External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Q1FY25 earnings season was marked by a) Robust PMI manufacturing and Services, b) Stronger E-way bill and GST collection, d) Heat waves and electricity demand, and e) Election campaigns and rallies. Domestic-facing sectors largely enjoyed the economic recovery backed by these factors and hence, margins may surprise positively.</li><li>On the other hand, export-oriented themes are likely to showcase relatively weaker performance.</li><li>Most of the domestic high-frequency indicators have trended higher during the quarter which is likely to translate into good demand momentum for the domestic corporate segment. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q1FY25 earnings season was marked by a) Robust PMI manufacturing and Services, b) Stronger E-way bill and GST collection, d) Heat waves and electricity demand, and e) Election campaigns and rallies. Domestic-facing sectors largely enjoyed the economic recovery backed by these factors and hence, margins may surprise positively.On the other hand, export-oriented themes are likely to showcase relatively weaker performance.Most of the domestic high-frequency indicators have trended higher during the quarter which is likely to translate into good demand momentum for the domestic corporate segment. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>For Steel companies under our coverage, EBITDA/t is expected to increase on a YoY basis, led by higher metal sales volumes YoY and lower coking coal consumption costs, partially offset by lower NSRs (Benchmark Steel HRC prices in the traders market exMumbai have declined by 6% YoY and flat QoQ).</li><li>On a QoQ basis, we expect EBITDA/t growth to moderate or even decline as a decline in coking coal consumption cost is offset by lower NSRs and lower sales volumes over the seasonally strong Q4FY24.</li><li>For Aluminium companies, we expect growth in EBITDA margin to moderate on a QoQ basis.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

For Steel companies under our coverage, EBITDA/t is expected to increase on a YoY basis, led by higher metal sales volumes YoY and lower coking coal consumption costs, partially offset by lower NSRs (Benchmark Steel HRC prices in the traders market exMumbai have declined by 6% YoY and flat QoQ).On a QoQ basis, we expect EBITDA/t growth to moderate or even decline as a decline in coking coal consumption cost is offset by lower NSRs and lower sales volumes over the seasonally strong Q4FY24.For Aluminium companies, we expect growth in EBITDA margin to moderate on a QoQ basis.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina Ltd (AWC AU)</a> IE considers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alcoa-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6510:1" rel="noopener">Alcoa (AA US)</a>’s scheme offer (0.02854 Alcoa shares per Alumina share) fair and reasonable as the terms are within its valuation range. </li>
<li>The offer is conditional on FIRB and Alumina/Alcoa shareholder approval. FIRB approval should be forthcoming as Alcoa already owns most of Alumina’s sole assets (AWAC).</li>
<li>The support of the substantive shareholders and the re-rating of Alcoa shares since 12 March (entry into a SID) has materially lowered the vote risk. This is a done deal.</li>
</ul>


The Alumina Ltd (AWC AU) IE considers Alcoa (AA US)’s scheme offer (0.02854 Alcoa shares per Alumina share) fair and reasonable as the terms are within its valuation range. 
The offer is conditional on FIRB and Alumina/Alcoa shareholder approval. FIRB approval should be forthcoming as Alcoa already owns most of Alumina’s sole assets (AWAC).
The support of the substantive shareholders and the re-rating of Alcoa shares since 12 March (entry into a SID) has materially lowered the vote risk. This is a done deal.


India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindalco-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18490:1" rel="noopener">Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN)</a> Postpones <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novelis-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39969:1" rel="noopener">Novelis Corporation (0620365D US)</a> IPO Amid Market Considerations</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a>'s Tata Motors Finance to Merge with Tata Capital</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-stock-exchange" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23751:1" rel="noopener">National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN)</a> Sets World Record for Highest Number of Transactions in a Single Day</li>
</ul>



Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN) Postpones Novelis Corporation (0620365D US) IPO Amid Market Considerations

Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)'s Tata Motors Finance to Merge with Tata Capital

National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN) Sets World Record for Highest Number of Transactions in a Single Day


#8 India Insight: Novelis IPO Postponed, TMFL Merger, Angle One Client Growth, NSE World Record

<ul><li>Hindalco’s Indian operations delivered robust performance.</li><li>Overall consolidated revenue stood largely inline (flat YoY, up 6% QoQ), while reported EBITDA grew by 24%/14% YoY/QoQ (10% beat vs. our estimates), led by strong upstream Aluminium and copper division.</li><li>NALCO reported a strong set of numbers with EBITDA beating ours and consensus estimates. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Hindalco’s Indian operations delivered robust performance.Overall consolidated revenue stood largely inline (flat YoY, up 6% QoQ), while reported EBITDA grew by 24%/14% YoY/QoQ (10% beat vs. our estimates), led by strong upstream Aluminium and copper division.NALCO reported a strong set of numbers with EBITDA beating ours and consensus estimates. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Top Sector Ideas - Metals and Mining Q4FY24

India

Hindalco Industries Limited is an integrated aluminum manufacturer. The Company mines bauxite and refines it into alumina. The Company's other operations include the smelting of alumina into aluminum, the manufacture of semi-fabricated rolled and extruded products. The Company's products include aluminum ingots, steel rods and rolled flat steel products.

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Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN)

Q1FY25 - Consolidated Earnings Preview

Based on our and consensus estimates, we forecast Nifty to deliver Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 7.8%/3%/1.2% respectively for the quarter.

Axis Direct

Metals - Q1FY25 Earnings Preview

For Steel companies under our coverage, EBITDA/t is expected to increase on a YoY basis, led by higher metal sales volumes YoY and lower coking...

Axis Direct

Alumina (AWC AU): Scheme Vote on 18 July

The support of the substantive shareholders and the re-rating of Alcoa shares since 12 March (entry into a SID) has materially lowered the vote...

Arun George

#8 India Insight: Novelis IPO Postponed, TMFL Merger, Angle One Client Growth, NSE World Record

Hindalco Industries postpones Novelis Corporation IPO, Tata Motors Finance to merge with Tata Capital, NSE sets world record for transactions in a...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Top Sector Ideas - Metals and Mining Q4FY24

Overall consolidated revenue stood largely inline (flat YoY, up 6% QoQ), while reported EBITDA grew by 24%/14% YoY/QoQ (10% beat vs. our estimates)

Axis Direct

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Q1FY25 - Consolidated Earnings Preview

Based on our and consensus estimates, we forecast Nifty to deliver Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 7.8%/3%/1.2% respectively for the quarter.

Axis Direct

Metals - Q1FY25 Earnings Preview

For Steel companies under our coverage, EBITDA/t is expected to increase on a YoY basis, led by higher metal sales volumes YoY and lower coking...

Axis Direct

Alumina (AWC AU): Scheme Vote on 18 July

The support of the substantive shareholders and the re-rating of Alcoa shares since 12 March (entry into a SID) has materially lowered the vote...

Arun George

#8 India Insight: Novelis IPO Postponed, TMFL Merger, Angle One Client Growth, NSE World Record

​Hindalco Industries postpones Novelis Corporation IPO, Tata Motors Finance to merge with Tata Capital, NSE sets world record for transactions in a...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Top Sector Ideas - Metals and Mining Q4FY24

Overall consolidated revenue stood largely inline (flat YoY, up 6% QoQ), while reported EBITDA grew by 24%/14% YoY/QoQ (10% beat vs. our estimates)

Axis Direct

Hindalco Industries postpones Novelis Corporation IPO, Tata Motors Finance to merge with Tata Capital, NSE sets world record for transactions in a...