Co-Founder & CEO, Newmark Risk

Nicholas Pezolano

Co-Founder & CEO

Option analytics for institutional investors

Newmark Risk

Fin-tech company focused on providing option derived analytics for institutional investors.

We handle the complexity of options data so you don't have to.

- Data and Analytics available all in one place so you can focus on Strategy Development
- Custom Solutions for your data and/or portfolio needs
- Advisory services to lend our expertise

Knowledge is something that was meant to be shared and we provide insights to our clients and to the community via posting about our research findings.

Event-Driven

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Event-Driven

<ul><li>A cross-country study on the post earning announcement drift effect.</li><li>We explore the use of various options-implied analytics to systematically view returns around earnings announcements.  </li><li>Options-Implied Analytics can provide empowering information to better inform investment decisions.</li></ul>

A cross-country study on the post earning announcement drift effect.We explore the use of various options-implied analytics to systematically view returns around earnings announcements.  Options-Implied Analytics can provide empowering information to better inform investment decisions.

EQD | A Systematic Look at the Post Earnings Announcement Drift Across Asia

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a> closed the month of February up, printing a +6.63% return, after months of uninterrupted downtrend.</li>
<li>The big question at this point is: has the index reached the turning point that many have been waiting for?</li>
<li>In this insight we will try to analyze what the possible short-term trend could be for the index after the recent trend reversal.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Index closed the month of February up, printing a +6.63% return, after months of uninterrupted downtrend.
The big question at this point is: has the index reached the turning point that many have been waiting for?
In this insight we will try to analyze what the possible short-term trend could be for the index after the recent trend reversal.


EQD | The Hang Seng Index's Turning Point

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a> is rallying as anticipated in a previous insight, but it could stop this week and pullback a bit.  </li>
<li>3 possible trades available: go SHORT and hold to profit from a re-start of the downtrend, go SHORT and close after 1 week, wait the pullback and go LONG.</li>
<li>It's unclear at the moment if the index will go lower or rebound after the upcoming pullback.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Index is rallying as anticipated in a previous insight, but it could stop this week and pullback a bit.  
3 possible trades available: go SHORT and hold to profit from a re-start of the downtrend, go SHORT and close after 1 week, wait the pullback and go LONG.
It's unclear at the moment if the index will go lower or rebound after the upcoming pullback.


EQD | HSI Rally: Possible Brief Stop This Week

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a> this week reversed up and close the week up, after 3 weeks down. This may not be the usual opportunity to go SHORT.</li>
<li>The index may rise for another 1 week and then pullback, but our seasonal matrix model says there is a good probability the HSI rallies in February.</li>
<li>Based on this market reading we advise HSI Short Sellers to be particularly careful when setting up SHORT trades between here and the end of February. </li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Index this week reversed up and close the week up, after 3 weeks down. This may not be the usual opportunity to go SHORT.
The index may rise for another 1 week and then pullback, but our seasonal matrix model says there is a good probability the HSI rallies in February.
Based on this market reading we advise HSI Short Sellers to be particularly careful when setting up SHORT trades between here and the end of February. 


EQD | HSI Short-Sellers Prepare for a Rally in February

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Along with its fiscal 2024 results, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a> announced that they were preparing for their primary listing in Hong Kong and the conversion was expected to complete by August.</li>
<li>If the conversion is completed by the end of August, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a> could be added to Southbound Stock Connect in September and that could bring in significant flows.</li>
<li>We do not forecast any passive inflows due to the change with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> capped at 8% of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> indices.</li>
</ul>


Along with its fiscal 2024 results, Alibaba (9988 HK) announced that they were preparing for their primary listing in Hong Kong and the conversion was expected to complete by August.
If the conversion is completed by the end of August, Alibaba (9988 HK) could be added to Southbound Stock Connect in September and that could bring in significant flows.
We do not forecast any passive inflows due to the change with Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) capped at 8% of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices.


Alibaba (9988 HK): Dual Primary Listing & Potential Southbound Flows

Hong Kong

The Hang Seng Index is a free-float capitalization-weighted index of a selection of companies from the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong. The components of the index are divided into four subindices: Commerce and Industry, Finance, Utilities, and Properties. The index was developed with a base level of 100 as of July 31, 1964.

Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)

EQD | A Systematic Look at the Post Earnings Announcement Drift Across Asia

We leverage a few analytics from NewMark Risk's proprietary Options Implied Analytics library to enhance common strategies to trade earnings...

Nicholas Pezolano

EQD | The Hang Seng Index's Turning Point

The Hang Seng Index closed February with a +6.63% return, sparking speculation on whether it has hit a turning point after months of decline. Read...

Nico Rosti

EQD | HSI Rally: Possible Brief Stop This Week

The Hang Seng Index is rallying but may pull back this week, offering possible trades to go SHORT (or go LONG after the pullback). Uncertainty...

Nico Rosti

EQD | HSI Short-Sellers Prepare for a Rally in February

The Hang Seng Index reversed its downward trend last week, and closed the week up. Caution is advised for short sellers as there is a good chance...

Nico Rosti

Alibaba (9988 HK): Dual Primary Listing & Potential Southbound Flows

Alibaba expect to convert to a Primary Listing on the HKEX by end August. That could mean inclusion in Southbound Stock Connect in September. With...

Brian Freitas

EQD | A Systematic Look at the Post Earnings Announcement Drift Across Asia

We leverage a few analytics from NewMark Risk's proprietary Options Implied Analytics library to enhance common strategies to trade earnings...

Nicholas Pezolano

EQD | The Hang Seng Index's Turning Point

​The Hang Seng Index closed February with a +6.63% return, sparking speculation on whether it has hit a turning point after months of decline. Read...

Nico Rosti

EQD | HSI Rally: Possible Brief Stop This Week

​The Hang Seng Index is rallying but may pull back this week, offering possible trades to go SHORT (or go LONG after the pullback). Uncertainty...

Nico Rosti

EQD | HSI Short-Sellers Prepare for a Rally in February

​The Hang Seng Index reversed its downward trend last week, and closed the week up. Caution is advised for short sellers as there is a good chance...

Nico Rosti

Alibaba (9988 HK): Dual Primary Listing & Potential Southbound Flows

Alibaba expect to convert to a Primary Listing on the HKEX by end August. That could mean inclusion in Southbound Stock Connect in September. With...

Brian Freitas

The Hang Seng Index closed February with a +6.63% return, sparking speculation on whether it has hit a turning point after months of decline. Read...

The Hang Seng Index is rallying but may pull back this week, offering possible trades to go SHORT (or go LONG after the pullback). Uncertainty...

The Hang Seng Index reversed its downward trend last week, and closed the week up. Caution is advised for short sellers as there is a good chance...