Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 29th August 2024, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK) </a></strong><a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0829/2024082902348.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a>  <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/org-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17510:1" rel="noopener">ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)</a></strong> had secured SAMR approval.  Mofcom and NDRC approvals subsequently followed. </li>
<li>The pre-condition long stop date is the 6th January. SAFE is the outstanding pre-condition. Separately, Zhang Wei's 22.01% irrevocable expired on the 5th December - with no HKEx announcement.</li>
<li>Quite a lot to pack in with 16 business days to the pre-con long stop. Sounding out people involved with the transaction would be ideal.  So that's what I did. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 29th August 2024, CPMC Holdings (906 HK) announced  ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH) had secured SAMR approval.  Mofcom and NDRC approvals subsequently followed. 
The pre-condition long stop date is the 6th January. SAFE is the outstanding pre-condition. Separately, Zhang Wei's 22.01% irrevocable expired on the 5th December - with no HKEx announcement.
Quite a lot to pack in with 16 business days to the pre-con long stop. Sounding out people involved with the transaction would be ideal.  So that's what I did. 


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/org-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17510:1" rel="noopener">ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)</a>’s offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a> has received SAFE approval. Therefore, the precondition is satisfied. </li>
<li>The offer and response document will be despatched by 20 December and 3 January 2025, respectively. The Board will recommend the offer. </li>
<li>The offer should be declared unconditional by the first closing date. At the last close and late-January 2025 payment, the gross/annualized spread was 7.3%/88.0%.</li>
</ul>



ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)’s offer for CPMC Holdings (906 HK) has received SAFE approval. Therefore, the precondition is satisfied. 
The offer and response document will be despatched by 20 December and 3 January 2025, respectively. The Board will recommend the offer. 
The offer should be declared unconditional by the first closing date. At the last close and late-January 2025 payment, the gross/annualized spread was 7.3%/88.0%.


CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Festive Cheer as Precondition Satisfied🎄

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/org-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" rel="noopener">ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)</a>’s offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a> has one remaining precondition: SAFE approval.</li>
<li>Mr Wei’s irrevocable was terminated. Nevertheless, as a seller, he will accept the offer, as the shares trade below the offer price, and there is no competing offer. </li>
<li>The precondition long stop date is 6 January, sufficient time to satisfy the precondition. It would be highly unusual to secure MOFCOM and NDRC approval but not SAFE approval.</li>
</ul>



ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)’s offer for CPMC Holdings (906 HK) has one remaining precondition: SAFE approval.
Mr Wei’s irrevocable was terminated. Nevertheless, as a seller, he will accept the offer, as the shares trade below the offer price, and there is no competing offer. 
The precondition long stop date is 6 January, sufficient time to satisfy the precondition. It would be highly unusual to secure MOFCOM and NDRC approval but not SAFE approval.


CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Steady Nerves Required

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>Since ORG needs to pay a high price, it certainly hopes that the effect of the acquisition is 1+1&gt;2, otherwise it is equivalent to failure considering the future debt payment.</li>
<li>We’re unsure if the situation on Zhang Wei's side will change. If afterwards integration falls short of expectations, ORG may “deliberately slow down the progress”, which is a risk point.</li>
<li>Considering the complexity of this deal, we recommend investors do more comprehensive and deeper thinking. Due to risks behind, we certainly hope to obtain higher returns (at least 20% annualized).</li>
</ul>


Since ORG needs to pay a high price, it certainly hopes that the effect of the acquisition is 1+1&gt;2, otherwise it is equivalent to failure considering the future debt payment.
We’re unsure if the situation on Zhang Wei's side will change. If afterwards integration falls short of expectations, ORG may “deliberately slow down the progress”, which is a risk point.
Considering the complexity of this deal, we recommend investors do more comprehensive and deeper thinking. Due to risks behind, we certainly hope to obtain higher returns (at least 20% annualized).


CPMC Holdings (906.HK) Update - These Are the Reasons Why We Find This Deal "Tricky"

<ul>
<li>The monthly update notes further progress made by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/org-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17510:1" rel="noopener">ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)</a> in satisfying the precondition for its HK$7.21 voluntary offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>The remaining preconditions (ORG shareholder and NDRC/SAFE approval) are low-risk. Including irrevocable, ORG represents 46.45% of outstanding shares within reach of the 50% minimum acceptance condition. </li>
<li>The two event risks (irrevocable termination date, precondition long stop date) should not derail the deal. At the last close, the gross spread was 4.9%. </li>
</ul>


The monthly update notes further progress made by ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH) in satisfying the precondition for its HK$7.21 voluntary offer for CPMC Holdings (906 HK). 
The remaining preconditions (ORG shareholder and NDRC/SAFE approval) are low-risk. Including irrevocable, ORG represents 46.45% of outstanding shares within reach of the 50% minimum acceptance condition. 
The two event risks (irrevocable termination date, precondition long stop date) should not derail the deal. At the last close, the gross spread was 4.9%. 


CPMC Holdings (906 HK): ORG Inching Towards the Launch of the Offer

China

CPMC Holdings Ltd. manufactures food packaging products.

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CPMC Holdings (906 HK)

CPMC (906 HK): Why This Is Still A Buy

Never any doubt! The last pre-con - SAFE - has been satisfied. All pre-cons have now been fulfilled. Offer Doc to be dispatched on or before the...

David Blennerhassett