External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>The USD is trading generally softer so far today after four consecutive daily gains that have taken the DXY index to test its 200-day MA.</li><li>That benchmark is holding for a third consecutive day and a lower closer on the session today would give the charts an obviously more negative look.</li><li>Still, firm US Retail Sales data yesterday add to signs that the US economy continues to move along at a very decent clip. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The USD is trading generally softer so far today after four consecutive daily gains that have taken the DXY index to test its 200-day MA.That benchmark is holding for a third consecutive day and a lower closer on the session today would give the charts an obviously more negative look.Still, firm US Retail Sales data yesterday add to signs that the US economy continues to move along at a very decent clip. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Slips Back, GBP Outperforms on CPI

<ul><li>Markets retain a cautious undertone after China reported weaker than expected loan data (new loans dropped to the lowest since 2009), underscoring growth concerns.</li><li>The CNY weakened to its lowest level in a month. Global stocks are trading lower while major bond markets (ex Treasurys are weaker).</li><li>The USD is holding relatively firm amid soft risk sentiment, near yesterday’s high in DXY terms, but gains are not universal, and the dollar index still appears to be encountering resistance in the mid/ upper 102 area after rebounding strongly from the intraday lows seen around the US CPI report yesterday. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Markets retain a cautious undertone after China reported weaker than expected loan data (new loans dropped to the lowest since 2009), underscoring growth concerns.The CNY weakened to its lowest level in a month. Global stocks are trading lower while major bond markets (ex Treasurys are weaker).The USD is holding relatively firm amid soft risk sentiment, near yesterday’s high in DXY terms, but gains are not universal, and the dollar index still appears to be encountering resistance in the mid/ upper 102 area after rebounding strongly from the intraday lows seen around the US CPI report yesterday. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Mixed Amid Soft Risk Sentiment

<ul><li>The CAD is heading for a fourth, consecutive lower weekly close on the USD, although the USD may end today well below its high point of the week reached on Tuesday.</li><li>It’s summertime, and markets are thin which may help explain the CAD’s recent disappointing performance.</li><li>Local USD sellers have emerged to take advantage of this week’s USD’s advance this week and place hedges. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The CAD is heading for a fourth, consecutive lower weekly close on the USD, although the USD may end today well below its high point of the week reached on Tuesday.It’s summertime, and markets are thin which may help explain the CAD’s recent disappointing performance.Local USD sellers have emerged to take advantage of this week’s USD’s advance this week and place hedges. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CAD Weekly Outlook - CAD Stretches Undervaluation

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Hope you’re enjoying the weekend out there! Weekends provide the perfect opportunity to review the market’s performance over the past week – and this week has again been full of volatility with the CPI report released this Thursday along with bonds remaining indecisive about the future market direction.</li><li>The overall sentiment this week again has optimism written all over it with equity sentiment still hovering at 2021 highs on some of the short-term indicators, and GBP and EUR are continuing their positioning resilience, while commodity markets are starting to signal weaker demand again after a couple of weeks of strength.</li><li>Follow along as we dissect market sentiment and positioning data below.</li></ul>

Hope you’re enjoying the weekend out there! Weekends provide the perfect opportunity to review the market’s performance over the past week – and this week has again been full of volatility with the CPI report released this Thursday along with bonds remaining indecisive about the future market direction.The overall sentiment this week again has optimism written all over it with equity sentiment still hovering at 2021 highs on some of the short-term indicators, and GBP and EUR are continuing their positioning resilience, while commodity markets are starting to signal weaker demand again after a couple of weeks of strength.Follow along as we dissect market sentiment and positioning data below.

Positioning Watch – The Chinese Disappointment Is Written All over the Latest Positioning

<ul><li>The USD is drifting a little lower ahead of this morning’s key data releases.</li><li>The 8.30ET round brings US weekly claims (expected up slightly at 230k) and July CPI.</li><li>The monthly rise in inflation is expected to be moderate 0.2% M/M but the pace of headline inflation is expected to push higher from June’s 3.0% to 3.3%.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The USD is drifting a little lower ahead of this morning’s key data releases.The 8.30ET round brings US weekly claims (expected up slightly at 230k) and July CPI.The monthly rise in inflation is expected to be moderate 0.2% M/M but the pace of headline inflation is expected to push higher from June’s 3.0% to 3.3%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Slips Modestly Ahead of CPI

Canada

The Canadian dollar is the official currency of Canada. 

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CAD (USDCAD CURNCY)

FX Daily - USD Slips Back, GBP Outperforms on CPI

The USD is trading generally softer so far today after four consecutive daily gains that have taken the DXY index to test its 200-day MA.

Scotiabank

FX Daily - USD Mixed Amid Soft Risk Sentiment

Markets retain a cautious undertone after China reported weaker than expected loan data (new loans dropped to the lowest since 2009), underscoring...

Scotiabank

CAD Weekly Outlook - CAD Stretches Undervaluation

The CAD is heading for a fourth, consecutive lower weekly close on the USD, although the USD may end today well below its high point of the week...

Scotiabank

Positioning Watch – The Chinese Disappointment Is Written All over the Latest Positioning

Weekends provide the perfect opportunity to review the market’s performance over the past week – and this week has again been full of volatility...

Steno Research

FX Daily - USD Slips Modestly Ahead of CPI

The USD is drifting a little lower ahead of this morning’s key data releases. The 8.30ET round brings US weekly claims (expected up slightly at...

Scotiabank

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