Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> has been falling for 2 weeks and is reaching mildly OVERSOLD territory. If this was a retracement during the main rally, it may be time to BUY.</li>
<li>
The Market Reversal Matrix's shows a bullish pattern, the time+price combined probability of success for LONG trades from current prices, after 2 weeks down, is &gt;66%.</li>
<li>
Price area to go LONG: 19400 to 18792, you can go LONG this week and also next week, if down (CC=-3).</li>
</ul>


The NIFTY Index has been falling for 2 weeks and is reaching mildly OVERSOLD territory. If this was a retracement during the main rally, it may be time to BUY.

The Market Reversal Matrix's shows a bullish pattern, the time+price combined probability of success for LONG trades from current prices, after 2 weeks down, is &gt;66%.

Price area to go LONG: 19400 to 18792, you can go LONG this week and also next week, if down (CC=-3).


EQD | NIFTY Index WEEKLY Correction May Be Ending

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

SBFC Finance Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbfc-finance-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36713:1" rel="noopener">SBFC Finance Limited (1547353D IN)</a> is looking to raise up to US$131m in its India IPO. </li>
<li>SBFC Finance is a systematically important, non-deposit taking non-banking finance company (NBFC-ND-SI), offering secured MSME Loans and Loans against Gold. </li>
<li>In our previous note, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about RHP updates, undertake a peer comparison and provide our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



SBFC Finance Limited (1547353D IN) is looking to raise up to US$131m in its India IPO. 
SBFC Finance is a systematically important, non-deposit taking non-banking finance company (NBFC-ND-SI), offering secured MSME Loans and Loans against Gold. 
In our previous note, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about RHP updates, undertake a peer comparison and provide our thoughts on valuation.


SBFC Finance IPO - RHP Updates, Peer Comparison and Thoughts on Valuation

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Asia underweight funds LATAM overweight.  Asia’s ‘big 4’, account for 64.4% of the average fund.  MENA region suffers from a lack of ownership, with Saudi Arabia held underweight by -2.92%.</li>
<li>Tech moves to the top sector holding after capturing strong inflows, displacing Financials which saw heavy outflows and negative rotation.</li>
<li>TSMC, Samsung, Tencent and Alibaba are the consensus holding.  All 4 are owned by at least 70% of funds and form the backbone of most active GEM equity funds.</li>
</ul>


Asia underweight funds LATAM overweight.  Asia’s ‘big 4’, account for 64.4% of the average fund.  MENA region suffers from a lack of ownership, with Saudi Arabia held underweight by -2.92%.
Tech moves to the top sector holding after capturing strong inflows, displacing Financials which saw heavy outflows and negative rotation.
TSMC, Samsung, Tencent and Alibaba are the consensus holding.  All 4 are owned by at least 70% of funds and form the backbone of most active GEM equity funds.


Emerging Market Funds:  Top-Down Positioning and Fund Flows Update

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/r-r-kabel" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39810:1" rel="noopener">R R Kabel (2333180Z IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming India IPO. </li>
<li>R R Kabel is an Indian consumer electrical company, which primarily sells wires, cables and fast moving electrical goods (FMEG). </li>
<li>R R Kabel registered strong earnings growth on the back of growth in the volume of wires and cables sold. However, the lack of commodity hedging affected the firm’s margins.  </li>
</ul>



R R Kabel (2333180Z IN) is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming India IPO. 
R R Kabel is an Indian consumer electrical company, which primarily sells wires, cables and fast moving electrical goods (FMEG). 
R R Kabel registered strong earnings growth on the back of growth in the volume of wires and cables sold. However, the lack of commodity hedging affected the firm’s margins.  


R R Kabel Pre-IPO - Strong Earnings Growth but Competition Seems Stiff

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Using the current index methodology throws up 5 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> in September. Turnover will be BIG.</li>
<li>Using the proposed index methodology throws up 11 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> in September. Turnover will be HUGE.</li>
<li>The market consultation being put on hold could indicate pushback from index users or the possibility of F&amp;O contracts being introduced on some of the non-F&amp;O index constituents.</li>
</ul>


Using the current index methodology throws up 5 changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in September. Turnover will be BIG.
Using the proposed index methodology throws up 11 changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in September. Turnover will be HUGE.
The market consultation being put on hold could indicate pushback from index users or the possibility of F&amp;O contracts being introduced on some of the non-F&amp;O index constituents.


NIFTY/NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Loads of Changes if Proposed Methodology Is Implemented

India

HDFC Bank Ltd. offers a wide range of services to the global corporate sector. The Bank provides corporate banking and custodial services and is active in the treasury and capital markets. HDFC also markets project advisory services and capital market products such as Global Deposit Receipts, Euro currency loans, and Euro currency bonds.

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HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)

EQD | NIFTY Index WEEKLY Correction May Be Ending

The NIFTY may be ready to resume its rally: read the latest Market Reversal Matrix support levels and analysis to evaluate where to go LONG.

Nico Rosti

SBFC Finance IPO - RHP Updates, Peer Comparison and Thoughts on Valuation

SBFC Finance Limited (1547353D IN) is looking to raise up to US$131m in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about RHP updates, undertake a peer...

Ethan Aw

Emerging Market Funds: Top-Down Positioning and Fund Flows Update

Asia underweight funds LATAM overweight. Asia’s ‘big 4’, account for 64% of the average fund. MENA region suffers from a lack of ownership, Tech...

Steven Holden

R R Kabel Pre-IPO - Strong Earnings Growth but Competition Seems Stiff

R R Kabel (2333180Z IN) is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming India IPO. R R Kabel registered strong earnings growth on the back of...

Ethan Aw

NIFTY/NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Loads of Changes if Proposed Methodology Is Implemented

There could be 5 changes with the current methodology or 11 with the proposed methodology. Turnover will be big in both cases. There is a lot of...

Brian Freitas

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