Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>At a 1.5% gross spread to terms, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a> is trading with completion is mind after the last pre-condition - SAFE - was satisfied on the <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/1213/2024121301235.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">13th December</a>. </li>
<li>The Offer Doc is <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/1219/2024121900612.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">now out</a> and the transaction is open for acceptances. The First Close is the 10th January. </li>
<li>I'd expect this deal to turn unconditional on or before the First Close, with payment around the 20th January.  </li>
</ul>


At a 1.5% gross spread to terms, CPMC Holdings (906 HK) is trading with completion is mind after the last pre-condition - SAFE - was satisfied on the 13th December. 
The Offer Doc is now out and the transaction is open for acceptances. The First Close is the 10th January. 
I'd expect this deal to turn unconditional on or before the First Close, with payment around the 20th January.  


HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>If ORG cannot obtain the SAFE approval by the end of December, this indicates something is wrong in the process. Then the success rate of this transaction is greatly reduced.</li>
<li>Acquiring CPMC is in line with Baosteel's strategic goals and CPMC is important to Baosteel.So, the possibility of state-owned capital to agree to withdraw completely from CPMC is not high.</li>
<li>It’s unclear whether Zhang Wei will continue to side with ORG, or whether he still want to exit. This actually depends on the renegotiations between Baosteel/China Foods/COFCO and Zhang Wei.</li>
</ul>


If ORG cannot obtain the SAFE approval by the end of December, this indicates something is wrong in the process. Then the success rate of this transaction is greatly reduced.
Acquiring CPMC is in line with Baosteel's strategic goals and CPMC is important to Baosteel.So, the possibility of state-owned capital to agree to withdraw completely from CPMC is not high.
It’s unclear whether Zhang Wei will continue to side with ORG, or whether he still want to exit. This actually depends on the renegotiations between Baosteel/China Foods/COFCO and Zhang Wei.


CPMC Holdings (906.HK) Update - It's Time to Prepare for Different Scenarios

<ul>
<li>My conversation with the FA earlier this week largely put to rest a number of concerns, specifically on regulatory approvals, surrounding the Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>As announced on the 13th December, the last pre-condition, SAFE, has been <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/1213/2024121301235.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">satisfied</a>. All pre-cons have been fulfilled.  The Offer Doc will be dispatched on or before the 20th December</li>
<li>This could turn unconditional before year-end, depending on whether Zhang Wei promptly tenders. Expect the share price to trade tight (er) to terms Monday morning.</li>
</ul>


My conversation with the FA earlier this week largely put to rest a number of concerns, specifically on regulatory approvals, surrounding the Offer for CPMC Holdings (906 HK). 
As announced on the 13th December, the last pre-condition, SAFE, has been satisfied. All pre-cons have been fulfilled.  The Offer Doc will be dispatched on or before the 20th December
This could turn unconditional before year-end, depending on whether Zhang Wei promptly tenders. Expect the share price to trade tight (er) to terms Monday morning.


CPMC (906 HK): Not A Shadow Of Doubt (!) As Pre-Cons Fulfilled

<ul>
<li>Back on the 29th August 2024, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK) </a><a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0829/2024082902348.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a>  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/org-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17510:1" rel="noopener">ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)</a> had secured SAMR approval.  Mofcom and NDRC approvals subsequently followed. </li>
<li>The pre-condition long stop date is the 6th January. SAFE is the outstanding pre-condition. Separately, Zhang Wei's 22.01% irrevocable expired on the 5th December - with no HKEx announcement.</li>
<li>Quite a lot to pack in with 16 business days to the pre-con long stop. Sounding out people involved with the transaction would be ideal.  So that's what I did. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 29th August 2024, CPMC Holdings (906 HK) announced  ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH) had secured SAMR approval.  Mofcom and NDRC approvals subsequently followed. 
The pre-condition long stop date is the 6th January. SAFE is the outstanding pre-condition. Separately, Zhang Wei's 22.01% irrevocable expired on the 5th December - with no HKEx announcement.
Quite a lot to pack in with 16 business days to the pre-con long stop. Sounding out people involved with the transaction would be ideal.  So that's what I did. 


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/org-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17510:1" rel="noopener">ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)</a>’s offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a> has received SAFE approval. Therefore, the precondition is satisfied. </li>
<li>The offer and response document will be despatched by 20 December and 3 January 2025, respectively. The Board will recommend the offer. </li>
<li>The offer should be declared unconditional by the first closing date. At the last close and late-January 2025 payment, the gross/annualized spread was 7.3%/88.0%.</li>
</ul>



ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)’s offer for CPMC Holdings (906 HK) has received SAFE approval. Therefore, the precondition is satisfied. 
The offer and response document will be despatched by 20 December and 3 January 2025, respectively. The Board will recommend the offer. 
The offer should be declared unconditional by the first closing date. At the last close and late-January 2025 payment, the gross/annualized spread was 7.3%/88.0%.


CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Festive Cheer as Precondition Satisfied🎄

China

CPMC Holdings Ltd. manufactures food packaging products.

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CPMC Holdings (906 HK)

CPMC (906 HK): Tendering Now Open

I'm still gunning for this to turn unconditional on the first closing date, or 10th Jan, and therefore payment, say 20th January. Trading at a...

David Blennerhassett