Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Temple & Webster Group Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) structure updates will lead to changes to the S&amp;P/ASX All Technology Index at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>To better reflect the GICS changes and reduce constituent turnover, S&amp;P DJI has proposed changes to the index universe for constituent selection.</li>
<li>We expect there will be 4 deletions from the index in March, but that could increase to 10 if the changes are not adopted.</li>
</ul>


Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) structure updates will lead to changes to the S&amp;P/ASX All Technology Index at the March rebalance.
To better reflect the GICS changes and reduce constituent turnover, S&amp;P DJI has proposed changes to the index universe for constituent selection.
We expect there will be 4 deletions from the index in March, but that could increase to 10 if the changes are not adopted.


S&P/ASX All Technology Index: GICS Changes, Market Consultation & Potential Index Changes

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>The EGM to approve the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pexa-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34716:1" rel="noopener">PEXA Group (PXA AU)</a> distribution of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>’s remaining 38.49% stake is on 23 December. Shareholders get one PEXA share per 7.52 Link shares.</li>
<li>This marks the latest move to unlock the underlying value by pursuing a breakup strategy. Discussions continue on DND's acquisition of the CM and the BCM business for A$1.27 billion.  </li>
<li>Our base-case SoTP value is A$4.42 per share, which is 28% above the last close. If you haven’t been turned off by the Link saga, it is worth a look.</li>
</ul>


The EGM to approve the PEXA Group (PXA AU) distribution of Link Administration (LNK AU)’s remaining 38.49% stake is on 23 December. Shareholders get one PEXA share per 7.52 Link shares.
This marks the latest move to unlock the underlying value by pursuing a breakup strategy. Discussions continue on DND's acquisition of the CM and the BCM business for A$1.27 billion.  
Our base-case SoTP value is A$4.42 per share, which is 28% above the last close. If you haven’t been turned off by the Link saga, it is worth a look.


Link Admin (LNK AU) Sets in Motion a Strategy to Realise Underlying Value

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a> has released the explanatory memorandum regarding the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pexa-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34716:1" rel="noopener">PEXA Group (PXA AU)</a> in-specie distribution. </li>
<li>Link shareholders will receive one PEXA share for every 7.52 Link shares. Shareholders will vote on the distribution on the 23 December. The IE, rightfully, deemed the process fair.</li>
<li>If D&amp;D buys Link's BCM/CM ops for A$1.27bn, Link would be net cash of ~A$1.40/share versus an ex-entitlement price of ~A$1.58/share. And Link would still hold the lucrative RSS ops. </li>
</ul>



Link Administration (LNK AU) has released the explanatory memorandum regarding the PEXA Group (PXA AU) in-specie distribution. 
Link shareholders will receive one PEXA share for every 7.52 Link shares. Shareholders will vote on the distribution on the 23 December. The IE, rightfully, deemed the process fair.
If D&amp;D buys Link's BCM/CM ops for A$1.27bn, Link would be net cash of ~A$1.40/share versus an ex-entitlement price of ~A$1.58/share. And Link would still hold the lucrative RSS ops. 


Link Admin Is Cheap Amid PEXA In-Specie And Possible BCM/CM Sale

<ul>
<li>Dye &amp; Durham/DND is a persistent bidder and returned with a A$1.27 billion bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>’s CM and BCM businesses. The Board will update next week. </li>
<li>The latest offer is attractive but curiously, contradicts DND’s previous comments that the FCA would make it challenging to distribute any part sale proceeds.</li>
<li>Despite the overhang from the FCA fine, DND’s ongoing persistence and the Board’s potential in-specie distribution of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pexa-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34716:1" rel="noopener">PEXA Group (PXA AU)</a> stake highlight the underlying value.</li>
</ul>


Dye &amp; Durham/DND is a persistent bidder and returned with a A$1.27 billion bid for Link Administration (LNK AU)’s CM and BCM businesses. The Board will update next week. 
The latest offer is attractive but curiously, contradicts DND’s previous comments that the FCA would make it challenging to distribute any part sale proceeds.
Despite the overhang from the FCA fine, DND’s ongoing persistence and the Board’s potential in-specie distribution of the PEXA Group (PXA AU) stake highlight the underlying value.


Link’s Ongoing Overtures from DND Underscore Its Value

<ul>
<li>In a Musk/Twitter-like on/off/on-again situation, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a> announced it received an improved offer for its corporate markets and Banking &amp; Credit Management (BCM) businesses from Dye &amp; Durham.</li>
<li>Separately, Link is working with the Australian Tax Office on the in-specie distribution of a minimum of 80% of Link's holding into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pexa-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34716:1" rel="noopener">PEXA Group (PXA AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Link are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


In a Musk/Twitter-like on/off/on-again situation, Link Administration (LNK AU) announced it received an improved offer for its corporate markets and Banking &amp; Credit Management (BCM) businesses from Dye &amp; Durham.
Separately, Link is working with the Australian Tax Office on the in-specie distribution of a minimum of 80% of Link's holding into PEXA Group (PXA AU).
Preceding my comments on Link are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Link And D&D Continue Negotiations On Unlisted Ops

Australia

Computershare Limited operates share registries and computer bureaus which includes the administration of employee share and option plans and the provision of software that specializes in share registry, financial and stock markets. The Company also provides corporate trust services and acts as a trustee for clients' debt offerings in certain markets.

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Computershare Ltd (CPU AU)

S&P/ASX All Technology Index: GICS Changes, Market Consultation & Potential Index Changes

Changes to the GICS structure will result in deletions from the S&P/ASX All Tech Index in March. There could be 4 deletions if the index universe...

Brian Freitas

Link Admin (LNK AU) Sets in Motion a Strategy to Realise Underlying Value

The PEXA distribution marks the latest move to unlock the underlying value by pursuing a breakup strategy. If you haven’t been turned off by the...

Arun George

Link Admin Is Cheap Amid PEXA In-Specie And Possible BCM/CM Sale

If D&D buys Link's BCM/CM ops for A$1.27bn, Link would be net cash of ~A$1.40/share versus an ex-entitlement price of ~A$1.54/share. And Link would...

David Blennerhassett

Link’s Ongoing Overtures from DND Underscore Its Value

DND’s latest offer and the Board’s perusal of the in-specie distribution of the PEXA stake were the catalysts required to highlight the underlying...

Arun George

StubWorld: Link And D&D Continue Negotiations On Unlisted Ops

I'd be buying Link Administration here. Then I'd buy some more. Link is up 6% as I type. I think it should go up a lot more.

David Blennerhassett

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