Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

Industrial Bank Co Ltd A / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this China banks screener; we focus on the potential for increased credit quality headwinds going forward, given the weak GDP growth outlook</li>
<li>China bank shares have been poor performers and still we see selective buy opportunities, with better credit quality metrics</li>
<li>We favour Industrial Bank and CCB both of which have attractive valuations; Minsheng, on the other hand, remains exposed to a worsening of the credit quality cycle</li>
</ul>


In this China banks screener; we focus on the potential for increased credit quality headwinds going forward, given the weak GDP growth outlook
China bank shares have been poor performers and still we see selective buy opportunities, with better credit quality metrics
We favour Industrial Bank and CCB both of which have attractive valuations; Minsheng, on the other hand, remains exposed to a worsening of the credit quality cycle


China Banks Screen; Focus on the Credit Quality Risks

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 9th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$265.3 million, led by financials, consumer discretionary, industrials sectors, and offset by information technology, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai Securities, Zhejiang Dahua Technology, Anhui Conch Cement, East Money Information, Asr Microelectronics, Wuliangye.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 9th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$265.3 million, led by financials, consumer discretionary, industrials sectors, and offset by information technology, materials.
We highlight flows for Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai Securities, Zhejiang Dahua Technology, Anhui Conch Cement, East Money Information, Asr Microelectronics, Wuliangye.


Northbound Flows (Jun 9th): Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai Securities, Dahua

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 25th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,561.1 million, led by materials, financials, and offset by communication services, utilities, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, Luxshare Precision Industry, Longi Green, China Merchants Bank, Wuliangye Yibin, Ping An Insurance, Ping An Bank, East Money Information.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 25th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,561.1 million, led by materials, financials, and offset by communication services, utilities, energy.
We highlight flows for CATL, Luxshare Precision Industry, Longi Green, China Merchants Bank, Wuliangye Yibin, Ping An Insurance, Ping An Bank, East Money Information.


Northbound Flows (May 25th): CATL, Luxshare Precision, Longi Green, CMB, Wuliangye, East Money

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Active China A-Share funds scale back Financials exposure to record lows.</li>
<li>A-Share Financials are the largest sector underweight by some distance, held below benchmark by -8.6% on average</li>
<li>Outside of 6 well held stocks, active A-Share managers are staying well clear of a long tail of companies that are well represented in the MSCI China A-Share benchmark.</li>
</ul>


Active China A-Share funds scale back Financials exposure to record lows.
A-Share Financials are the largest sector underweight by some distance, held below benchmark by -8.6% on average
Outside of 6 well held stocks, active A-Share managers are staying well clear of a long tail of companies that are well represented in the MSCI China A-Share benchmark.


<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 10th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,487.9 million, led by financials, materials, and offset by industrials, health care, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Tourism Group Duty Free, Kweichow Moutai, Byd, China Merchants Bank, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial, Longi Green Energy Technology, Tongwei, Luxshare Precision Industry.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 10th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,487.9 million, led by financials, materials, and offset by industrials, health care, utilities.
We highlight flows for China Tourism Group Duty Free, Kweichow Moutai, Byd, China Merchants Bank, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial, Longi Green Energy Technology, Tongwei, Luxshare Precision Industry.


Northbound Flows (Mar 10th): CTG, Moutai, Byd, CMB, Yili, Longi Green Energy, Tongwei, Luxshare

China

Industrial Bank Co.,Ltd. provides banking services. The Company offers deposits, loans, fund management, foreign currency management, and other services. Industrial Bank provides its services to individuals, enterprises, and other clients.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Industrial Bank Co Ltd A (601166 CH)

China Banks Screen; Focus on the Credit Quality Risks

There is potential for worsening China banks credit quality going forward, but low valuations and our balance sheet reviews lead us to recommend...

Victor Galliano

Northbound Flows (Jun 9th): Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai Securities, Dahua

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (May 25th): CATL, Luxshare Precision, Longi Green, CMB, Wuliangye, East Money

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, Luxshare Precision, Longi Green, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Mar 10th): CTG, Moutai, Byd, CMB, Yili, Longi Green Energy, Tongwei, Luxshare

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CTG, Moutai, Byd, CMB, Yili, Longi Green Energy,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Banks Screen; Focus on the Credit Quality Risks

There is potential for worsening China banks credit quality going forward, but low valuations and our balance sheet reviews lead us to recommend...

Victor Galliano

Northbound Flows (Jun 9th): Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai Securities, Dahua

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (May 25th): CATL, Luxshare Precision, Longi Green, CMB, Wuliangye, East Money

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, Luxshare Precision, Longi Green, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China A-Share Financials: Out Of Love

China A-Share managers scale back Financials exposure to record lows. Outside of the top 6 stocks, active managers show little appetite for the...

Steven Holden

Northbound Flows (Mar 10th): CTG, Moutai, Byd, CMB, Yili, Longi Green Energy, Tongwei, Luxshare

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CTG, Moutai, Byd, CMB, Yili, Longi Green Energy,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM