1H23...

Fern Wang

Northbound Flows (Jun 23rd): China Cssc, Dahua

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Cssc Holding, Zhejiang Dahua.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Banks Screen; Focus on the Credit Quality Risks

There is potential for worsening China banks credit quality going forward, but low valuations and our balance sheet reviews lead us to recommend...

Victor Galliano

Northbound Flows (Jun 9th): Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai Securities, Dahua

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China banks face credit quality hurdles, yet there are opportunities with discounted valuations and strong balance sheets; Industrial Bank, CCB...