Data-Driven Commodity Research, The Commodity Report

The Commodity Report

Data-Driven Commodity Research

A unique newsletter about commodities and macro analysis in a weekly format.

Commodities

<ul><li>US-Dollar Reversal Incoming? The signs become more that the USD is topping out. This is the result of our latest currency-assessment.</li><li>Particular interesting could be setups in AUDUSD as well as CADUSD - two currency pairs that have been hit the hardest by the strong USD-cycle over the last months.</li><li>Both pairs trade at multi-year support and are heavily oversold across all metrics.</li></ul>

US-Dollar Reversal Incoming? The signs become more that the USD is topping out. This is the result of our latest currency-assessment.Particular interesting could be setups in AUDUSD as well as CADUSD - two currency pairs that have been hit the hardest by the strong USD-cycle over the last months.Both pairs trade at multi-year support and are heavily oversold across all metrics.

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>We hope you have enjoyed our China Week coverage with extensive analysis on the ongoing malaise in Chinese Real Estate.</li><li>Positioning in CNY markets is an underreported angle in the discussion on China as it may help guide asset performance from here, now that everyone and their mother agrees that China is stuck in a mess.</li><li>Are international investors even involved in China anymore?</li></ul>

We hope you have enjoyed our China Week coverage with extensive analysis on the ongoing malaise in Chinese Real Estate.Positioning in CNY markets is an underreported angle in the discussion on China as it may help guide asset performance from here, now that everyone and their mother agrees that China is stuck in a mess.Are international investors even involved in China anymore?

Positioning Watch: Is Anyone Even Invested in China at This Stage?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>CFTC data covering the March 11th week reflect the recent trend of fading USD bull sentiment.</li><li>Aggregate Non-Commercial (speculative) USD-bullish positioning dropped for the eighth week on the bounce, with these accounts halving net USD longs to USD4.9bn.</li><li>Recall that peak speculative USD bullishness was reached in mid -January when net USD longs reached USD35bn. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CFTC data covering the March 11th week reflect the recent trend of fading USD bull sentiment.Aggregate Non-Commercial (speculative) USD-bullish positioning dropped for the eighth week on the bounce, with these accounts halving net USD longs to USD4.9bn.Recall that peak speculative USD bullishness was reached in mid -January when net USD longs reached USD35bn. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Speculative EUR Sentiment Turns Bullish

<ul><li>Broader USD bullish sentiment continues to fade, according to CFTC data for the week through Tuesday March 4th.</li><li>IMM data shows speculative USD-bullish sentiment retreating for a seventh, successive week, with aggregate USD net longs down by two thirds to just under USD10bn over the past month alone.</li><li>This is the lowest bull bet on the USD among Non-Commercial accounts since late October.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Broader USD bullish sentiment continues to fade, according to CFTC data for the week through Tuesday March 4th.IMM data shows speculative USD-bullish sentiment retreating for a seventh, successive week, with aggregate USD net longs down by two thirds to just under USD10bn over the past month alone.This is the lowest bull bet on the USD among Non-Commercial accounts since late October.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - USD Sentiment Fades, Traders Increasingly Bullish on JPY

<ul><li>CFTC data for the week through Tuesday February 25th reflects a significant further decline in broader USD bullish sentiment.</li><li>Net Non-Commercial (speculative) traders slashed core net USD longs USD8.1bn over the week, the largest one-week sentiment shift against the USD since last August.</li><li>That trend was reflected across data covering other market participants. Leveraged accounts (hedge funds) trimmed net USD longs USD2.3bn while Real Money (institutional) traders moved off neutral on the USD to open a USD6bn net short, their first bearish positioning on the USD in aggregate since early November. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CFTC data for the week through Tuesday February 25th reflects a significant further decline in broader USD bullish sentiment.Net Non-Commercial (speculative) traders slashed core net USD longs USD8.1bn over the week, the largest one-week sentiment shift against the USD since last August.That trend was reflected across data covering other market participants. Leveraged accounts (hedge funds) trimmed net USD longs USD2.3bn while Real Money (institutional) traders moved off neutral on the USD to open a USD6bn net short, their first bearish positioning on the USD in aggregate since early November. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Bullish USD Sentiment in Retreat

Australia

The Australian dollar is the official currency of the Commonwealth of Australia.

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AUD (USDAUD CURNCY)

US-Dollar Reversal Incoming?

Particular interesting could be setups in AUDUSD as well as CADUSD - two currency pairs that have been hit the hardest by the strong USD-cycle over...

The Commodity Report

Positioning Watch: Is Anyone Even Invested in China at This Stage?

We hope you have enjoyed our China Week coverage with extensive analysis on the ongoing malaise in Chinese Real Estate. Positioning in CNY markets...

Steno Research

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Speculative EUR Sentiment Turns Bullish

Aggregate Non-Commercial (speculative) USD-bullish positioning dropped for the eighth week on the bounce, with these accounts halving net USD longs...

Scotiabank

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - USD Sentiment Fades, Traders Increasingly Bullish on JPY

IMM data shows speculative USD-bullish sentiment retreating for a seventh, successive week, with aggregate USD net longs down by two thirds to just...

Scotiabank

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Bullish USD Sentiment in Retreat

Combined net USD long positioning is down by USD16.5bn in the latest week’s data to USD21bn, a third of the bullish net position seen just seven...

Scotiabank

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)