Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets, SAV Markets

Shyam Devani

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets

Provide Comprehensive Analysis & Commentary

SAV Markets

SAV Markets aims to provide comprehensive analysis & commentary on foreign exchange and asset markets. The approach is multi asset as markets are typically interlinked. Cause and effect are always at work, even if those effects take time to manifest. As nothing is permanent we strive to get ahead of the curve in an ever changing world.

Technical Analysis

Dow Jones Industrial Average / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>This chart draws a fascinating historical comparison between the behaviour of the stock market today with that seen 100 years ago around the Spanish Influenza</li>
<li>It clearly shows that what we are seeing today has some sort of reflection of the past</li>
<li>We have fresh developments that indicate further weakness for Equities [relative to Gold]</li>
</ul>


This chart draws a fascinating historical comparison between the behaviour of the stock market today with that seen 100 years ago around the Spanish Influenza
It clearly shows that what we are seeing today has some sort of reflection of the past
We have fresh developments that indicate further weakness for Equities [relative to Gold]


<ul>
<li>This chart draws a fascinating historical comparison between the behaviour of the stock market today with that seen 100 years ago around the time of the Spanish Influenza</li>
<li>It clearly shows that what we are seeing today has some sort of reflection of the past</li>
<li>The picture should be taken as a warning sign that the weeks and possibly the months ahead are going to be difficult for the equity market.</li>
</ul>


This chart draws a fascinating historical comparison between the behaviour of the stock market today with that seen 100 years ago around the time of the Spanish Influenza
It clearly shows that what we are seeing today has some sort of reflection of the past
The picture should be taken as a warning sign that the weeks and possibly the months ahead are going to be difficult for the equity market.


Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

<ul>
<li>Current rotational grind is part of our Dec 15-20 topping process after the SPX met our primary rally target at 4,735/47, bearish signal below the 4,712 inflection pivot.</li>
<li>DJI and NDX did not see new highs for a case of inter market bear divergence amid a very weak small caps showing. Breadth destruction is noteworthy/ugly.</li>
<li>Rising wedge structures are at real risk of breaking down in Q1 after a rotational grind terminates. Trendline/pattern support will see hard support breaks.</li>
</ul>


Current rotational grind is part of our Dec 15-20 topping process after the SPX met our primary rally target at 4,735/47, bearish signal below the 4,712 inflection pivot.
DJI and NDX did not see new highs for a case of inter market bear divergence amid a very weak small caps showing. Breadth destruction is noteworthy/ugly.
Rising wedge structures are at real risk of breaking down in Q1 after a rotational grind terminates. Trendline/pattern support will see hard support breaks.


House of Market Insights, Market Radar

Market Radar

House of Market Insights

Quick market updates and lot of ideas for your investments from a multi-asset portfolio manager working for a family office.

Quick Market Updates

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>This week has been crucial for markets. Because some of the most important central banks released their monetary policy expectations for next year</li><li>The Fed will accelerate the tapering (from $15 Bln to $30 Bln) and its officials now expect to raise interest rates three times next year and three times in 2023</li><li>The ECB has been probably the most dovish among the central banks: it left key rates unchanged and it doesn’t foresee to raise them in 2022</li></ul>

This week has been crucial for markets. Because some of the most important central banks released their monetary policy expectations for next yearThe Fed will accelerate the tapering (from $15 Bln to $30 Bln) and its officials now expect to raise interest rates three times next year and three times in 2023The ECB has been probably the most dovish among the central banks: it left key rates unchanged and it doesn’t foresee to raise them in 2022

The week of the Central Banks: expectations, surprises and reactions

<ul>
<li>Base case call to buy the SPX/select risk in Asia near SPX 4,500 for a rally sequence into mid-December where we see a top and secondary decline into late December.</li>
<li>Key resistance lies at 4,650/70 which is a barrier that capped recent rally attempts. This will define risk in Asia and Europe next week.</li>
<li>SPX daily RSI resistance is the ideal fresh sell zone in mid-December. Risk concerns stems from Omicron, year-end position/tax and euphoria unwinding.</li>
</ul>


Base case call to buy the SPX/select risk in Asia near SPX 4,500 for a rally sequence into mid-December where we see a top and secondary decline into late December.
Key resistance lies at 4,650/70 which is a barrier that capped recent rally attempts. This will define risk in Asia and Europe next week.
SPX daily RSI resistance is the ideal fresh sell zone in mid-December. Risk concerns stems from Omicron, year-end position/tax and euphoria unwinding.


Rally into Mid December - SPX Pivot the Defining Line

United States

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted average of 30 blue-chip stocks that are generally the leaders in their industry. It has been a widely followed indicator of the stock market since October 1, 1928.

Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU INDEX)

Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU INDEX)

Dow Jones – Spooky Chart Update I

Fresh developments on the "Spooky Chart" (a proper Dow Comparison with the last pandemic 100 years ago) point to ongoing equity market weakness

Shyam Devani

Dow Jones - The Spooky Chart

An almost unimaginable similarity in the behaviour of markets with 100 years ago is being shown on this chart of the Dow Jones. It warn us to be...

Shyam Devani

The Grinch Is in the House

Current rotational grind is part of our Dec 15-20 topping process after the SPX met our primary rally target at 4,735/47, bearish signal below the...

Thomas Schroeder

The week of the Central Banks: expectations, surprises and reactions

This week has been crucial for markets. Because some of the most important central banks released their monetary policy expectations for next year

Market Radar

Rally into Mid December - SPX Pivot the Defining Line

Base case call to buy the SPX/select risk in Asia near SPX 4,500 for a rally sequence into mid-December where we see a top and secondary decline...

Thomas Schroeder