Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Amazon delivered a mixed result as its worldwide net sales grew by 12% year over year which was above the expectation of Wall Street.</li><li>The company worked hard to secure millions of deals and offer low prices for customers this quarter, including its foremost Prime Early Access Sale and the Thanksgiving.</li><li>In the quarter, Amazon customers spent more on everyday essentials and shifted to lower-priced and value brands in electronics.</li></ul>

Amazon delivered a mixed result as its worldwide net sales grew by 12% year over year which was above the expectation of Wall Street.The company worked hard to secure millions of deals and offer low prices for customers this quarter, including its foremost Prime Early Access Sale and the Thanksgiving.In the quarter, Amazon customers spent more on everyday essentials and shifted to lower-priced and value brands in electronics.

Amazon.com Inc.: Monetizing From Shopify & Other Merchants & Other Drivers

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Inflation remains the biggest headwind but most retail formats will see growth in 2023 with e-commerce expected to become the largest channel in the next 18 months.</li>
<li>Supermarkets are ripe for consolidation as new competitors emerge from the discount sector and online while convenience stores will consolidate further in a saturated sector.</li>
<li>Department stores will rebound further but only the leading firms will survive in a contracting sector.</li>
</ul>


Inflation remains the biggest headwind but most retail formats will see growth in 2023 with e-commerce expected to become the largest channel in the next 18 months.
Supermarkets are ripe for consolidation as new competitors emerge from the discount sector and online while convenience stores will consolidate further in a saturated sector.
Department stores will rebound further but only the leading firms will survive in a contracting sector.


Value Investing

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

<ul>
<li>Amazon's share price has fallen 25% since April of last year, sparking a fear of missing out.</li>
<li>The pressure for cost-cutting measures will likely increase as profitability and free cash flow remain elusive, according to Amazon.</li>
<li>Amazon has seen a 25% drop in its share price in January.</li>
</ul>


Amazon's share price has fallen 25% since April of last year, sparking a fear of missing out.
The pressure for cost-cutting measures will likely increase as profitability and free cash flow remain elusive, according to Amazon.
Amazon has seen a 25% drop in its share price in January.


Amazon: Recent Quarter Is A Reminder That Red Flags Should Not Be Ignored

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

<ul>
<li>AWS revenue grew 20% YoY to $21.3B, about $400M or ~2% below consensus…and a 700bp deceleration.</li>
<li>AWS margins of 24% were down 200bps QoQ / 600bps YoY as continued optimization of customer contracts continues to weigh on margins.</li>
<li>Amazon advertising continues to dramatically outpace all other online platforms, highlighting the moat of first party data at the point of purchase, unimpacted by Apple.</li>
</ul>


AWS revenue grew 20% YoY to $21.3B, about $400M or ~2% below consensus…and a 700bp deceleration.
AWS margins of 24% were down 200bps QoQ / 600bps YoY as continued optimization of customer contracts continues to weigh on margins.
Amazon advertising continues to dramatically outpace all other online platforms, highlighting the moat of first party data at the point of purchase, unimpacted by Apple.


Meta Platforms (Facebook) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Meta lowered 2023 expense guide by $5B (or 5%)  to $89bn-$95bn and capex guide by $4B (or 11%) to $30bn-$33bn</li>
<li>Metaverse spending continues, META lost $4.3B on $700M in revenue this quarter and losses are expected to accelerate in 2023. </li>
<li>Zuck said the word efficiency 18x and AI 15x...Evidently, these are his priorities!</li>
</ul>


Meta lowered 2023 expense guide by $5B (or 5%)  to $89bn-$95bn and capex guide by $4B (or 11%) to $30bn-$33bn
Metaverse spending continues, META lost $4.3B on $700M in revenue this quarter and losses are expected to accelerate in 2023. 
Zuck said the word efficiency 18x and AI 15x...Evidently, these are his priorities!


Meta Platforms 4Q22: Zuckerberg Got Religion?

United States

Amazon.com, Inc. is an online retailer that offers a wide range of products. The Company's products include books, music, videotapes, computers, electronics, home and garden, and numerous other products.  Amazon offers personalized shopping services, Web-based credit card payment, and direct shipping to customers.

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Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US)

Amazon.com Inc.: Monetizing From Shopify & Other Merchants & Other Drivers

Amazon delivered a mixed result as its worldwide net sales grew by 12% year over year which was above the expectation of Wall Street. The company...

Baptista Research

Outlook for Japanese Retail in 2023

Most Japanese retailers can look forward to a good year in 2023 but there will be challenges for formats like supermarkets where consolidation is...

Michael Causton

Amazon: Recent Quarter Is A Reminder That Red Flags Should Not Be Ignored

The pressure for cost-cutting measures will likely increase as profitability and free cash flow remain elusive, according to Amazon. Amazon has...

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

Amazon 4Q22: When Does AWS Trough?

Amazon continues to be a frustrating long...just when retail margins show promise, AWS decelerates and margins drop. We think the latter is...

Aaron Gabin

Meta Platforms 4Q22: Zuckerberg Got Religion?

Meta is getting credited today with a "phase change" in operating cadence, with a newfound emphasis on efficiency and profitability. Great! But we...

Aaron Gabin

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