Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Buy DXY 91 to 90.50 overshoot to a align with the SPX top of the rising wedge near 4,180 for a peak in risk. Late April is the ideal timeline for a USD low base to form as a rally platform for a risk off cycle in May/June.Expect some key lows for the USD in EM to pressure EM equities in coming months. USD in Asia bearish tactically into targeted lows to reverse positioning to long the USD.

Buy DXY 91 to 90.50 overshoot to a align with the SPX top of the rising wedge near 4,180 for a peak in risk. Late April is the ideal timeline for a USD low base to form as a rally platform for a risk off cycle in May/June.Expect some key lows for the USD in EM to pressure EM equities in coming months. USD in Asia bearish tactically into targeted lows to reverse positioning to long the USD.

Chief Economist, Heteronomics

Phil Rush

Chief Economist

Heteronomics

Heteronomics represents a different kind of economics. We believe analysis should delve into the details of what is really going on, rather than using overly simplistic assumptions to quick-sell stories. Independence from myopic institutional pressures allows us to focus on the realities underlying your asset allocation decisions, without the conflicts of the old market structures. Heteronomics targets the themes driving UK asset prices, offering the benefits of depth, independence and ultimately price.

UK-centric macro research

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>UK GDP limped up by 0.4% m-o-m in Feb-21, with services growing at half that rate in the ongoing lockdown. Few businesses have reopened even by 4 April, so March is also likely to remain fairly flat. January’s smaller fall slightly shrinks our Q1 dip call to 1.9%.</li>
<li>External trade data were more depressed in January and have recovered more swiftly, especially in exports to the EU. The underlying deficit still deteriorated on non-EU weakness, although these data may remain distorted by post-Brexit reporting changes.</li>
</ul>


UK GDP limped up by 0.4% m-o-m in Feb-21, with services growing at half that rate in the ongoing lockdown. Few businesses have reopened even by 4 April, so March is also likely to remain fairly flat. January’s smaller fall slightly shrinks our Q1 dip call to 1.9%.
External trade data were more depressed in January and have recovered more swiftly, especially in exports to the EU. The underlying deficit still deteriorated on non-EU weakness, although these data may remain distorted by post-Brexit reporting changes.


Fixed Income and Currency Strategist

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

FX & Rates

In this note, we discuss the rise in the volatility of EM currencies as the dollar's volatility picks up and what to expect ahead.The attached file is a snapshot of EM currency market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to the broad market.

In this note, we discuss the rise in the volatility of EM currencies as the dollar's volatility picks up and what to expect ahead.The attached file is a snapshot of EM currency market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to the broad market.

FX Dashboard: EM FX Volatility Rises from the Lows

We compare the beta-adjusted performances of EM currencies to identify leaders and laggards in the latest bout of dollar appreciation.The attached file is a snapshot of EM currency market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to the broad market.

We compare the beta-adjusted performances of EM currencies to identify leaders and laggards in the latest bout of dollar appreciation.The attached file is a snapshot of EM currency market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to the broad market.

FX Dashboard: Leaders and Laggards in EM in the Dollar’s Latest Appreciation Bout

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets, SAV Markets

Shyam Devani

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets

Cross Asset Strategy

The price of Silver has closed below the 200 day moving average for the first time since May 2020. This development draws some attention. While it is not a break in itself, any lower through $24.05 on a close basis would be meaningful bearish sign.We also review the weekly Gold chart which continues to look concerning as we sustain below the 55 week moving average .As Bonds remain stable and the USD looking increasingly bid across many pairs, it is perhaps no wonder that both Silver and Gold are under pressure.

The price of Silver has closed below the 200 day moving average for the first time since May 2020. This development draws some attention. While it is not a break in itself, any lower through $24.05 on a close basis would be meaningful bearish sign.We also review the weekly Gold chart which continues to look concerning as we sustain below the 55 week moving average .As Bonds remain stable and the USD looking increasingly bid across many pairs, it is perhaps no wonder that both Silver and Gold are under pressure.

United Kingdom

The British Pound Sterling is the official currency of The United Kingdom. 

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GBP (GBPUSD CURNCY)

USD Buy Levels to Sync with Peak in Risk

Buy DXY 91 to 90.50 overshoot to a align with the SPX top of the rising wedge near 4,180 for a peak in risk. Late April is the ideal timeline for a...

Thomas Schroeder

UK: Trade Rebounds Better than GDP

Few businesses have reopened even by 4 April, so March is likely to remain fairly flat, like Feb. External trade has recovered more, albeit with...

Phil Rush

FX Dashboard: EM FX Volatility Rises from the Lows

In this note, we discuss the rise in the volatility of EM currencies as the dollar's volatility picks up and what to expect ahead.

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

FX Dashboard: Leaders and Laggards in EM in the Dollar’s Latest Appreciation Bout

We compare the beta-adjusted performances of EM currencies to identify leaders and laggards in the latest bout of dollar appreciation.

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

No Silver Lining, No Golden Egg

Silver and Gold are back under pressure with Bonds stable and the USD looking bid. Any lower on Silver will amount to a bearish break

Shyam Devani

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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