External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>FY22 was a difficult year for the auto industry on account of supply-chain challenges as well as RM headwinds, resulting in an increased total cost of ownership</li>
<li>In Mar’22, wholesale volumes for the PV industry remained flat but it continued its sequential recovery (up 6% MoM), led by improvement in chip availability</li>
<li>The 2W and tractor segments declined by 21% and 10% respectively on a YoY basis on account of muted demand and the high base of the last year</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>


FY22 was a difficult year for the auto industry on account of supply-chain challenges as well as RM headwinds, resulting in an increased total cost of ownership
In Mar’22, wholesale volumes for the PV industry remained flat but it continued its sequential recovery (up 6% MoM), led by improvement in chip availability
The 2W and tractor segments declined by 21% and 10% respectively on a YoY basis on account of muted demand and the high base of the last year

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto Monthly Volume Update - Mar 2022 - Easing Supply Chain Issues Improve PV & CV Traction

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Commodities and IT sectors are the biggest winners of FY22. In the last one year, the Metals sector has gone up 53%, Energy by 40%, commodities by 30%, and the IT index by 40%</li>
<li>However, the consumer-facing sectors closed FY22 on a muted note with FMCG reporting growth of only 4% and the Auto sector of 5%</li>
<li>The current market performance is factoring in the current rising inflation and the rising interest rate regime</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>


Commodities and IT sectors are the biggest winners of FY22. In the last one year, the Metals sector has gone up 53%, Energy by 40%, commodities by 30%, and the IT index by 40%
However, the consumer-facing sectors closed FY22 on a muted note with FMCG reporting growth of only 4% and the Auto sector of 5%
The current market performance is factoring in the current rising inflation and the rising interest rate regime

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited provides investment services. The Company provides corporate and investment banking, securities, wealth management, retail brokerage, initial public offerings, and advisory services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Resurfaced chip availability concerns amid geopolitical issues Russia is the largest producer (~40% share in global production) of rare earth metal palladium, which is used in manufacturing of semiconductor.</li><li>Further Ukraine is the largest producer of neon gas, which is another important component for semiconductor (chip) manufacturing.</li><li>Therefore, any supply chain disruption of these critical raw materials in this space would impact the availability of chips, resulting in an adverse impact on OEM volumes and associated productivity.</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Resurfaced chip availability concerns amid geopolitical issues Russia is the largest producer (~40% share in global production) of rare earth metal palladium, which is used in manufacturing of semiconductor.Further Ukraine is the largest producer of neon gas, which is another important component for semiconductor (chip) manufacturing.Therefore, any supply chain disruption of these critical raw materials in this space would impact the availability of chips, resulting in an adverse impact on OEM volumes and associated productivity.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Growth, Margin Concerns Resurface for Auto Sector Amid Prevailing Geopolitical Crises

<ul><li>Ashok Leyland Ltd (AL) reported a subdued performance that stood below our estimates</li><li>We tweak our estimates downwards to factor in near-term headwinds and lower volumes.</li><li>We maintain our BUY rating on the stock and value it at 18x FY24E EPS to arrive at a TP to Rs 160 (Rs 175 earlier), implying an upside of 29% from CMP.</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Ashok Leyland Ltd (AL) reported a subdued performance that stood below our estimatesWe tweak our estimates downwards to factor in near-term headwinds and lower volumes.We maintain our BUY rating on the stock and value it at 18x FY24E EPS to arrive at a TP to Rs 160 (Rs 175 earlier), implying an upside of 29% from CMP.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Ashok Leyland: Commodity Headwinds Weigh on Performance; Growth Drivers Intact

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>We believe India's broad-based economic recovery is inconsistent and fragile. </li>
<li>Market share losing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashok-leyland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20104:1" rel="noopener">Ashok Leyland (AL IN)</a> offers a bet against this fragile recovery.</li>
<li>The trade is expected to be volatile, approach it like a "connoisseur", take a small bite and leave some for later if it works. If it goes against, KILL. </li>
</ul>


We believe India's broad-based economic recovery is inconsistent and fragile. 
Market share losing Ashok Leyland (AL IN) offers a bet against this fragile recovery.
The trade is expected to be volatile, approach it like a "connoisseur", take a small bite and leave some for later if it works. If it goes against, KILL. 


2022 High Conviction - Ashok Leyland (AL IN), Bet Against Broad-Based Recovery

India

Ashok Leyland Limited manufactures medium and heavy duty commercial vehicles, including buses, tractors, dumpsters, haulage trucks, fire engines, and defense sector vehicles. The Company also manufactures industrial & marine engines, ferrous castings and spare parts for automobiles. Ashok Leyland sells its products in India and abroad.

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Ashok Leyland (AL IN)

Auto Monthly Volume Update - Mar 2022 - Easing Supply Chain Issues Improve PV & CV Traction

FY22 was a difficult year for the auto industry on account of supply-chain challenges as well as RM headwinds, resulting in an increased total cost...

Axis Direct

Axis Top Picks April 2022

Commodities and IT sectors are the biggest winners of FY22. In the last one year, the Metals sector has gone up 53%, Energy by 40%, commodities by...

Axis Direct

Growth, Margin Concerns Resurface for Auto Sector Amid Prevailing Geopolitical Crises

Resurfaced chip availability concerns amid geopolitical issues Russia is the largest producer (~40% share in global production) of rare earth metal...

ICICI Securities Limited

Ashok Leyland: Commodity Headwinds Weigh on Performance; Growth Drivers Intact

We tweak our estimates downwards to factor in near-term headwinds and lower volumes. We maintain our BUY rating on the stock and value it at 18x...

Axis Direct

2022 High Conviction - Ashok Leyland (AL IN), Bet Against Broad-Based Recovery

In this Insight, we build a case for possibilities of broad-based recovery falling off and why Ashok Leyland is best positioned to ride the downside.

Pranav Bhavsar

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