Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

I have been working for +17 years as a quantitative researcher, offering my investment research insights to investors through two private companies I have founded (Retracement Levels Ltd. and QUANTRADING AG); more recently I worked as a Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC, a CTA based in Austin, Texas (USA), where I developed and ran automated algorithmic trading strategies for the US Futures and Options markets. 

My research work is focused on the statistical study of the "persistence of trends" and "mean reversion" effects in global Equities, Futures, Indexes, Bonds and FX Spot markets. I have created an original proprietary process (called the "Market Reversal Matrix" or "MRM") that makes extensive use of probabilistic Bayesian models to predict short-term (1 day to few weeks) trend reversals.

I do not use any AI/machine learning processes in my work: all models and algorithms are built and supervised by humans. This approach is very labour-intensive but produces forecasts that have a clearly understandable/explainable rationale (no black-boxes).

Quantitative Researcher

EQD | SPX MONTHLY Proxy Supports for APAC Markets

APAC WEEKLY Monitor: Current MRM Supports and Probabilities Re-Cap

EQD | KOSPI 200 Index's Decisive Week: New WEEKLY LONG Supports

EQD | NIFTY Index WEEKLY: Topping (In The) Tails

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> has been falling for 2 weeks and is reaching mildly OVERSOLD territory. If this was a retracement during the main rally, it may be time to BUY.</li>
<li>
The Market Reversal Matrix's shows a bullish pattern, the time+price combined probability of success for LONG trades from current prices, after 2 weeks down, is &gt;66%.</li>
<li>
Price area to go LONG: 19400 to 18792, you can go LONG this week and also next week, if down (CC=-3).</li>
</ul>


The NIFTY Index has been falling for 2 weeks and is reaching mildly OVERSOLD territory. If this was a retracement during the main rally, it may be time to BUY.

The Market Reversal Matrix's shows a bullish pattern, the time+price combined probability of success for LONG trades from current prices, after 2 weeks down, is &gt;66%.

Price area to go LONG: 19400 to 18792, you can go LONG this week and also next week, if down (CC=-3).


EQD | NIFTY Index WEEKLY Correction May Be Ending