External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>Non-commercial (speculative) sentiment favouring the USD moderated slightly in the past week’s data.</li><li>Speculative, aggregate net USD longs edged a little lower in the most recent week’s data to USD832mn, down just under USD600mn from the prior week’s report.</li><li>Additional data showed Real Money (institutional traders) paring aggregate USD shorts by around USD5bn in the week while Leveraged Accounts (hedge funds) cut limited aggregate exposure to the USD long side down from USD2.8bn in the prior week to an all but flat USD400mn. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Non-commercial (speculative) sentiment favouring the USD moderated slightly in the past week’s data.Speculative, aggregate net USD longs edged a little lower in the most recent week’s data to USD832mn, down just under USD600mn from the prior week’s report.Additional data showed Real Money (institutional traders) paring aggregate USD shorts by around USD5bn in the week while Leveraged Accounts (hedge funds) cut limited aggregate exposure to the USD long side down from USD2.8bn in the prior week to an all but flat USD400mn. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Bullish USD Sentiment Moderates

<ul><li>A mild bid for the USD generally yesterday developed a little more in overnight trade, largely reflecting weaker risk appetite as stocks in Asia and Europe (mostly) weakened.</li><li>US equity futures are in the red at writing while crude prices have slipped around 1% on the session as well.</li><li>Bonds are firmer, driving yields 1-2bps lower across the major markets. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

A mild bid for the USD generally yesterday developed a little more in overnight trade, largely reflecting weaker risk appetite as stocks in Asia and Europe (mostly) weakened.US equity futures are in the red at writing while crude prices have slipped around 1% on the session as well.Bonds are firmer, driving yields 1-2bps lower across the major markets. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nordea

Nordea

Nordea is the bank in the Nordics dedicated to serving corporations and institutional customers. Our offering includes a diverse range of financing, cash management and payment services, investment banking, capital markets products, securities services and more. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Rate cuts have been priced out fast during February.</li><li>Going into the March ECB meeting, less than four rate cuts are priced for 2024 and only one rate cut is priced by June.</li><li>We believe three rate cuts are as low as markets can go without significant changes to the macro picture given that the ECB is fixated on a June rate cut.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Rate cuts have been priced out fast during February.Going into the March ECB meeting, less than four rate cuts are priced for 2024 and only one rate cut is priced by June.We believe three rate cuts are as low as markets can go without significant changes to the macro picture given that the ECB is fixated on a June rate cut.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

EUR rates: Four 2024 rate cuts and counting

<ul>
<li>Non-commercial (speculative) sentiment favouring the USD moderated slightly in the past week’s data.</li>
<li>Speculative, aggregate net USD longs edged a little lower in the most recent week’s data to USD832mn, down just under USD600mn from the prior week’s report.</li>
<li>Additional data showed Real Money (institutional traders) paring aggregate USD shorts by around USD5bn in the week while Leveraged Accounts (hedge funds) cut limited aggregate exposure to the USD long side down from USD2.8bn in the prior week to an all but flat USD400mn. </li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Non-commercial (speculative) sentiment favouring the USD moderated slightly in the past week’s data.
Speculative, aggregate net USD longs edged a little lower in the most recent week’s data to USD832mn, down just under USD600mn from the prior week’s report.
Additional data showed Real Money (institutional traders) paring aggregate USD shorts by around USD5bn in the week while Leveraged Accounts (hedge funds) cut limited aggregate exposure to the USD long side down from USD2.8bn in the prior week to an all but flat USD400mn. 

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

<ul><li>The Federal Reserve was expected to announce tapering of quantitative tightening (QT) in March and implement it in April, but recent minutes suggest a more relaxed approach with no urgency to start the process soon.</li><li>SOFR rates have trended lower in January, easing concerns over upward pressure, and there is plenty of liquidity in the marketplace, with significant RRP and reserve balances.</li><li>Forecasting for the Fed's balance sheet evolution suggests a less volatile TGA balance and a shift in the relationship between t-bill issuance and RRP balances, leading to a more stable scenario for reserves in the near term.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

The Federal Reserve was expected to announce tapering of quantitative tightening (QT) in March and implement it in April, but recent minutes suggest a more relaxed approach with no urgency to start the process soon.SOFR rates have trended lower in January, easing concerns over upward pressure, and there is plenty of liquidity in the marketplace, with significant RRP and reserve balances.Forecasting for the Fed's balance sheet evolution suggests a less volatile TGA balance and a shift in the relationship between t-bill issuance and RRP balances, leading to a more stable scenario for reserves in the near term.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

US Rates: Slowly but Surely, Pushing Back the QT Taper Timeline

United States

The euro is the official currency of the European Economic & Monetary Union.  The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

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Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Bullish USD Sentiment Moderates

Waning speculative USD sentiment reflects trends in other indicators suggesting that the improvement in the broad USD tone since the start of the...

Scotiabank

FX Daily - USD Firmer on Soft Risk Mood

A mild bid for the USD generally yesterday developed a little more in overnight trade, largely reflecting weaker risk appetite as stocks in Asia...

Scotiabank

EUR rates: Four 2024 rate cuts and counting

We believe three rate cuts are as low as markets can go without significant changes to the macro picture given that the ECB is fixated on a June...

Nordea

Bullish USD Sentiment Moderates

Waning speculative USD sentiment reflects trends in other indicators suggesting that the improvement in the broad USD tone since the start of the...

Scotiabank

US Rates: Slowly but Surely, Pushing Back the QT Taper Timeline

Overall, the Federal Reserve did not make any changes to Quantitative Tightening in March, with forecasts suggesting that RRP and reserves will...

At Any Rate

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